Abstract
In this chapter, we analyze the relationship between Kondratieff waves and major technological revolutions on the basis of the theory of production principles and production revolutions, and offer some forecasts about the features of the Sixth Kondratieff Wave/the Fourth Industrial Revolution. We show that the technological breakthrough of the Sixth Kondratieff Wave may be interpreted as both the Fourth Industrial Revolution and as the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution. We assume that the sixth K-wave in the 2030s and 2040s will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call a phase of self-regulating systems). This period will be characterized by the breakthrough in medical technologies which will be capable of combining a number of other technologies into a single system of new and innovative technologies (we denote this system as a system of MANBRIC-technologies—i.e. medical, additive, nano-, bio-, robo-, info-, and cogno-technologies).
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Notes
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During the Industrial Epoch these elements existed separately: technologies were preserved on paper or in the engineer’s minds. At present, thanks to IT and other technologies the technological constituent fulfils the managing function facilitating the path to the epoch of self-regulating systems.
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Acknowledgments
The study was implemented in the framework of the Basic Research Program at the National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE) in 2017. This research was supported by the Russian Science Foundation [Project # 14-11-00634].
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Grinin, L., Grinin, A., Korotayev, A. (2017). The MANBRIC-Technologies in the Forthcoming Technological Revolution. In: Devezas, T., LeitĂŁo, J., Sarygulov, A. (eds) Industry 4.0. Studies on Entrepreneurship, Structural Change and Industrial Dynamics. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-49604-7_13
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