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Towards a New Generation of Techniques for the Environmental Management of Maritime Activities

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Environmental Security of the European Cross-Border Energy Supply Infrastructure

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Abstract

An overview is presented of a new preventive method for minimizing environmental risks based on the optimization of the location of potentially dangerous activities. The starting point of the relevant technology is the frequent presence of semi-persistent surface current patterns in many water bodies. Due to these patterns the probability of transport of dangerous substances (for example, oil pollution) from different open sea areas to vulnerable regions often becomes highly variable. For certain offshore areas this probability is relatively small and (re)directing activities to these areas would involve very limited additional costs. Principles, key components and applications of a prototype method for the identification of such areas and for their use in environmental management of shipping, offshore and coastal engineering activities are described. The core idea is to identify and quantify the potential of different offshore domains to serve as a source of danger to the vulnerable areas through pollution transport by various met-ocean drivers. An approximate solution to this inverse problem of pollution propagation is obtained by means of statistical analysis of a large number of solutions to the direct problem of propagation of tracers in terms of so-called Lagrangian trajectories. The offshore domains are quantified in terms of the probability of the current-driven adverse impact reaching the near-shore after an accident has happened or, alternatively, in terms of time until this impact (for example, an oil spill) reaches the coast. Variations of this method can be used, for example, for estimates of risks of the offshore activities in the open ocean, for fairway design and for the prediction of the most frequently hit near-shore domains.

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Acknowledgments

This study was originally motivated by the BONUS project BalticWay which attempted to propose ways to reduce pollution risks in the Baltic Sea by smart placing of human activities. The underlying research was jointly supported by the targeted financing by the Estonian Ministry of Education and Research (Grant No. SF0140007s11), by the European Union (European Regional Development Fund, ERDF) through the Mobilitas project MTT63 and the Centre of Excellence for Non-linear Studies CENS, and by the Estonian Science Foundation (Grant No. 9125). This paper was prepared as a part of the project “Science-based forecast and quantification of risks to properly and timely react to hazards impacting Estonian mainland, air space, water bodies and coasts” (TERIKVANT) supported by the ERDF and managed by the Estonian Research Council in the framework of the Environmental Technology R&D Programme KESTA.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Cybernetics, Tallinn University of Technology, Akadeemia tee 21, 12618, Tallinn, Estonia

    T. Soomere, N. C. Delpeche-Ellmann, T. Torsvik & B. Viikmäe

  2. Estonian Academy of Sciences, Kohtu 6, 10130, Tallinn, Estonia

    T. Soomere

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  1. T. Soomere
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  2. N. C. Delpeche-Ellmann
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  3. T. Torsvik
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  4. B. Viikmäe
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Correspondence to T. Soomere .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. British Geological Survey, Nottingham, United Kingdom

    M.G. Culshaw

  2. Sergeev Institute of Environmental Geosc, Moscow, Russia

    V.I. Osipov

  3. British Geological Survey, Nottingham, United Kingdom

    S.J. Booth

  4. Sergeev Institute of Environmental Geosc, Moscow, Russia

    A.S. Victorov

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Soomere, T., Delpeche-Ellmann, N.C., Torsvik, T., Viikmäe, B. (2015). Towards a New Generation of Techniques for the Environmental Management of Maritime Activities. In: Culshaw, M., Osipov, V., Booth, S., Victorov, A. (eds) Environmental Security of the European Cross-Border Energy Supply Infrastructure. NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-9538-8_8

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