Abstract
Urban fires are one the major threats to the security of the urban population. Given their spatial context, they have a direct impact on the economy, inhabitants, and destruction of property and heritage in the community. In the Lisbon metropolitan area (LMA), almost 75% of the urban fires occurred in residential buildings between 2006 and 2020 and were recorded with 150 deaths and 275 severely injured victims. Despite the damages caused by urban fires in LMA, there is a lack of studies on the predisposing factors of residential fire susceptibility and susceptibility zonation at the parish and building levels. This study constructed a residential fire susceptibility model using the information value method, a dataset of socio-economic and building predisposing factors, and an urban fires database for the period 2006–2020. The results suggest that the nearest suburban municipalities from Lisbon record the highest susceptibility to residential fires. Allied with geographic information techniques, these detailed studies are crucial for suited risk reduction strategies and proper urban planning in metropolitan areas.
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Acknowledgements
The project “MIT-RSC—Multi-risk Interactions Towards Resilient and Sustainable Cities” (MIT-EXPL/CS/0018/2019) leading to this work is co-financed by the ERDF—European Regional Development Fund through the Operational Program for Competitiveness and Internationalisation—COMPETE 2020, the North Portugal Regional Operational Program—NORTE 2020, and by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology—GCT under the MIT Portugal Program at the 2019 PT call for Exploratory Proposals in “Sustainable Cities”.
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Pais, C., Pereira, S., Oliveira, S.C. (2023). Multi-scale Residential Fire Susceptibility in the Lisbon Metropolitan Area. In: Ferreira, T.M. (eds) Multi-risk Interactions Towards Resilient and Sustainable Cities. Advances in Sustainability Science and Technology. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-0745-8_6
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