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Machine Learning Approach with Environmental Pollution and Geospatial Information for Mapping Poverty in Thailand

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Applied Geography and Geoinformatics for Sustainable Development

Abstract

Pollution is a major public health and human rights issue that disproportionately affects the poor and disadvantaged. However, academic studies have not fully explored the relationship between poverty and the spatial distribution of environmental pollution, notably in Thailand. Thus, this chapter aims to fill a void in academic research by exploring the implementation of machine learning in the estimation of poverty by training input data from widely available and accessible open source, including environmental pollution and road density. The poverty rate is obtained from the TPMAP website and then clustered into two groups, “high and low,” using hot spot analysis. The Google Earth Engine is used to extract pollution indexes such as carbon monoxide, formaldehyde, nitrogen, and sulfur dioxide, while road density is downloaded from OpenStreetMap. This study compares four different machine learning models: XGboost, lasso, random forest, and ridge regression for poverty estimation. The result of the study reveals that poverty-related areas are highly correlated with environmental pollution. The random forest technique has the best performance prediction among the four methods, with an R2 of 0.79. Finally, feature importance analysis is used to determine the most influential features in order to assist decision-makers in gaining a better understanding of poverty.

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Acknowledgments

This research is financially supported by Thailand Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (TAIST), National Science and Technology Development Agency (NSTDA), Tokyo Institute of Technology, and Sirindhorn International Institute of Technology (SIIT), Thammasat University (TU) under the TAIST-Tokyo Tech Program. Also this research is partially supported by Thammasat University Research fund under the TSRI, Contract No. TUFF19/2564 and TUFF24/2565, for the project of “AI Ready City Networking in RUN,” based on the RUN Digital Cluster collaboration scheme.

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Correspondence to Mahmud Isnan .

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Isnan, M., Horanont, T., Plangprasopchok, A. (2023). Machine Learning Approach with Environmental Pollution and Geospatial Information for Mapping Poverty in Thailand. In: Boonpook, W., Lin, Z., Meksangsouy, P., Wetchayont, P. (eds) Applied Geography and Geoinformatics for Sustainable Development. Springer Geography. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-16217-6_12

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