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Spatial Prediction of Earthquake-Induced Landslide Susceptible Zones—A Case Study from Indian Himalaya

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Geohazards

Abstract

Earthquake-induced landslide hazard is the most serious threat in seismo-tectonically active mountains like the Himalayas. It has frequently been noted that the damage caused by earthquake-induced landslides is significantly greater than the earthquake itself. Therefore, assessing the susceptible zones of earthquake-induced landslides in seismically active areas is essential. In this study, the probabilistic hazard assessment of the earthquake-induced landslides has been conducted for the Goriganga Valley, Kumaun Himalaya. Numerous studies indicate that a great earthquake of magnitude 8 Mw or higher could strike this area at any time. Hence, mapping earthquake-induced landslides using an improved Newmark's model has been conducted for earthquakes of magnitude 8 Mw. The inclusion of arias intensity to estimate the permanent displacement of the slope for future scenario earthquakes make this work unique from others. The model provides the permanent displacements of potential slopes, which is the function of shear strength parameters of jointed rock mass, the inclination angle of valley slopes, and the arias intensity of the area. It provides the spatial distribution of possible slope failures in the area. It has been noted that ~25% of the study area is susceptible to earthquake-induced landslides when subjected to direct shaking of an earthquake of magnitude 8 Mw. The results of this work provide great insight to planners and civil engineers for hazard mitigation and assessment of the study region.

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Acknowledgements

The Authors from Geology Department, Hemwati Nandan Bahuguna Garhwal University (A Central University) are thankful to the Department of Science and Technology (DST), India for providing financial support vide project no. DST/CCP/MRDP/187/2019(G) dated 29/06/2020, and we are grateful to the Vice-Chancellor for providing full cooperation. The author PK and VG sincerely acknowledged the Director, Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehradun.

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Correspondence to Yaspal Sundriyal .

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Kumar, S., Kumar, P., Kaushik, S., Sundriyal, Y., Gupta, V. (2023). Spatial Prediction of Earthquake-Induced Landslide Susceptible Zones—A Case Study from Indian Himalaya. In: Sandeep, Kumar, P., Mittal, H., Kumar, R. (eds) Geohazards. Advances in Natural and Technological Hazards Research, vol 53. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-3955-8_9

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