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Clinical Decision Making and Outcome Prediction for COVID-19 Patients Using Machine Learning

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Pervasive Computing Technologies for Healthcare (PH 2021)

Abstract

In this paper, we present the application of a Machine Learning (ML) approach that generates predictions to support healthcare professionals to identify the outcome of patients through optimization of treatment strategies. Based on Decision Tree algorithms, our approach has been trained and tested by analyzing the severity and the outcomes of 346 COVID-19 patients, treated through the first two pandemics “waves” in a tertiary center in Western Greece. Its’ performance was achieved, analyzing entry features, as demographic characteristics, comorbidity details, imaging analysis, blood values, and essential hospitalization details, like patient transfers to Intensive Care Unit (ICU), medications, and manifestation responses at each treatment stage. Furthermore, it has provided a total high prediction performance (97%) and translated the ML analysis to clinical managing decisions and suggestions for healthcare institution performance and other epidemiological or postmortem approaches. Consequently, healthcare decisions could be more accurately figured and predicted, towards better management of the fast-growing patient subpopulations, giving more time for the effective pharmaceutical or vaccine armamentarium that the medical, scientific community will produce.

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Correspondence to Adamopoulou Maria .

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© 2022 ICST Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering

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Maria, A., Dimitrios, V., Ioanna, M., Charalampos, M., Gerasimos, M., Constantinos, K. (2022). Clinical Decision Making and Outcome Prediction for COVID-19 Patients Using Machine Learning. In: Lewy, H., Barkan, R. (eds) Pervasive Computing Technologies for Healthcare. PH 2021. Lecture Notes of the Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering, vol 431. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-99194-4_1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-99194-4_1

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-99193-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-99194-4

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