Abstract
This paper evaluates the impact of adopting improved agricultural technologies (high yielding varieties, HYVs) on rural household welfare measured by consumption expenditure and poverty indices in two regions of rural Ethiopia (Amhara and Tigray) and 51 rural villages based on data drawn from the World Bank (2010). It applies two potential program evaluation techniques (propensity score matching, PSM, and endogenous switching regression, ESR). The analysis reveals that adoption of improved agricultural technologies has a robust, significant and positive impact on per capita consumption expenditure and a negative impact on the poverty status of households. The overall average gain in per capita consumption expenditure ranges from Birr 582.67 to Birr 606.69 annually. The estimated impact on poverty reduction as measured by the headcount index ranges from 6.7 to 8.3% points. The findings also indicate that this reduces the depth and severity of poverty. The estimated effect on reducing the depth of poverty is in the range of 0.5–0.6% points and it decreases inequality (severity) of poverty by about 0.1% points. This suggests the need for continued and broad public and private investments in agriculture research to address vital development challenges and the need for policy support for improving extension efforts and access to seeds and market outlets that encourage adoption of improved agricultural technologies.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
The outcome variable here is log of households’ income.
- 2.
Birr is the official currency of Ethiopia.
- 3.
What would have happened to participating units if they had not participated?
- 4.
D is the treatment variable and Y for the outcome variable.
- 5.
For a detailed description of the methods see Blundell and Dias (2000).
- 6.
See Caliendo and Kopeinig (2008) for some practical guidance in the implementation of propensity score matching.
- 7.
An alternative estimation method is the two-step procedure (see Maddala 1983: 224, for details). However, this method is less efficient than FIML, it requires some adjustments to derive consistent standard errors (Maddala 1983: 225), and it shows poor performance in case of high multicollinearity between the covariates of the selection Eq. 2.6 and the covariates of the regression Eqs. 2.7a and 2.7b.
- 8.
- 9.
The default is logit, but probit could also be used by specification.
- 10.
P0 P1, P2 stands for headcount index, poverty gap index and severity index respectively of the FGT values.
- 11.
The ‘movestay’ command of Stata was used to estimate the endogenous switching regression model by FIML (Lokshin and Sajaia 2004).
References
Adekambi, S.A., A. Diagne, F.P. Simtowe, and G. Biaou. 2009. The impact of agricultural technology adoption on poverty: The case of, NERICA rice varieties in Benin. Paper prepared for presentation at the International Association of Agricultural Economists’ conference, Aug 16–22, Beijing, China.
Alene, A.D., V. Manyong, G. Omanya, H. Mignouna, M. Bokanga, and G. Odhiambo. 2008. Smallholder market participation under transactions costs: Maize supply and fertilizer demand in Kenya. Food Policy 33 (4): 318–328.
Bahadur, K.L., and B. Siegfried. 2004. Technology adoption and household food security. Analyzing factors determining technology adoption and impact of project intervention: A case of smallholder peasants in Nepal. Paper prepared for presentation at the Deutscher Tropentag, 5–7 Oct, Humboldt University, Berlin.
Balagtas, V., J.Y. Coulibaly, M. Jabbar, and A. Negassa. 2007. Dairy market participation with endogenous livestock ownership: Evidence from cˆote d’ivoire. AAEC annual meeting, Portland, Oregon TN.
Becerril, J., and A. Abdulai. 2010. The impact of improved maize varieties on poverty in Mexico: A propensity score-matching approach. World Development 38 (7): 1024–1035.
Becker, S.O. 2009. Methods to estimate causal effects theory and applications. U Stirling, Ifo, CESifo and IZA last update: 21 Aug 2009. Stirling Management School, UK.
Becker, S.O., and A. Ichino. 2002. Estimation of average treatment effects based on propensity scores. The Stata Journal 2 (4): 358–377.
Blundell, R., and I. Preston. 1998. Consumption inequality and income uncertainty. Quarterly Journal of Economics 113: 603–640.
Blundell, R., and M. Costa-Dias. 2000. Evaluation methods for non-experimental Data. Fiscal Studies 21 (4): 427–468.
Bwalya, R., J. Mugisha, and T. Hyuha. 2013. Transaction costs and smallholder household access to maize markets in Zambia. Journal of Development and Agricultural Economics 5 (9): 328–336.
Caliendo, M., and S. Kopeinig. 2008. Some practical guidance for the implementation of propensity score matching. Journal of Economic Surveys 22 (1): 31–72.
Datt, G., and M. Ravallion. 1996. How important to India’s poor is the sectoral composition of growth? World Bank Economic Review 10 (1): 1–26.
Di Falco, S., M. Veronesi, and M. Yesuf. 2011. Does adaptation to climate change provide food security? A micro-perspective from Ethiopia. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 93 (3): 829–846.
Doagostino, R.B. 1998. Tutorial in biostatistics propensity score methods for bias reduction in the comparison of a treatment to a non-randomized control group. Department of Public Health Sciences, Winston-Salem, USA.
Donaldson, D. 1992. On the aggregation of money measures of well-being in applied welfare economics. Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 17: 88–102.
Duclos, J.-Y., and A. Araar. 2010. Poverty and equity: Measurement, policy and estimation with DAD. Economic studies in inequality, social exclusion and well-being. Berlin: Springer.
Esquivel, G., and A. Huerta-Pineda. 2006. Remittances and poverty in Mexico: A propensity score matching approach. Unpublished.
Faltermeier, L., and A. Abdulai. 2006. The adoption of water conservation and intensification technologies and farm income: A propensity score analysis for rice farmers in Northern Ghana. Unpublished.
Feder, G., R.E. Just, and D. Zilberman. 1985. Adoption of agricultural innovations in developing countries. Chicago Journal, Economic Development and Cultural Change 33 (2): 255–298.
Foster, J., J. Greer, and E. Thorbecke. 1984. A class of decomposable poverty measures. Econometrica 52 (3): 761–766.
Gertler, P.J., S. Martinez, P. Premand, L.B. Rawlings, and C.M.J. Vermeersch. 2011. Impact evaluation in practice. Available at: http://www.worldbank.org/.
Hailemariam, T., M. Alemu, G. Köhlin, and S. Di Falco. 2016. Does adoption of multiple climate-smart practices improve farmers’ climate resilience? Empirical evidence from the Nile Basin of Ethiopia. Discussion Paper Series, August.
Haughton, J., and S.R. Khandker. 2009. Handbook on poverty and inequality. Washington DC: The World Bank.
Hausman, J.A. 1978. Specification tests in econometrics. Econometrica 46: 1251–1272.
Heckman, J., H. Ichimura, J. Smith, and P. Todd. 1998. Characterizing selection bias using experimental data. Econometrica 66 (5): 1017–1098.
Hentschel, J. and P. Lanjouw. 1996. Constructing an indicator of consumption for the analysis of poverty: Principles and illustrations with reference to Ecuador. Working Paper No. 124, Living Standards Measurement Study. Washington, DC: The World Bank.
Hossain, M. 1989. Green revolution in Bangladesh: Impact on growth and distribution of income. Dhaka: University Press Ltd.
Hundie, B., and A. Admassie. 2016. Potential impacts of yield-increasing crop technologies on productivity and poverty in two districts of Ethiopia. Unpublished.
Jung, S. 2014. Does education affect risk aversion?: Evidence from the British education reform. Thema Working Paper, Université de Cergy Pontoise, France.
Kassie, M., B. Shiferaw, and G. Muricho. 2011. Agricultural technology, crop income, and poverty alleviation in Uganda. World Development 39 (10): 1784–1795.
Kassie, M., B. Shiferaw, and G. Muricho. 2010. Adoption and impact of improved groundnut varieties on rural poverty. Evidence from rural Uganda. Discussion Paper Series, May.
Kelsey, J. 2011. Market inefficiencies and the adoption of agricultural technologies in developing countries. Unpublished.
Lee, L.F., and R.P. Trost. 1978. Estimation of some limited dependent variable models with application to housing demand. Journal of Econometrics 8: 357–382.
Lokshin, M., and Z. Zurab-Sajaia. 2004. Maximum likelihood estimation of endogenous switching regression models. The Stata Journal 4 (3): 282–289.
Maddala, G.S. 1983. Limited dependent and qualitative variables in econometrics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Maddala, G.S., and F.D. Nelson. 1975. Switching regression models with exogenous and endogenous switching. In Proceeding of the American statistical association (Business and Economics Section), 423–426.
Mendola, M. 2003. Agricultural technology and poverty reduction: A micro-level analysis of causal effects. Development Studies Working Papers No. 179 November, University of Milan-Bicocca, Italy.
Mendola, M. 2007. Agricultural technology adoption and poverty reduction: A propensity score matching analysis for rural Bangladesh. Food Policy 32 (3): 372–393.
MOFED (Ministry of Finance and Economic Development). 2012. Ethiopia’s progress towards eradicating poverty: An interim report on poverty analysis study (2012/13). Addis Ababa: The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia.
Ravallion, M., S. Chen, and P. Sangraula. 2007. New evidence on the urbanization of global poverty. Population and Development Review 33 (4): 667–701.
Rosenbaum, P.R. 2002. Observational Studies. New York: Springer.
Rosenbaum, P.R., and D.B. Rubin. 1985. Constructing a control group using multivariate matched sampling methods that incorporate the propensity score. American Statistician 39 (1): 33–38.
Rosenbaum, P.R., and D.B. Rubin. 1983. The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika 70 (1): 41–55.
Sahu, S.K., and S. Das. 2015. Impact of agricultural related technology adoption on poverty: A study of select households in Rural India. Madras School of Economics Working Paper 131.
Sanchez, P.A., G.L. Denning, and G. Nziguheba. 2009. The African green revolution moves forward. Food Security 1: 37–44.
Setotaw, F., G. Ayele, and H. Teklewold. 2003. Impact of technology on households food security in tef and wheat farming systems of Moretna Jiru woreda. Ethiopian Agricultural Research Organization (EARO), Research Report No. 48.
Shiferaw, B., M. Kassie, M. Jaleta, and C. Yirga. 2014. Adoption of improved wheat varieties and impacts on household food security in Ethiopia. Food Policy 44: 272–284.
Simtowe, F., A. Solomon, B. Shiferaw, and L. Lipper. 2012a. Impact of modern agricultural technologies on smallholder welfare: Evidence from Tanzania and Ethiopia. Food Policy 37: 283–295.
Simtowe, F., M. Kassie, S. Asfaw, B. Shiferaw, E. Monyo, and M. Siambi. 2012. Welfare effects of agricultural technology adoption: The case of improved groundnut varieties in rural Malawi. Paper prepared for presentation at the international association of agricultural economists (IAAE) Triennial Conference, 18–24 Aug, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil.
Smith, J., and P. Todd. 2005. Does matching overcome LaLonde’s critique non-experimental estimators? Journal of Econometrics 125 (1–2): 305–353.
Solomon, A., and S. Bekele. 2010. Agricultural technology adoption and rural poverty: Application of an endogenous switching regression for selected East African Countries. Cape Town, South Africa, September 19–23, 2010.
Solomon, A., B. Shiferaw, and F. Simtowe. 2010. Does technology adoption promote commercialization? Evidence from Chickpea Technologies in Ethiopia. Unpublished.
Solomon, A., M. Kassie, F. Simtowe, and Leslie Lipper. 2012. Poverty reduction effects of agricultural technology: A Micro-evidence from Tanzania. Unpublished.
Tesfaye, S., B. Bedada, and Y. Mesay. 2016. Impact of improved wheat technology adoption on productivity and income in Ethiopia. Wheat regional centre of excellence, Kulumsa Agricultural Research Centre, Ethiopia Department of Agricultural Economics, Pretoria University, South Africa. African Crop Science Journal 24: 127–135.
Tsegaye, M., and H. Bekele. 2012. Impacts of adoption of improved wheat technologies on households’ food consumption in Southeastern Ethiopia. Selected poster prepared for presentation at the International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE) Triennial Conference, 18–24 Aug, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil.
The World Bank. 2008. World development report 2008: Agriculture for development. Washington, DC: The World Bank.
Vance, C., and J. Geoghegan. 2004. Modeling the determinants of semi-subsistent and commercial land uses in an agricultural frontier of Southern Mexico: A switching regression approach. International Regional Science Review 27 (3): 326–347.
Winter-Nelson, A., and A. Temu. 2005. Impacts of prices and transactions costs on input usage in a liberalizing economy: Evidence from Tanzanian coffee growers. Agricultural Economics 33 (3): 243–253.
Wu, H., S. Ding, S. Pandey, and D. Tao. 2010. Assessing the impact of agricultural technology adoption on farmers’ well-being in Rural China. Asian Economic Journal 24 (2): 141–160.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Habtewold, T.M. (2018). Adoption and Impact of Improved Agricultural Technologies on Rural Poverty. In: Heshmati, A., Yoon, H. (eds) Economic Growth and Development in Ethiopia. Perspectives on Development in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Region. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-8126-2_2
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-8126-2_2
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-10-8125-5
Online ISBN: 978-981-10-8126-2
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)