Skip to main content

Predicting Prior Academic Failure of Students’ Using Machine Learning Approach

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
International Conference on Innovative Computing and Communications

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 1394))

  • 950 Accesses

Abstract

In the educational institutions, research on educational data is on demand due to its predictive power and decision-making process using machine learning approach. The present research work can be broadly categorized into two modules. Firstly, data pre-processing directed on real-time data of Government Polytechnic College Ambala, Haryana, India. Secondly, desired data collected along with exploratory data analysis and human-interpretable features is tested on six different classifier to predict student third-year performance as binary classification based on first- and second-year performance, and maximum accuracy of 98.7% was achieved. This generates a chance to identify low-performing students, and accordingly, early interventions can be deployed to prevent them from failing or dropping. This study also suggests a viable direction to use educational data for getting insights by using the machine learning approach.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. S. Liao, P. Chu, Hsiao, Data mining techniques and applications—a decade review. Exp. Syst. Appl. 39, 11303–11311 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. S.D. Gheware, A.S. Kejkar, Tondare, Data mining: task, tools, techniques and applications. Int. J. Adv. Res. Comput. Commun. Eng. 3, 8095–8098 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. R. Baker, K. Yacef, The state of educational data mining: a review and future visions. J. Educ. Data Mining 1, 3–16 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  4. J. Zimmerman, K.H. Brodersen, H.R. Heinimann, A model-based approach to predicting graduate-level performance using indicators of undergraduate-level performance. J. Educ. Data Mining 7, 151–176 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  5. M.G. Asogbon, O.W. Samuel, M.O. Omisore, A multi-class support vector machine approach for students’ academic performance prediction. Int. J. Multidiscip. Current Res. 4, 210–215 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  6. S.M. Merchan, J.A. Duarte, Analysis of data mining techniques for constructing a predictive model for academic performance. IEEE Lat. Am. Trans. 14, 2783–2788 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. A. Zollanvari, R.C. Kizilirmak, Y.H. Kho, Predicting students’ GPA and developing intervention strategies based on self-regulatory learning behaviors. IEEE Access 5, 23792–23802 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. E.B. Costa, B. Fonseca, M.A. Santana, F.F. Araujo, J. Rego, Evaluating the effectiveness of educational data mining techniques for early prediction of students’ academic failure. Comput. Hum. Behav. 73, 247–256 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. R. Asif, A. Merceron, S.A. Ali, N.G. Haider, Analysing undergraduate students’ performance using educational data mining. Comput. Educ. 113, 177–194 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. S. Qu, K. Li, S. Zhang, Y. Wang, Predicting achievement of students in smart campus. IEEE Access 6, 60264–60273 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. F. Yanga, F.W.B. Li, Study on student performance estimation, student progress analysis and student potential based on data mining. Comput. Educ. 123, 90–108 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  12. E. Fernandes, M. Holanda, V. Borges, Educational data mining: predictive analysis of academic performance of public-school students in the capital of Brazil. J. Bus. Res. 95, 335–343 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. G. Kostopoulos, S. Karlos, Multiview learning for early prognosis of academic performance: a case study. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 12, 212–224 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. A. Cano, J.D. Leonard, Interpretable multiview early warning system adapted to student populations. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 12, 198–211 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. A. Polyzou, G. Karypis, Feature extraction for next-term prediction of poor student performance. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 12, 237–248 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. D. Baneres, M. Seera, Rodríguez-Gonzalez, An early feedback prediction system for learners at-risk within a first-year higher education course. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 12, 249–263 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. A.I. Adekitan, O. Salau, The impact of engineering students’ performance in the first three years on their graduation result using educational data mining. Heliyon 5, 12–32 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. L. Eglington, P. Pavlik, Predictiveness of prior failures is improved by incorporating trial duration. J. Educ. Data Mining 11, 1–19 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  19. M. Hussain, W. Zhu, W. Zhang, Using machine learning to predict student difficulties from learning session data. Artif. Intell. Rev. 52, 381–407 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. T. Toivonen, I. Jormanainen, Augmented intelligence in educational data mining. Smart Learn. Environ. 6, 1–25 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. A. Yusuf, A. John, Classifiers ensemble and synthetic minority oversampling techniques for academic performance prediction. Int. J. Inform. Commun. Technol. 8(122), 127 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  22. S. Tsai, C. Chen, Y. Shiao, Precision education with statistical learning and deep learning: a case study in Taiwan. Int. J. Educ. Technol. High. Educ. 17, 20–33 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

I would like to thank Directorate of Technical Education Haryana for providing academic data of diploma students. I would also like to thank my guide for her continuous support and encouragement for carrying out this research.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Anamika, Dutta, M. (2022). Predicting Prior Academic Failure of Students’ Using Machine Learning Approach. In: Khanna, A., Gupta, D., Bhattacharyya, S., Hassanien, A.E., Anand, S., Jaiswal, A. (eds) International Conference on Innovative Computing and Communications. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 1394. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-3071-2_12

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics