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Multi-step Ahead PM2.5 Prediction Based on Hybrid Machine Learning Techniques

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Computer Supported Cooperative Work and Social Computing (ChineseCSCW 2022)

Part of the book series: Communications in Computer and Information Science ((CCIS,volume 1681))

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Abstract

In order to improve the accuracy of short-term PM2.5 prediction, we proposed a new hybrid solution that combines several machine learning techniques. Firstly, a set of phase space features are obtained from PM2.5 historical data based on PSR technique and combined with numerical weather prediction (NWP) data to construct a pool of candidate features. Secondly, the optimal feature subset is selected and input to the multi-step ahead prediction model based on the RReliefF feature selection algorithm. Then, K-means clustering is used to divide the input instances into a number of subsets to train ANFIS. Finally, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to optimize the ANFIS network’s parameters. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, two benchmark models (PSR-FS, PCA-FS) were established to compare with the hybrid model. The experimental results showed that the hybrid solution obtained the best prediction performance in short-term PM2.5 prediction.

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Acknowledgments

This work is supported in part by Guangdong Province Key Construction Discipline Scientific Research Ability Promotion Project unser grant 2021ZDJS132, and in part by Guangdong Innovative Projects with Characteristics in Colleges and Universities under grants 2019KTSCX228 and 2021ZDZX4048.

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Correspondence to Junying Yuan .

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Wang, Y., Yuan, J., Xu, Y., Chen, Y. (2023). Multi-step Ahead PM2.5 Prediction Based on Hybrid Machine Learning Techniques. In: Sun, Y., et al. Computer Supported Cooperative Work and Social Computing. ChineseCSCW 2022. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1681. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-2356-4_1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-2356-4_1

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore

  • Print ISBN: 978-981-99-2355-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-981-99-2356-4

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