Abstract
Purpose
Environmental factors contribute substantially to risk for drug use disorders (DUD). The current study applies multiple methods to empirically test whether military service is associated with subsequent DUD, as previous findings are inconsistent.
Methods
Longitudinal Swedish national registry data on a cohort of male conscripts born 1972–1987 (maximum N = 485,900) were used to test the association between military service and subsequent registration for DUD. Cox proportional hazard models were used in preliminary analyses, followed by three methods that enable causal inference: propensity score models, co-relative models, and instrumental variable analysis.
Results
Across all methods, military service was causally associated with lower risk of DUD. Hazard ratios ranged from HR = 0.43 (95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.37; 0.50) in the instrumental variable analysis to 0.77 (0.75; 0.79) in the multivariate propensity score matching analysis. This effect diminished across time. In the model including a propensity score, HRs remained below 1 across the observation period, while confidence intervals included 1 after ~ 11 years in the co-relative analysis and after ~ 21 years in the instrumental variable analysis.
Conclusions
In this cohort of Swedish men, complementary methods indicate that military service conferred substantial but time-limited protection against subsequent DUD. The observed effect could be due to reduced opportunity for substance use during service, social cohesion experienced during and after service, and/or socioeconomic advantages among veterans. Additional research is necessary to clarify these protective mechanisms and determine how other environmental contexts can provide similar benefits.
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Data availability
The data used in these analyses are available through Statistics Sweden. Restrictions apply to the availability of the data.
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Acknowledgements
This project was supported by NIH grants DA030005, AA023534, and AA027522; and by the Swedish Research Council as well as ALF funding from Region Skåne. The funders had no role in the conduct of the research; collection, analysis, or interpretation of data; the writing of the manuscript; or the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
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Edwards, A.C., Ohlsson, H., Barr, P.B. et al. Military service and risk of subsequent drug use disorders among Swedish men. Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol 58, 1039–1048 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00127-023-02426-y
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00127-023-02426-y