Skip to main content

Seismic Risk Assessment of Hospitals in Lima City Using GIS Tools

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2017 (ICCSA 2017)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 10406))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

In this work, seismic risk assessment of hospitals in Lima city is presented. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the seismic risk of the Lima’s health system at Metropolitan scale. Seismic Risk Analysis has been carried out utilizing the Comprehensive Approach for Probabilistic Risk Assessment methodology (CAPRA). Geographic Information System (GIS) tools have been used to model the risk components: hazard, exposure and vulnerability. A total of 41 hospitals have been evaluated in order to obtain risk indicators in terms of economic losses. The results show that after an 8.2 magnitude earthquake with an epicenter in the coast of Lima, 85% of hospital buildings have more than 10% of structural damage. Furthermore, the expected annual loss (EAL) is 2% of the replacement value, which is high and uncompetitive compared with the values of the insurance sector market. This study seeks to understand and evaluate the hospitals seismic risk at metropolitan level in order to define measures, priorities and actions for the future development of Lima’s health system.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    According with [42], there are a total of 47 hospitals, but just 41 are managed by the government, and the other 6 have an independent administration. In addition, hospitals that started operating after the data collection date were not included in this work.

  2. 2.

    Seismic sources geometry and their seismicity parameters can be managed in ArcGIS [22], as shapefiles (*.shp) than can be imported in CRISIS.

  3. 3.

    Currency conversion: S/. 1.00 ≈ US$ 0.30).

References

  1. Ordaz, M., Miranda, E., Reinoso, E., Pérez-Rocha, L.E.: Seismic loss estimation model for Mexico City, Auckland (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Cardona, O., et al.: Probabilistic seismic risk assessment for comprehensive risk management: modeling for innovative risk transfer and loss financing mechanisms. In: World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Beijing (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  3. ERN-AL: Comprehensive Approach for Probabilistic Risk Assessment (CAPRA), Mexico, D.F. (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Cardona, O.D., Ordaz, M., Reinoso, E., Yamín, L., Barbat, A.: Comprehensive approach for probabilistic risk assessment (CAPRA): International Initiative for disaster risk management effectiveness, Ohrid (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Cardona, O.D., Ordaz, M., Reinoso, E., Yamín, L., Barbat, A.: Enfoque integral para la Evaluación Probabilista del Riesgo (CAPRA): Iniciativa Internacional para la Efectividad de la Gestión del Riesgo de Desastre, Granada (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Cardona, O.D., Ordaz, M., Reinoso, E., Yamín, L., Barbat, A.: Comprehensive Approach to Probabilistic Risk Assessment: International Initiative for Risk Management Effectiveness - CAPRA, Lisboa (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Marulanda, M., Carreño, M., Cardona, O., Ordaz, M., Barbat, A.: Probabilistic earthquake risk assessment using CAPRA: application to the city of Barcelona, Spain. Nat. Hazards 69(1), 59–84 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Carreño, M., Cardona, O.D., Barbat, A., Velásquez, C., Salgado, M.: Holistic seismic risk assessment of port of spain: an integrated evaluation and tool in the framework of CAPRA, Istambul (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Velásquez, C., et al.: Hybrid loss exceedance curve (HLEC) for disaster risk assessment. Nat. Hazards 72(2), 455–479 (2014)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  10. Mora, M., et al.: Prioritizing interventions to reduce seismic vulnerability in school facilities in Colombia. Earthq. Spectra 31(4), 2535–2552 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Jaimes, M., et al.: A new approach to probabilistic earthquake-induced tsunami risk. Ocean Coast. Manag. 119, 68–75 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. INEI: Una mirada a Lima Metropolitana, Lima (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Tavera, H., et al.: Seismic hazard analysis in Peru. In: 16 World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Santiago de Chile (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Esteva, L.: Criterios para la construcción de espectros para diseño sísmico, Caracas (1967)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Cornell, A.: Engineering seismic risk analysis. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 58(5), 1583–1606 (1968)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Reiter, L.: Earthquake Hazard Analysis: Issues and Insights. Columbia University Press (1990)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Ordaz, M., Aguilar, A., Arboleda, J.: CRISIS2007 Ver 7.4, México, D.F. (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  18. INDECI-PNUD: Estudio SIRAD. Recursos de respuesta inmediata y de recuperación temprana ante la ocurrencia de un sismo y/o tsunami en Lima Metropolitana y Callao, Lima (2011). http://sirad.indeci.gob.pe/static/SIRAD_Publicacion_ES.pdf

  19. RNE NTE E.030: Norma Técnica de Edificación E.030 - Diseño Sismorresistente. Mnisterio de Vivienda, Construcción y Saneamiento, Lima (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  20. ERN-AL: Site Effects 1.0.0., Evaluación de Riesgos Naturales - America Latina, Mexico, D.F. (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  21. Lavell, A.: I. International Agency Concepts and Guidelines for Disaster Risk Management, II. The Transition from Risk Concepts to Risk Indicators, Manizales (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  22. ESRI: ArcGIS 10.2 for Desktop, Redlands (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  23. Lazares, F., Rios, J.: Metodología para determinación de la vulnerabilidad estructural en instalaciones hospitalarias, Lima (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  24. OPS: Diagnóstico de la Vulnerabilidad Sísmica en Hospitales del Perú, Lima (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  25. Reque, K.: Diagnóstico preliminar de la vulnerabilidad para establecimientos de salud en el Perú, Lima (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  26. INDECI-PNUD: Proyecto SIRAD: Sistema de Información sobre Recursos para Atención de Desastres, Lima (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  27. PREDES: Evaluación de vulnerabilidad de infraestructura de salud y educación en Lima y Callao, Lima (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  28. ATC: FEMA-154: Rapid visual screening of buildings for potential seismic hazards: A handbook, Washington, D.C. (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  29. NSET: Guidelines for seismic vulnerability assessment of hospitals, Nepal (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  30. CENAPRED: Guía Básica para la Elaboración de Atlas Estatales y Municipales de Peligros y Riesgos. Evaluación de la vulnerabilidad física y social, México, D.F. (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  31. OPS: Índice de Seguridad Hospitalaria: Formularios para evaluación de hospitales seguros. Hospitales seguros frente a desastres, Washington, DC (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  32. INEI: Censo de Infraestructura Educativa - CIE 2013, Lima, Perú (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  33. RNE NTE E.030: Diseño Sismorresistente, Lima (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  34. MINSA: Hospital technical files, Lima (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  35. Rios, F., Zavala, C.: Impact of the Pisco-Peru earthquake of August 15th 2007 on health facilities, Beijing (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  36. Miranda, E.: Assessment of the seismic vulnerability of existing buildings, Acapulco (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  37. FEMA: HAZUS-MH 2.1. Multi-hazard loss estimation methodology: earthquake model. Technical Manual, Washington, D.C. (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  38. Tarque, N., Crowley, H., Pinho, R., Varum, H.: Displacement-based fragility curves for seismic assessment of adobe buildings in Cusco, Peru. Earthq. Spectra 28(2), 759–794 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. ATC: Earthquake Damage Evaluation Data for California (Report ATC-13), Redwood City (1985)

    Google Scholar 

  40. SBS: Resolución SBS N° 1305–2005. Reglamento para la constitución de la reserva de riesgos catastróficos y de siniestralidad incierta, Lima (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  41. FEMA: Engineering guideline for incremental seismic rehabilitation (FEMA P-420 report), Washington, D.C. (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  42. Santa-Cruz, S.: Evaluación probabilista del riesgo sísmico de escuelas y hospitales en la ciudad de Lima. Componente 2: Evaluación probabilista del riesgo sísmico de locales escolares, Probabilistic seismic risk assessment of schools and hospitals in the city of Lima, Pontificia Universidad Catolica del Peru, Lima, Internal report (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  43. Santa-Cruz, S., Palomino, J., Niño, M.: Development of seismic vulnerability functions for Lima hospitals using simplified methods. In 11th US National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Los Angeles (2018). (submitted)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Nicola Liguori .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG

About this paper

Cite this paper

Santa-Cruz, S., Palomino, J., Liguori, N., Vona, M., Tamayo, R. (2017). Seismic Risk Assessment of Hospitals in Lima City Using GIS Tools. In: Gervasi, O., et al. Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2017. ICCSA 2017. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 10406. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-62398-6_25

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-62398-6_25

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-62397-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-62398-6

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics