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Do “good neighbors” enhance regional performances in including disabled people in the labor market? A spatial Markov chain approach

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Abstract

The purpose of this study was to examine whether the performance of Italian regions in providing employment of disabled people according to Law 68/99 can be affected by the performance of neighboring regions. Hence, we propose a two-step analysis focusing on Italian regions for the period 2000–2009. In the first step, we verify by means of Stochastic Frontier Approach that Central and Northern Italy regions are more efficient than Southern Italy ones in the matching process between demand and supply of jobs for disabled people. Then, the efficiency results are analyzed using a Markov Spatial Transition Matrix in order to provide insights into the transitions of regions between different efficiency levels, taking their local context into account. The results of this analysis show that good neighbors are important in promoting the improvement of regions’ performance. However, the effects produced by bad neighbors should not be underestimated, especially when they are concentrated in an area of the country and show a time-space persistence. The effect of a persistent dualism on the performance of Italian regions with respect to the application of Law 68/99 represents a problem for policy-makers. Hence, they must seriously consider it, especially when regions with low efficiency scores are surrounded by neighbors with poor efficiency score and show an unhealthy poorly performing labor market.

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Notes

  1. In the Appendix 1, we report some information on the Law 68/99.

  2. These studies were conducted using the nonparametric approach to efficiency measurement, represented by DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis).

  3. In this paper, we consider the production of a service by the region. In particular, we refer to the service related to the implementation of Law 68/99.

  4. Our period of analysis consists of nine years, so we have \(T=8\) annual transitions.

  5. For reasons of space, we do not report the results of the transition matrix not conditioned; interested readers can request them to the author.

  6. We describe more in detail the five states in Sect. 5.

  7. The temporal dimension of our database is 9 years instead of 10 years, because ISFOL does not provide the percentage of disabled workers for the year 2002.

  8. More specifically, the areas of the macro-branch “Government, Ministry of Education, Department of Health” in which people with disabilities are employed are the following ones: public administration services, education, health and social services, other public, social and personal services, recreational, cultural and sporting activities, other services.

  9. We report only the information for the years 2005 and 2008 because ISFOL does not provide further information for the other years considered in our analysis.

  10. We do not consider construction, financial brokerage and business services, and other service sectors, because they do not hire many disabled people.

  11. We construct this indicator by using regional employment rates (see Cracolici et al. 2007).

  12. We construct this indicator by using the regional employment rates (see Cracolici et al. 2007).

  13. We consider the ratio between female labor force over total females at working age and male labor force over total males at working age (see Cracolici et al. 2007).

  14. We consider the ratio between the population over 65 years and the population of 15–29 years (see Cracolici et al. 2007).

  15. The difference between the maximum and the minimum value.

    Table 1 Statistical summary
  16. In Appendix 2 we report the motivation of the sign for variable YO.

  17. For an analysis of the negative sign of the FM see Appendix 2 used for variable YO.

  18. The Moran scatter plot provides a tool for visual exploration of spatial autocorrelation (Anselin 1996, 2002). The four different quadrants of the scatterplot identify four types of local spatial association between a region and its neighbors:

    • (HH) a region with a high efficiency score surrounded by neighbors with high efficiency scores (quadrant I);

    • (LH) a region with a low efficiency score surrounded by neighbors with high efficiency scores (quadrant II);

    • (LL) a region with a low efficiency score surrounded by neighbors with low efficiency scores (quadrant III);

    • (HL) a region with a high efficiency score surrounded by neighbors with low efficiency scores (quadrant IV).

    Quadrants I and III represent positive spatial dependence, while quadrants II and IV represent negative spatial dependence (Rey and Montouri (1999)).

  19. We obtain the same results by using a rook and a bishop contiguity matrix.

  20. The null hypothesis of the Moran’s I test is spatial independence. According to the results, we reject the null hypothesis at the 1 % level and we conclude that the annual average of regions’ efficiency scores presents spatial autocorrelation.

  21. The Moran’s I test, implemented on efficiency scores for each year analyzed, always rejects the null hypothesis of spatial independence. For reasons of space we do not show these results, but interested readers can request them to the author.

  22. We obtain the same results for the efficiency scores of the second model. For reasons of space, we do not show them, but interested readers can request them to the author.

  23. We do not have nine possible transitions because data for the year 2002 are not available.

  24. With \(n\) regions, \(K\) states and \(t\) years, there are \((t-1)*K*n\) possible cases of transitions.

  25. The spatial lag is the average efficiency score of neighboring regions. The spatial lag is a weighted average, where the weights are represented by the elements of the contiguity matrix.

  26. For more details on the ergodic distribution concept, see Rey (2001) and Le Gallo (2004).

  27. In this case, we will have a probability and not an index because the ratio between numerator and denominator is equal to the ratio of the number of actual occurrences to the total number of possible occurrences.

  28. The same decomposition is valid for variable FM (see Cracolici et al. 2007).

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Appendices

Appendix 1

1.1 Law 68/99 (from now on Law 68/99): some clarifications

Law 68/99 is addressed to: “the working-age people suffering from physical, mental or sensory and intellectual disabilities, resulting in a reduced capacity to work for more than 45 percent...,” “Disabled from work with a degree of incapacity of more than 33 percent...,” “the blind or the deaf-mute...,” “war invalids, civil war invalids and disabled with disabilities ascribed from the first to the eighth category....”

The prerequisite to take advantage of the benefits provided by Law 68/99 is the inclusion in the compulsory employment lists that are held by the Employment Services of the provincial governments. Employment services usually enroll the applicant in the lists of compulsory employment conditionally to further assessment of disability by healthcare bodies. Next to the entering, the disabled person is then able to join the job opportunities that come to the Employment Service from both public bodies and private companies, by filling out the form reservation.

The inclusion of people with particularly serious handicap may be facilitated by an ad hoc employment situation, i.e., social cooperatives of type B in order to allow them to learn about the assigned task.

Law 68/99 provides that private employers can sign a contract with these cooperatives, in order to temporarily employ the disabled person in the same social cooperatives, to which employers agree to assign work orders. This special three-sided employment contract represents the novelty introduced by this law.

Appendix 2

As OY is a combined variable, it may be interesting to discover whether the effect is mainly connected to young or old people. To this purpose, we decompose the variable coefficient in the following way:Footnote 28

$$\begin{aligned} {\hat{\beta }}_{OY}&= \frac{\partial Ln( ERDP )}{\partial Ln\left( {\textit{OP}/\textit{YP}} \right) }\\ \frac{1}{{\hat{\beta }}_{OY}}&= \frac{\partial Ln\left( {\textit{OP}/\textit{YP}} \right) }{\partial Ln( ERDP )}=\frac{\partial }{\partial Ln( ERDP )}\left( { LnOP - LnYP } \right) , \end{aligned}$$

where ERDP denotes the employment rate of disabled people, OP the old people and YP the young people.

Now we define the elasticity of the employment rate of disabled people with respect, respectively, to variable YP and OP as:

$$\begin{aligned} \beta _Y&=\frac{\partial Ln( ERDP )}{\partial LnYP } \\ \beta _O&=\frac{\partial Ln( ERDP )}{\partial LnOP } \end{aligned}$$

Hence, we have

$$\begin{aligned} \frac{1}{\hat{\beta }_{OY}}=\frac{1}{\beta _O }-\frac{1}{\beta _Y } \end{aligned}$$

and consequently:

$$\begin{aligned} {\hat{\beta }}_{OY} =\frac{\beta _O *\beta _Y }{\beta _Y -\beta _O } \end{aligned}$$

Since we are thinking in terms of inefficiency, we can conclude that \({\hat{\beta }}_{OY} >0\) if \(\beta _Y >\beta _O \). The positive sign results in an inefficiency increase of regions in their application of Law 68/99.

On the contrary, we have \({\hat{\beta }}_{OY} <0\) if \(\beta _Y <\beta _O \); in this case, the negative sign results in a reduction of regions’ inefficiency in the application of Law 68/99.

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Agovino, M. Do “good neighbors” enhance regional performances in including disabled people in the labor market? A spatial Markov chain approach. Ann Reg Sci 53, 93–121 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-014-0619-z

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