Abstract
In the next 15 years, China’s economy will increase significantly in scale, but also and change significantly in structure. The decreasing total fertility rate and the aging trend of the population will have a direct negative impact on the supply-side production factors, and will eventually lead to a slowdown in the potential growth rate. Considering the domestic and international environment at the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan and in accordance with the goal of embarking on a new journey of basically realizing socialist modernization, the objectives of China’s economic and social development for some time in the future should cover: promoting innovation-driven development, upgrading industries, enhancing domestic market, opening wider to the outside world, heightening living standards, making remarkable progress in green development, and perfecting the state governance system.
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Notes
- 1.
Growth Williamson (1997).
- 2.
Bloom and Williamson (1998).
- 3.
- 4.
Eichengreen et al. (2011).
- 5.
Lu and Cai (2016).
- 6.
Bai and Zhang (2017).
- 7.
Barro and Lee (2013).
- 8.
Lu and Cai (2013).
- 9.
Li et al. (2016a).
- 10.
Li et al. (2016b).
- 11.
Research Group of Development Research Center of the State Council (2020).
- 12.
Lu et al. (2015).
- 13.
Guo and Zhang (2019).
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Li, X., Lu, Y., Lou, F., Feng, M., Zhang, B. (2023). Research on Goals and Indicators of Mid-to-Long-Term Economic and Social Development. In: Xie, F., Cai, F., Li, X. (eds) The New Journey of China’s Economic and Social Development. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-7915-6_5
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