Skip to main content

The Impact of Political Stability and Macroeconomic Variables on Foreign Direct Investment in Turkey

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Innovation of Businesses, and Digitalization during Covid-19 Pandemic (ICBT 2021)

Abstract

Foreign direct investment (FDI) is one of the most practical types of foreign investment. FDI contributes to job creation, foreign exchange earnings and national income escalation, improving semi-skill and skilled labor. Based on our knowledge, this paper is the first study attempting to investigate the effect of political stability on the FDI in Turkey using an econometric approach. Achieving this objective, a co-integration analysis was conducted between the FDI and its determinants in the short-run and long-run including “macroeconomic indicators” and “Political Stability (PS)” in Turkey. Using annual data from 1974 to 2017 via Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The results confirm the positive correlation between Gross Domestic Product (GDP), openness, domestic savings and political stability and FDI inflows. They also confirm the negative impact of energy consumption, population and inflation on FDI inflows.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 259.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 329.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Adamoglou, X., Kyrkilis, D.: FDI entry strategies as a function of distance—the case of an emerging market: Turkey. J. Knowl. Econ. 9(4), 1348–1373 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alesina, A., Özler, S., Roubini, N., Swagel, P.: Political instability and economic growth. J. Econ. Growth 1(2), 189–211 (1996)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ali, N., Xialing, L.: Foreign Direct Investment, International Trade and Economic Growth in Pakistan’s Economic Perspective. Am. J. Econ. 7(5), 211–215 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  • Aziz, A., Makkawi, B.: Relationship between foreign direct investment and country population. Int. J. Bus. Manage. 7(8), 63–70 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baek, J.: A new look at the FDI–income–energy–environment nexus: dynamic panel data analysis of ASEAN. Energy Policy 91, 22–27 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bano, S., Zhao, Y., Ahmad, A., Wang, S., Liu, Y.: Why Did FDI inflows of pakistan decline? From the perspective of terrorism, energy shortage, financial instability, and political instability. Emerg. Mark. Finan. Trade 55(1), 90–104 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  • Bekhet, H.A., Al-Smadi, R.W.: Determinants of Jordanian foreign direct investment inflows: bounds testing approach. Econ. Model. 46(2), 27–35 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bilgin, M.H., Gozgor, G., Demir, E.: The determinants of Turkey's exports to Islamic countries: The impact of political risks. J. Int. Trade Econ. Dev. 27(5), 486–503 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  • Bitar, N., Hamadeh, M., Khoueiri, R.: Impact of political instability on foreign direct investment in Lebanon. Asian Soc. Sci. 16(1), 41–48 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Buckley, C., Chen, L., Clegg, L.J., Voss, H.: The role of endogenous and exogenous risk in FDI entry choices. J. World Bus. 55(1), 1–11 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cheng, S., Lin, K., Simmons, R.: A city-level analysis of the distribution of FDI within China. J. Chin. Econ. Foreign Trade Stud. 10(1), 2–18 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Doytch, N., Narayan, S.: Does FDI influence renewable energy consumption? An analysis of sectoral FDI impact on renewable and non-renewable industrial energy consumption. Energy Econ. 54(C), 291–301 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  • Durmaz, N.: Foreign direct investments, democracy, and economic growth in Turkey. Int. J. Soc. Econ. 44(2), 232–252 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Filippaios, F., Annan-Diab, F., Hermidas, A., Theodoraki, C.: Political governance, civil liberties and human capital: evaluating their effect on foreign direct investment in emerging and developing economies. J. Int. Bus. Stud. 50(7), 1103–1129 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fuqian, F., Wei, X., Xiao, Z.: Can the strengthening of foreign shareholding affects the technology spillovers of FDI in China? Stud. Int. Finan. 2, 9 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  • Gokmenoglu, K., Kirikkaleli D., Eren, B.M.: Time and frequency domain causality testing: the causal linkage between FDI and economic risk for the case of Turkey. J. Int. Trade Econ. Dev. 28(6), 649–667 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  • Gujarati, D.N.: Basic Econometrics, 4th edn. McGraw-Hill, New York (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  • Gunby, P., Jin, Y., Reed, W.R.: Did FDI really cause Chinese economic growth? A meta-analysis. World Dev. 90, 242–255 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harris, R.D., Tzavalis, E.: Inference for unit roots in dynamic panels where the time dimension is fixed. J. Econ. 91(2), 201–226 (1999)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Im, K.S., Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y.: Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. J. Econ. 115(1), 53–74 (2003)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Khudari, M.: The effect of foreign direct investment on renewable energy consumption in Malaysia. Test Eng. Manage. 81(11–12), 5847–5853 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  • Kumar, M., Abd Talib, S., Ramayah, T.: Business Research Methods. Oxford University Press. Malaysia (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  • Makino, S., Tsang, E.W.: Historical ties and foreign direct investment: an exploratory study. J. Int. Bus. Stud. 42(4), 545–557 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Narayan, P. Reformulating Critical Values for the Bounds F-Statistics Approach to Cointegration: an Application to the Tourism Demand Model for Fiji, Monash University Australia, Melbourne (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  • Omri, A., Shahbaz, M. Chaibi, A., Rault, C.: A panel analysis of the effects of oil consumption, international tourism, environmental quality and political instability on economic growth in MENA region. Working Papers 2015–613, Department of Research, Ipag Business School (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  • Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y., Smith, R.J.: Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. J. Appl. Economet. 16, 289–326 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rahman, A.: Impact of foreign direct investment of economic growth: empirical evidence from Bangladesh. Int. J. Econ. Financ. 7(2), 1–12 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  • Ridzuan, A.R., Sapuan, N.M., Abd Rahman, N.H., Borhan, H., Othman, A.: The impact of corruption on environmental quality in the developing countries of ASEAN-3: the application of the bound test. Int. J. Energy Econ. Policy 9(6), 469–478 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  • Rjoub, H., Aga, M., Abu Alrub, A., Bein, M.: Financial reforms and determinants of FDI: evidence from landlocked countries in sub-saharan Africa. Economies 5(1), 1–10 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  • Sánchez-Martín, M.E., Francés, G.E., de Arce, R., Borda: Will energy save FDI inflows to turkey from the cool down of EU accession prospects? A case study of how geo-political alliances and regional networks matter. Turkish Stud. 16(4), 608–638 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1080/14683849.2015.1081068

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sapuan, N.M., Mohamed, K.A., Hassan, N.: FDI and economic growth: revisiting the role of energy consumption and financial development. Glob. Bus. Manage. Res. 12(4), 631–646 (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  • Sapuan, N.M., Roly, M.R.: Oil abundance and human capital in malaysia: a multivariate cointegration analysis. Int. J. Energy Econ. Policy 10(3), 303–310 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sapuan, N.M., Roly, M.R.: The Impact of ICT and FDI as drivers to economic growth in ASEAN-8 countries: a panel regression analysis. Int. J. Ind. Manage. 9(1), 91–98 (2021)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tampakoudis, I.A., Subeniotis, D.N., Kroustalis , I.G., Skouloudakis, M.I.: Determinants of foreign direct investment in middle-income countries: new middle-income trap evidence. Mediterr. J. Soc. Sci. 8(1), 58–70 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  • Yardimcioglu, M., Ilhan, A.: A study regarding the advances of political stability and economic development experienced in turkey during the periods of 1980–2015. Int. J. Econ. Financ. 8(10), 167 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yusof, H.A., Shittu, W.O., Akanbi, S.B., Umar, H.M., Abdulrahman, I.A.: The role of foreign direct investment, financial development, democracy and political (in)stability on economic growth in West Africa. Int. Trade Polit. Dev. 4(1), 27–46 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, K.H., Markusen, J.R.: Vertical multinationals and host-country characteristics. J. Dev. Econ. 59(2), 233–252 (1999)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mohammad Khudari .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Khudari, M., Sapuan, N.M., Fadhil, M.A. (2023). The Impact of Political Stability and Macroeconomic Variables on Foreign Direct Investment in Turkey. In: Alareeni, B., Hamdan, A. (eds) Innovation of Businesses, and Digitalization during Covid-19 Pandemic. ICBT 2021. Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, vol 488. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08090-6_31

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08090-6_31

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-031-08089-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-031-08090-6

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics