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Evaluation of a Reliable Method for Flash Flood Hazard Mapping in Arid Regions: A Case Study of the Gulf of Suez, Egypt

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Proceedings of the 2022 12th International Conference on Environment Science and Engineering (ICESE 2022) (ICESE 2022)

Part of the book series: Environmental Science and Engineering ((ESE))

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Abstract

Flash floods are severe disasters that devastate the environment, society, and economy in arid regions. Due to the scarcity of observed data from prior incidents, flash flood hazard mapping (FFHM) using Remote Sensing (RS), Geographic Information System (GIS) and hydrological modeling elements has recently become a feasible method for the fundamental management of basins. El-Shamy approach is a straightforward, widely used method for FFHM. This is the first study to investigate the effect of a stream threshold (St) change on the results of El-Shamy approach. Furthermore, runoff peak discharge- and runoff volume-based flash flood hazard degrees (Rp-HD and Rv-HD) were explored. For El-Shamy approach, St = 0.1 km2 was found to be the best among the considered values for well-distributed estimates of flash flooding potential. A Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve using historical data was employed to evaluate the considered methods and revealed that El-Shamy suffered from a precision lack, with an Area Under Curve (AUC) equal to 0.36 and 0.45 for low and high hazard basins, respectively, indicating a slight reverse prediction tendency. While Rp-HD and Rv-HD attained a similarly significant and reliable accuracy, with an AUC equal to 1.0 and around 0.865 for low and high hazard basins, respectively. Moreover, Rp-HD was recommended due to its cautious prediction. Accordingly, the FFHM for the study area was presented and associated guiding sustainable management measures were suggested to help decision-makers partially achieve Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

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Acknowledgements

The first author is very grateful to the Egyptian Ministry of Higher Education (MoHE) for providing financial support in the form of a Ph.D. scholarship. Also, thanks to the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) for providing all the facilities, and equipment to accomplish this research.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Environmental Engineering, Egypt-Japan University of Science and Technology (E-JUST), Alexandria, 21934, Egypt

    Mahmoud M. Mansour, Mahmoud Nasr & Mona G. Ibrahim

  2. Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Menoufia University, Menoufia, 32511, Egypt

    Mahmoud M. Mansour

  3. Department of Sanitary Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University, Alexandria, 21544, Egypt

    Mahmoud Nasr

  4. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, School of Environment and Society, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, Japan

    Mahmoud M. Mansour, Manabu Fujii & Chihiro Yoshimura

  5. Department of Environmental Health, High Institute of Public Health, Alexandria University, Alexandria, Egypt

    Mona G. Ibrahim

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  1. Mahmoud M. Mansour
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  3. Manabu Fujii
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  4. Chihiro Yoshimura
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  5. Mona G. Ibrahim
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Correspondence to Mahmoud M. Mansour .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. College of Environment and Safety Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China

    Xueming Chen

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Mansour, M.M., Nasr, M., Fujii, M., Yoshimura, C., Ibrahim, M.G. (2023). Evaluation of a Reliable Method for Flash Flood Hazard Mapping in Arid Regions: A Case Study of the Gulf of Suez, Egypt. In: Chen, X. (eds) Proceedings of the 2022 12th International Conference on Environment Science and Engineering (ICESE 2022). ICESE 2022. Environmental Science and Engineering. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-1381-7_10

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