Abstract
Computer researchers and economic experts have been attracted to estimate stock values for many years. As external variables such as inflation and currency rates, socio-economic conditions, and market attitudes are regularly affected by inventory price variations, this problem is highly difficult, nonlinear, and dynamic. Neural network architectures have shown great promise toward solving this problem and have outperformed classical approaches toward stock price forecasting. In the methodology proposed, the stock price is forecasted using two unique architectures—one based on LSTM-RNNs, and the other based on transformers and time embeddings—that deal with time series sequences that are augmented by an NLP-based market sentiment-analyzing plugin that utilizes FinBERT. Stocks that are listed on the NYSE that have been considerably affected by recent developments in their respective sectors are used. Experiments show that this framework shows considerable improvement in stock price prediction compared with other standard methods in time series forecasting.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Tan TZ, Quek C, Ng GS (2005) Brain-inspired genetic complementary learning for stock market prediction. In: 2005 IEEE Congress on evolutionary computation. IEEE CEC 2005. Proceeding vol 3, pp 2653–2668. https://doi.org/10.1109/CEC.2005.1555027
Hondroyiannis G, Papapetrou E (2001) Macroeconomic influences on the stock market. J Econ Financ 251(25):33–49. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02759685
Gopinathan R, Durai SRS (2019) Stock market and macroeconomic variables: new evidence from India. Financ Innov 51(5):1–17. https://doi.org/10.1186/S40854-019-0145-1
Sadeghzadeh K (2018) The effects of microeconomic factors on the stock market: a panel for the stock exchange in Istanbul ARDL analysis. Theor Appl Econ XXV:113–134
Menkhoff L (2010) The use of technical analysis by fund managers: international evidence. J Bank Financ 34:2573–2586. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JBANKFIN.2010.04.014
Wafi AS, Hassan H, Mabrouk A (2015) Fundamental analysis models in financial markets—review study. Procedia Econ Financ 30:939–947. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(15)01344-1
Shen S, Jiang H, Zhang T Stock market forecasting using machine learning algorithms
Pellegrini S, Ruiz E, Espasa A (2011) Prediction intervals in conditionally heteroscedastic time series with stochastic components. Int J Forecast 27:308–319
Wamkaya B ANN model to predict stock prices at stock exchange markets
Selvamuthu D, Kumar V, Mishra A (2019) Indian stock market prediction using artificial neural networks on tick data. Financ Innov 5:1–12. https://doi.org/10.1186/S40854-019-0131-7
Hwang H, Oh J (2010) Fuzzy models for predicting time series stock price index. Int J Control Autom Syst 8:702–706. https://doi.org/10.1007/S12555-010-0325-2
Madge S, Bhatt S (2015) Predicting stock price direction using support vector machines
El E (2016) A new particle swarm optimization based stock market prediction technique. Int J Adv Comput Sci Appl 7. https://doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2016.070442
Hsu MW, Lessmann S, Sung MC, Ma T, Johnson JEV (2016) Bridging the divide in financial market forecasting: machine learners vs. financial economists. Expert Syst Appl 61:215–234. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ESWA.2016.05.033
Granger CWJ (1969) Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica 37:424. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912791
Mok HM (1993) Causality of interest rate, exchange rate and stock prices at stock market open and close in Hong Kong. Asia Pacific J Manag 102(10):123–143. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01734274
Araújo RDA, Ferreira TAE (2013) A morphological-rank-linear evolutionary method for stock market prediction. Inf Sci (Ny) 237:3–17. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.INS.2009.07.007
Schumaker RP, Chen H (2009) Textual analysis of stock market prediction using breaking financial news. ACM Trans Inf Syst 27. https://doi.org/10.1145/1462198.1462204
Peng Y, Jiang H (2016) Leverage financial news to predict stock price movements using word embeddings and deep neural networks. In: 2016 Conference of the North American chapter of the association for computational linguistics: human language technologies. NAACL HLT 2016—proceeding conference, pp374–379
Li Q, Wang T, Li P, Liu L, Gong Q, Chen Y (2014) The effect of news and public mood on stock movements. Inf Sci (Ny) 278:826–840. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.INS.2014.03.096
Ding X, Zhang Y, Liu T, Duan J Deep learning for event-driven stock prediction
Yates A, Etzioni O (2007) Unsupervised resolution of objects and relations on the web. 121–130
Fader A, Soderland S, Etzioni O Identifying relations for open information extraction. 1535–1545
Ding B, Wang Q, Wang B, Guo L Improving knowledge graph embedding using simple constraints
Shah D, Isah H, Zulkernine F (2019) Stock market analysis: a review and taxonomy of prediction techniques. Int J Financ Stud 7. https://doi.org/10.3390/IJFS7020026
Liu G, Wang X (2019) A numerical-based attention method for stock market prediction with dual information. IEEE Access. 7:7357–7367. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2018.2886367
Alostad H, Davulcu H (2016) Directional prediction of stock prices using breaking news on twitter. In: Proceeding—2015 IEEE/WIC/ACM international conference on web intelligence and intelligent agent technology WI-IAT 2015, vol 1. pp 523–530. https://doi.org/10.1109/WI-IAT.2015.82
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this paper
Cite this paper
Vora, V., Shah, M., Chouhan, A., Tawde, P. (2023). Stock Market Prices and Returns Forecasting Using Deep Learning Based on Technical and Fundamental Analysis. In: Kaiser, M.S., Xie, J., Rathore, V.S. (eds) Information and Communication Technology for Competitive Strategies (ICTCS 2021). Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, vol 401. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-0098-3_68
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-0098-3_68
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-19-0097-6
Online ISBN: 978-981-19-0098-3
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)