Abstract
The sustainable and reliable supply of natural gas has become a critical global worry about economic, political, and technological causes because of the realization of the significance of networks of natural gas pipeline for energy security. However, a number of variables, including stochastic demand fluctuations, unexpected changes in supply capacity, and random pipeline failures, affect the oil and gas pipeline network’s supply capacity. People must therefore evaluate supply security from a probabilistic rather than deterministic standpoint. This chapter introduces a methodical approach for evaluating natural gas pipeline networks’ supply reliability. The created technique combines stochastic processes, graph theory, and thermal–hydraulic modeling while taking complexity and uncertainty into consideration. The case study shows that a network of gas pipelines is taken into account, and the outcomes are thoroughly studied.
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Yang, Z., Su, H. (2023). Probabilistic Safety Analysis in Complex Pipeline Systems. In: Su, H., Liao, Q., Zhang, H., Zio, E. (eds) Advanced Intelligent Pipeline Management Technology. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-9899-7_8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-9899-7_8
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