Skip to main content

Money Supply Endogeneity: Evidence from the Dynamic Panel Data

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Proceedings of the ASEAN Entrepreneurship Conference 2014

Abstract

In the discussion on monetary economics in general and the supply of money in an economy in particular, one cannot avoid mentioning one major concept, i.e. the money supply endogeneity. Money supply is said to be endogenous or endogenously determined if money creation occurs within the monetary system of an economy – rather than being determined by external forces. The theory of endogenous money represents the foundation of post-Keynesian monetary theory. Money supply endogeneity implies that central banks do not exogenously determine the quantity of credit money in existence; it is the interest rate that they can control exogenously. The present paper examines the money supply endogeneity based on a panel data set of 174 countries from year 2001 to 2011 utilising the dynamic panel data analysis and has found that money supply is endogenous as proposed by post-Keynesian theorists.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    See Arellano and Bover [4] and Blundell and Bond [5] for more detailed explanation of the dynamic panel system GMM, its moment conditions and stationarity assumptions which are shown to outperform difference GMM and static panel model such as fixed effect and pooled OLS.

  2. 2.

    By construction, the differenced error term is probably serially correlated at first order even if the original error is not. While most studies that employ GMM dynamic estimation report the test for first-order serial correlation, some do not.

References

  1. Ahmad N, Ahmet F (2006) The long-run and short-run endogeneity of money supply in Pakistan: an empirical investigation. State Bank of Pakistan-Research Bulletin 2. Lahore

    Google Scholar 

  2. Alonso-Borrego C, Arellano M (1999) Symmetrically normalized instrumental variable estimation using panel data. J Bus Econ Stat 17(1):36–49

    Google Scholar 

  3. Arellano M, Bond S (1991) Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Rev Econ Stud 58:277–297

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Arellano M, Bover O (1995) Another look at the instrumental variables estimation of error-components models. J Econ 68:29–51

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Blundell R, Bond S (1998) Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. J Econ 87:115–143

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Bond S, Hoeffler A, Temple J (2001) GMM estimation of empirical growth models. Economic papers, W21. Nuffield College, University of Oxford, UK. Retrieved from http://www.nuff.ox.ac.uk/Economics/papers/2001/w21/bht10.pdf

  7. Cifter A, Ozun A (2007) The monetary transmission mechanism in the new economy: evidence from Turkey (1997–2006). South East Eur J Econ Bus 2:15–24

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Davidson P (1991) A Post Keynesian positive contribution to “theory”. J Post Keynesian Econ, M.E. Sharpe, Inc. 13(2):298–303

    Google Scholar 

  9. Kaldor N (1982) The scourge of monetarism. Oxford University Press, London

    Google Scholar 

  10. Keynes JM (1930) A treatise on money, vol I & II. Harcourt, Brace and Company, New York

    Google Scholar 

  11. Keynes JM (1933) Essays in biography, vol X. Macmillan, London

    Google Scholar 

  12. Keynes JM (1936) The general theory of employment, interest and money. Prometheus Books, London

    Google Scholar 

  13. King M (1994) The transmission mechanism of monetary policy. Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, August

    Google Scholar 

  14. Lavoie M (1996) Monetary policy in an economy with endogenous credit money. In: Nell E, Deleplace G (eds) Money in motion. Macmillan, London

    Google Scholar 

  15. Lavoie M (2005) Monetary base endogeneity and the new procedures of the asset-based Canadian and American monetary systems. J Post Keynesian Econ 27(4):689–708

    Google Scholar 

  16. Moore BJ (1983) Unpacking the Post Keynesian black box: bank lending and the money supply. J Post Keynesian Econ 5(4):537–556

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Moore BJ (1988) The endogenous money supply. J Post Keynesian Econ 10(3):372–385

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Palley TI (1992) Money, credit and prices in a kaldorian macro model. J Post Keynesian Econ 14(2):183–205

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Palley TI (1997) Endogeneous money and the business cycle. J Econ 65(2):133–149

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Panagopoulos Y, Spiliotis A (1998) The determinants of commercial banks’ lending behavior: some evidence for Greece. J Post Keynesian Econ 20(4):649–672

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Pollin R (1991) Two theories of money supply endogeneity: some empirical evidence. J Post Keynesian Econ 13(3):366–396

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Rochon L-P (2001) Cambridge’s contribution to endogenous money: Robinson and Kahn on credit and money. Rev Polit Econ 13(3):287–307

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Smithin J (1997) Macroeconomic policy and the future of capitalism. The revenge of the Rentiers and the threat to prosperity. Kyklos 50(3):441–442

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Vera AP (2001) The endogenous money hypothesis: some evidence from Spain (1987–1998). J Post Keynesian Econ 23(3):509–526

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Vymyatnina Y (2006) How much control does Bank of Russia have over money supply? Research in International Business 20(2):131–144

    Google Scholar 

  26. Wray LR (1992) Alternative approaches to money and interest rates. J Econ Issues 26(4):1145–1178

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. World Bank (2012) World bank’s world development indicators. Dataset retrieved from World Development Indicator website: http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicators

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Sabri Nayan .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2016 Springer Science+Business Media Singapore

About this paper

Cite this paper

Nayan, S., Kadir, N., Yusof, A.H., Ali, N.A.M. (2016). Money Supply Endogeneity: Evidence from the Dynamic Panel Data. In: Mohd Sidek, N., Ali, S., Ismail, M. (eds) Proceedings of the ASEAN Entrepreneurship Conference 2014. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-0036-2_21

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics