Abstract
Purpose
The primary aim was to examine and compare the increased risk of incident diabetes associated with second-generation antipsychotics (SGAs) and first-generation antipsychotics (FGAs), with and without adjusting for potential confounding factors. The secondary aim was to recalculate the relative risks of diabetes onset using a semi-symmetric bidirectional case-crossover (SSBC) design to adjust for time-trend bias.
Method
Prescription records (2005–2015) of antipsychotics were sourced from New Zealand Pharmaceutical Collections. The first-time diabetes diagnosis was extracted from the National Minimal Dataset. Relative risks (RRs) of diabetes onset were calculated using conditional logistic regression. Time-trend bias was corrected by recalculating the RR using a SSBC design.
Results
Among 645 individuals, the risk of diabetes onset is higher in SGA users (ARR = 8.72, 95% CI = [5.57, 13.67]) compared to FGA users (ARR = 5.68, 95% CI = [3.43, 9.39]). The increased risk of diabetes onset associated with quetiapine is higher (ARR = 7.47, 95% CI = [4.10, 13.62]), compared to haloperidol (ARR = 5.05, 95% CI = [2.91, 8.75]). However, the increased risk of diabetes onset associated with olanzapine (ARR = 2.27, 95% CI = [0.86, 5.98]) is insignificant after adjusting for concomitant use of effect modifiers and other antipsychotic drugs.
Conclusion
The results support that the magnitude of the risk of diabetes is higher with SGA use compared with FGA use, and the risk is higher when co-prescribed. Confounding by indication and time-varying confounders such as body mass index could bias the risk of onset of diabetes. Marginal structural models could provide more precise estimates of the risk of onset of diabetes following exposure to antipsychotics.
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Acknowledgments
The authors would like to thank the Analytical Services, Ministry of Health of New Zealand for providing the datasets and the Research in Pharmacoepidemiology (RiPE) group, School of Pharmacy, University of Otago for providing clinical data management and support. All patient data used in this study are de-identified.
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Nishtala, P.S., Chyou, Ty. Real-world risk of diabetes with antipsychotic use in older New Zealanders: a case-crossover study. Eur J Clin Pharmacol 73, 233–239 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00228-016-2158-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00228-016-2158-2