Abstract
We are currently living through tempestuous times where the new currents in Spanish Criminal law seem to be leading us towards a progressive abandonment of the guarantee-based paradigm and a definite approximation towards the paradigm of dangerousness. The issues of criminal dangerousness and its treatment are highly topical, and the assessment of risk seems a difficult issue to resolve insofar as there may be a conflict of rights in the always disheartening struggle between freedom and security. The question for debate is whether it would be advisable to introduce to our legal systems in Spain actuarial techniques, which could contribute to making better predictions as to the degree of dangerousness of dangerous individuals.
Thanks to the Faculty of Legal and Social Sciences of Toledo (UCLM) for its financial support.
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Notes
- 1.
As Wacquant (2010, p. 63) points out ‘the paedophile has become the vile incarnation of any threat to the integrity of the family and is feared to the same extent that the family is subjected to the hardships caused by the informalisation of employment. In short, it is “the other”, the enemy to beat and whom we depersonalise in order objectify’.
- 2.
For a critical analysis of the concept of dangerousness, see Andrés-Pueyo (2013).
- 3.
Monahan points to two studies carried out on the validity of the predictions of clinical judgment. In one of them it was found that only 39% of the defendants who had a medium-high risk of reoffending committed crimes in the following two years, while 26% of those classified as low risk committed a crime. With respect to the other study to which Monahan alludes, of the patients with a predicted high risk of recidivism, one in two committed an offence, and one in three of those classified as low risk or no risk of recidivism committed a violent criminal offence.
- 4.
For Padfield (2010, p. 7), it is imperative to clarify who is an expert in the assessment of dangerousness and if a psychiatrist is more qualified than anyone else to predict dangerousness, in principle because the very concept of dangerousness is basically a political and flexible label. In addition, the experts must be independent, and the affected people must have the right of access to independent reports and experts. Third, since the subject is eminently subjective, the assessments must be carried out with caution, and the judges or other institutions that use these reports must be warned of the weaknesses inherent in any future prediction made by an expert.
- 5.
- 6.
Pre-trial detention is regulated by Articles 502 and 503 of the Criminal Procedure Act (henceforth CPA), as a deprivation of the fundamental right to liberty (Article 17 of the Constitution), meaning that it is exceptional and will only be imposed when there are no other less burdensome measures applicable to the case, and the repercussions for the life of the individual that the measure will produce must always be considered; that is, in accordance with the principles of exceptionality (since the favor libertatis or in dubio pro libertatis governs), that of proportionality, to which we have already alluded, and the principle of judiciality; it must be imposed by the judge or magistrate examining or judging; and the principle of provisionality, by which said prison must be reviewed as the circumstances that justified its imposition change (STC 128/1995 of 26th July).
The judge must weigh up whether to establish pre-trial detention between the favor libertatis and the possible danger of escape, destruction of evidence or of acting against the victim/witness. Furthermore, the second paragraph alludes to the possibility of the accused reoffending, always concurrently with the first and second requirements, together with the seriousness of the crime already committed and those that they could commit, concluding that the requirement of two years in prison is not even necessary, as long as it can be inferred from the court records that they are a habitual criminal or that they collaborate with others in an organised way to commit crimes.
- 7.
By neurosciences, we refer to the disciplines that study ‘the development, structure, function, pharmacology and pathology of the nervous system’, see Mora and Sanguinetti (2004, p. 173).
- 8.
This instrument (SARA), owned by the British Columbia Institute on Family Violence, is used to predict the risk of violent manifestation of domestic abusers with respect to their partner or ex-partner. Its second version has been adapted in Spain by the Group for Advanced Studies in Violence of the University of Barcelona and analyses criteria of psychosocial adjustment, history of aggressions and living together as a couple. The contexts of application are both civil proceedings for custody, as well as criminal charges and assessment of the risk of violence or recidivism (Andrés Pueyo and Echeburúa 2010, p. 407). The Spanish adaptation is used in other Spanish-speaking countries as Chile (Gallardo and Concha-Salgado 2017).
- 9.
The Level of Service Inventory—Revised (LSI-R) is a quantitative tool, designed to be used on subjects aged 16 and over. It has 54 items and examines different characteristics of offenders and relevant situations in which they can be found to determine both the level of supervision and decisions regarding treatment, in the correctional or penitentiary environment. On its use in Spain, see Graña et al. (2014).
- 10.
See BCNROC. Repositori Obert de Coneixement de l'Ajuntament de Barcelona: RVD-BCN: protocol de valoració del risc de violència contra la dona per part de la seva parella o exparella). It has been made freely available to the public under the Creative Commons licence.
- 11.
Article 156.1 of the Prison Regulations, R.D. 190/96, of February 9th, states that: ‘The mandatory report of the Technical Team will be unfavourable when, due to the particular criminal trajectory, the anomalous personality of the inmate or the existence of unfavourable qualitative variables, breach of sentence, the commission of new crimes or a negative impact of the release on the prisoner from the perspective of their preparation for life in freedom or their individualised treatment programme are likely’.
- 12.
Available at: instruccion_3_2008.pdf (acaip.info) [last consultation date 17-9-22]. Previously established in Administrative Instruction 22/96, of December 16th, available at: INSTRUCCIÓN 22-96 permisos.doc (acaip.info) and Administrative Instruction 1/12, of April 2nd, available at: Instruccion_penitenciario_1_2012.pdf (igualdad.gob.es) [date of last consultation 17-9-22]. The latter Administrative Instruction has introduced two new special circumstances, the existence of administrative or judicial removal orders and the commission of crimes of gender-based violence.
In the cases of foreign convicts (non-EU and without legal residence) who also have an administrative or judicial removal order, as well as those who have committed serious crimes (punished with a prison sentence of more than five years), such specific circumstances and granting of permission will be assessed, the agreement must be specially justified and motivated so that the concurrence of such circumstances will not affect the risk of misuse or breach.
- 13.
This table consists of factors indicative of the risk of breach which could not be statistically validated. Cruz Márquez and Moya Guillem (2017, p. 6).
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Marco Francia, M.P. (2023). Why Do They Call It ‘Dangerousness’ When They Mean ‘Risk Assessment’? Using Risk Assessment in the Spanish Criminal Justice System. In: Demetrio Crespo, E., García Figueroa, A., Marcilla Córdoba, G. (eds) Crisis of the Criminal Law in the Democratic Constitutional State. Legal Studies in International, European and Comparative Criminal Law, vol 6. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-13413-5_16
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