Skip to main content

Deep Learning Approaches to Improve Effectiveness and Efficiency for Time Series Prediction

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Proceedings of International Conference on Computational Intelligence, Data Science and Cloud Computing

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes on Data Engineering and Communications Technologies ((LNDECT,volume 62))

  • 520 Accesses

Abstract

The variation and dependency on diverse parameters of time series data make predictions a very complicated process. Also, the effectiveness and efficiency for predicting the values of a time series are important in a variety of areas such as stock exchanges, natural language processing, and sensor networks. Artificial neural networks have been demonstrated to be valuable in such cases to predict the time series data. As recurrent neural network (RNN) is more suitable for predictions of sequential data, we are considering long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) in this paper. For comparing with different deep learning frameworks, we use Keras because Keras makes an environment to run new experiments easier and faster. In this paper, we provide a comparative analysis of different deep learning frameworks on the basis of training speed and accuracy of prediction using different metrics, namely mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and time taken by different frameworks. The proposed method is expected to be a promising method in the field of time series prediction to choose the suitable deep learning frameworks for a deep learning model.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. A. Graves, M. Liwicki, S. Fernández, R. Bertolami, H. Bunke, J. Schmidhuber, A novel connectionist system for unconstrained handwriting recognition. IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell. 31(5), 855–868 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. A. Graves, A.R. Mohamed, G. Hinton, Speech recognition with deep recurrent neural networks, in 2013 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing 26 May 2013 (pp. 6645–6649). IEEE

    Google Scholar 

  3. J. Su, S. Wu, D. Xiong, Y. Lu, X. Han, B. Zhang, Variational recurrent neural machine translation, in Thirty-Second AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (27 Apr 2018)

    Google Scholar 

  4. R. Weron, A. Misiorek, Forecasting spot electricity prices: a comparison of parametric and semiparametric time series models. Int. J. Forecast. 24(4), 744–763 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. J. Fan, Q. Yao, Nonlinear Time Series: Nonparametric and Parametric Methods. (Springer Science and Business Media, 11 Sep 2008)

    Google Scholar 

  6. R.F. Engle, Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica: J. Econometric Soc. 987–1007 (1 Jul 1982)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Q. Zhuge, L. Xu, G. Zhang, LSTM neural network with emotional analysis for prediction of stock price. Eng. Lett. 25(2) (1 Apr 2017)

    Google Scholar 

  8. A. Lapedes, R. Farber, Nonlinear Signal Processing Using Neural Networks: Prediction and System Modelling. (1 Jun 1987)

    Google Scholar 

  9. C. de Groot, D. Würtz, Analysis of univariate time series with connectionist nets: a case study of two classical examples. Neurocomputing. 3(4), 177–192 (1991)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. C.M. Kuan, T. Liu, Forecasting exchange rates using feedforward and recurrent neural networks. J. Appl. Econometrics. 10(4), 347–364 (1995)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. A. Dagar, R. Bala, R.P. Singh, Financial Time Series Forecasting Using Deep Learning Network, in International Conference on Application of Computing and Communication Technologies 9 Mar 2018 (pp. 23–33). (Springer, Singapore)

    Google Scholar 

  12. F.A. Gers, D. Eck, J. Schmidhuber, Applying LSTM to time series predictable through time-window approaches, in Neural Nets WIRN Vietri-01 2002 (pp. 193–200). (Springer, London)

    Google Scholar 

  13. S. Bhanja, A. Das, Impact of Data Normalization on Deep Neural Network for Time Series Forecasting. arXiv preprint arXiv:1812.05519. (13 Dec 2018)

  14. S. Bhanja, A. Das, Deep Neural Network for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting. International Conference on Frontiers in Computing and Systems (COMSYS-2020). (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  15. S. Bhanja, A. Das, Deep learning-based integrated stacked model for the stock market prediction. Int. J. Eng. Adv. Technol. (9), 5167–5174 (Oct 2019)

    Google Scholar 

  16. J.L. Elman, Finding structure in time. Cogn. Sci. 14(2), 179–211 (1990)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Y. LeCun, Y. Bengio, G. Hinton, Deep learning. Nature 521(7553), 436–444 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. C. Olah, Understanding lstm networks. (Aug 2015)

    Google Scholar 

  19. A. Moawad, The magic of lstm neural networks. (Feb 2018)

    Google Scholar 

  20. K. Cho, B. Van Merriënboer, C. Gulcehre, D. Bahdanau, F. Bougares, H. Schwenk, Y. Bengio, Learning phrase representations using RNN encoder-decoder for statistical machine translation. arXiv preprint arXiv:1406.1078. (3 Jun 2014)

  21. Y. Bengio, P. Simard, P. Frasconi, Learning long-term dependencies with gradient descent is difficult. IEEE Trans. Neural Networks 5(2), 157–166 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. T. Tieleman, G. Hinton, Lecture 6.5-rmsprop: Divide the gradient by a running average of its recent magnitude. COURSERA: Neural Netw. Mach. Learn. 4(2), 26–31 (Oct 2012)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Abhishek Das .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2021 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Ali, D., Tiwari, N., Das, B., Bhanja, S., Das, A. (2021). Deep Learning Approaches to Improve Effectiveness and Efficiency for Time Series Prediction. In: Balas, V.E., Hassanien, A.E., Chakrabarti, S., Mandal, L. (eds) Proceedings of International Conference on Computational Intelligence, Data Science and Cloud Computing. Lecture Notes on Data Engineering and Communications Technologies, vol 62. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-33-4968-1_20

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics