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Canadian Fertility Trends and Policies: A Story of Regional Variation

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Low Fertility, Institutions, and their Policies

Abstract

Fertility in Canada has been declining since the peak of the baby boom in the late 1950s. The period total fertility rate (TFR) was almost 4.00 births per woman in 1959, reached a low of 1.51 in 2000, and currently stands at 1.61. The decline was greatest during the 1960s and then slowed considerably, and Canada’s TFR has been fairly stable since the 1970s. The full story of Canadian fertility is not in this dramatic decline, however, but rather in the variation across provinces. Provinces have considerable freedom to implement their own policies and shape their own social institutions. As a result, the varying institutional contexts have supported different fertility trends and levels. Alberta and provinces or territories with relatively large Aboriginal populations have higher fertility, while British Columbia and Ontario have the lowest levels. Québec’s fertility was the lowest in the 1980s but has seen a recent increase, likely at least partly a result of pro-natalist policies such as tax incentives, allowances, very low-cost childcare, and expansive parental leave.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The Group of Eight (G8) consists of eight highly industrialized nations—France, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom, Japan, the United States, Canada, and Russia.

  2. 2.

    I follow the cited literature when referring to the Aboriginal population, which generally uses the term Aboriginal to include those who identify themselves as Aboriginal and/or as Registered Indians, members of an Indian Band, or First Nation. This includes Inuit and Métis.

  3. 3.

    These percentages exclude single people living alone. In the 2011 census, 32 % of households in Québec had one person, compared with 25 % in Ontario and Alberta and 28 % in BC.

  4. 4.

    Irish Catholics in Québec did appear to experience a fertility decline earlier than French-speaking Catholics, so that by 1901 their fertility was between that of the French-speaking Catholics and English-speaking Protestants. The religious-regional variation in fertility is well documented by Gauvreau (2006).

  5. 5.

    The term “Quiet Revolution” is widely used today, although it is not an official name for this period (Bélanger 2000).

  6. 6.

    Subsidized spaces were created by opening new Centres de la Petite Enfance (CPEs) and by providing subsidy payments to existing centers. Centers are typically open from about 7:00 or 7:30 a.m. to 5:00 or 6:00 p.m. These hours enable most workers to drop off and pick up their children around a typical eight-hour work day.

  7. 7.

    These data come from the National Longitudinal Survey of Children and Youth (NLSCY) and are only representative of families with both parents employed or studying, not all Canadian families. As Cleveland et al. (2008, p. 6) say “the NLSCY provides an incomplete picture of childcare-use patterns. Still, the data are the best currently available.”

  8. 8.

    Ang (2015) does not comment on the size of this effect.

  9. 9.

    Tuition fees are typically higher for out-of-province students.

  10. 10.

    One could also argue that women in Quebec may be dropping out of school in order to have children, but teenage pregnancy is not particularly high.

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Acknowledgments

I would like to thank Jesse Shuster-Leibner for his research assistance, particularly with helping me understand the French documents; Anne Gauthier for her comments and help identifying important resources; Ron Rindfuss and Minja Choe for their comments; and the four reviewers of this chapter for their detailed, thoughtful, and constructive comments.

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Brauner-Otto, S.R. (2016). Canadian Fertility Trends and Policies: A Story of Regional Variation. In: Rindfuss, R., Choe, M. (eds) Low Fertility, Institutions, and their Policies. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-32997-0_5

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