Abstract
Spatial injustice is the main feature of Iran’s spatial organization. The consequences of injustice are the socio-economic and spatial inefficiencies that have led to the polar development of the Iran regions. The current research with the use descriptive-analytic method intends to perform scenario planning toward spatial justice in Iran regions. The key factors of the research were extracted from field studies. The non-probability sampling method was used to select the experts (30 N). MICMAC software was used for data analysis. The results showed that political and spatial power concentration, management and planning concentration, and top-down planning are the three most important influencing factors in spatial injustice in Iran. Scenario analysis indicates that in the most desirable scenario the optimal conditions (Regional balance and spatial justice) are superior to the current situations. In the second scenario important key factors are superior to the static condition. In the third scenario key factors are in intermediate conditions, but in the fourth scenario the unfavorable conditions prevail to the medium and desirable situations. Overall, it can be concluded that the current trend of spatial justice in Iran is based on third and fourth scenarios.
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The authors wish to thank Professor Albert Ziparo for his support and hospitality in the university of Florence, Italy.
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Asadzadeh, H., Hatami, A. (2023). Future Study of Regional Spatial Structure in Iran (Horizon 2040). In: Alberti, F., Matamanda, A.R., He, BJ., Galderisi, A., Smol, M., Gallo, P. (eds) Urban and Transit Planning. Advances in Science, Technology & Innovation. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-20995-6_8
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