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Industrial clusters and carbon emission reduction: evidence from China

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Abstract

In the context of carbon peaking and neutrality goals, this paper examines the impact of industrial clusters on firms’ carbon emissions based on listed manufacturing firms in China from 2008 to 2020. To avoid the endogeneity issue, we constructed an industrial cluster database ten years earlier than the sample period. The results of the empirical analysis suggest that industrial clusters are conducive to decreasing carbon emissions. The stronger the industrial cluster, the lower the carbon intensity. Examining the channel reveals that industrial clusters have an emission reduction effect through digital transformation. The heterogeneity analysis demonstrates that the variations in industrial clusters, including pollutant emissions, energy intensity, and energy consumption structure, significantly affect a firm's carbon emission reduction performance. In addition, environmental policies and the internal and external green development impetus of firms also affect emission reduction behavior. Our findings provide the rationale for governments to promote green transformation and enhance digital competitiveness through industrial cluster development.

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Fig. 1

Source: Drawn by the authors using standard map GS (2019)1822 from the Ministry of Natural Resources of China website without any boundary modification

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Notes

  1. For example, data from the Hubei Science and Technology Department show that the total revenue of national creative clusters reached 254.794 billion yuan, contributing 3.294 billion yuan to provincial tax revenue in 2021.

  2. Local cluster support projects include the "415X" advanced cluster cultivation program in Zhejiang province, a characteristic industrial cluster cultivation program in Jiangsu province, etc.

  3. According to China Academy of Information and Communications Technology (CAICT), the scale of China's digital economy accounted for 39.2 trillion yuan in 2020, and its growth rate reached 9.7%, which is the key driver for China's stable economic growth (Wang et al. 2022).

  4. Brynjolfsson E, Wang J, Wan X (2023) Information technology, firm size, and industrial concentration, NBER working paper, No. 31065.

  5. Report on Chinese regional and urban digital economy development. Retrieved from http://www.caict.ac.cn/kxyj/qwfb/ztbg/202101/t20210104_367593.htm.

  6. The shared platforms include common technical service institutions, industrial sharing intelligent manufacturing factories, and warehousing logistics distribution systems.

  7. According to the world-class advanced manufacturing clusters Whitebook (2022), the Yueqing Electric Industrial Cluster, the Xuzhou Mechanical Engineering Industrial Cluster, and the Ningbo Green Petrochemical Industrial Cluster are all typical examples of industrial clusters digitalization.

    Retrieved from https://www.ccidgroup.com/info/1096/21329.htm.

  8. According to the China Wind Carbon Emissions Database, only 375 listed firms declared their total carbon emissions for the 2021 fiscal year, accounting for approximately 7% of the total listed firms.

  9. The stock market value is calculated based on the closing price on December 31, 2021. In China, a stock market value of more than 50 billion is considered to represent a large firm. A value between 10 and 50 billion is indicative of a medium-sized company, whereas a value of less than 10 billion is representative of a small company.

  10. Coal is the predominant source of energy consumption in China. Conventionally, the carbon emission coefficient is calculated based on coal burning in Chinese studies, such as Wang et al (2023). The carbon emission coefficient for 1 ton of coal completed combustion is 0.68 in this paper, and 1 ton of carbon is burned in oxygen to produce about 3.667 tons of carbon dioxide, so the calculation coefficient is 0.68 × 3.667 = 2.493.

  11. According to the guidelines on accounting methods and reporting of greenhouse gas emissions published by the China Development and Reform Commission, the firm’s carbon emissions come from combustion and escape, production process, waste emissions, and land use conversion (such as forest to industrial land).

  12. Compared to the listed firms, the China Annual Industry Survey contains more small and medium-sized firms, and the industrial cluster calculated from this database is more representative. However, due to variable availability, we use listed firm data to assess firms' carbon emissions.

  13. To avoid the influence of extreme values, we excluded 0.5% of samples from the word frequency-related indicators, including digital, intelligent, and governance.

  14. The relative variation of standard deviation is calculated as follows: (standard deviation of independent variable × estimated coefficient)/standard deviation of the dependent variable, i.e., 2.2% = (0.46 × 0.059/1.233) × 100%. The following values are obtained by the same method, and the standard errors of the variables are shown in Table 1.

  15. The government implemented low-carbon pilot cities in batches in 2010, 2013, and 2017 during the sample period.

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Acknowledgements

We acknowledge funding from the National Social Science Foundation of China (grant numbers 22CJL028), National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant numbers 72273130 and 71773112), Soft Science Project of Zhejiang Department of Science and Technology (grant numbers 2023C35008 and 2023C25080), the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, and Zhejiang University of Technology Foundation (grant numbers SKY-ZX-20220171 and GB20231003).

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Correspondence to Yiyun Wu.

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Appendix A: The procedure for identifying industrial clusters

Appendix A: The procedure for identifying industrial clusters

1.1 (1) Identify the continuous geographic boundaries of a given industry

For the whole manufacturing industry from 1998 to 2010, we first calculated the kernel density based on the location of each firm in each four-digit industry for each year. Given a four-digit industry A comprising nA firms, we constructed the industry-specific kernel density function of bilateral distances weighted by employment as:

$$\widehat{{K}_{A}}\left(d\right)=\frac{1}{{h}_{A}{\sum }_{i=1}^{{n}_{A}-1}{\sum }_{j=i+1}^{{n}_{A}}{e}_{i}{e}_{j}}\sum_{i=1}^{{n}_{A}-1}\sum_{j=i+1}^{{n}_{A}}{e}_{i}{\cdot e}_{j}\cdot f(\frac{d-{d}_{ij}}{{h}_{A}})$$

where \({d}_{ij}\) is the Euclidean distance between firm i and firm j, \(d\) is the median bilateral distance between every pair of all manufacturing firms, \({e}_{i}\) and \({e}_{j}\) are the employment of firm i and firm j, respectively. \({h}_{A}\) is the industry-specific band width, while \(f(\cdot )\) is Gaussian distribution function.

We calculated the kernel density at each kilometer for each industry and plotted the actual kernel density distribution. Suppose firms are random distribution. We randomly selected all manufacturing firms’ locations in the sample and simulated the density distribution of the industry with randomly matched firm locations for a specific industry. Finally, compare the actual distribution with the simulated one; if the kernel density is larger than the simulated density, we ascertain the boundaries of the given industries. Figure 

Fig. 2
figure 2

The kernel density distribution of textile and garment manufacturing industry

2 displays the density distribution of the textile and garment manufacturing industry. The solid line indicates the actual kernel density distribution of the industry, while the dashed lines are the simulated distributions at different levels.

1.2 (2) Identify the firms within industrial clusters

Since we have ascertained localized boundaries at the industry level across the country, we need to identify the actual location of industrial clusters. In particular, each industry firm is considered the center firm of a candidate cluster, and the employment density within a given geographic boundary is calculated based on the center firm. Then, the maximum density is selected as the critical value of the cluster, and firms in the candidate cluster are identified as the first cluster firms. After eliminating firms in the first cluster, we used the same method to calculate the employment density higher than the critical value by narrowing the geographical boundary and obtaining the rest of the clusters from candidate clusters.

See Tables

Table 10 IV regression results as supplementary

10,

Table 11 Robustness regression results as supplementary

11,

Table 12 IV regression results: the effects of digitalization on carbon emission

12,

Table 13 Heterogeneity analysis: industrial cluster heterogeneity as supplementary (carbon density is in level form)

13

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Liu, Y., Wu, Y. & Zhu, X. Industrial clusters and carbon emission reduction: evidence from China. Ann Reg Sci (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-024-01268-z

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