Abstract
The paper explores the possibility of forecasting such dangerous meteorological phenomena as a thunderstorm by applying five types of neural network to the output data of a hydrodynamic model that simulates dynamic and microphysical processes in convective clouds. The ideas and the result delivered in [1] are developed and supplemented by the classification error calculations and by consideration of radial basic and probabilistic neural networks. The results show that forecast accuracy of all five networks reaches values of 90%. However, the radial basis function has the advantages of the highest accuracy along with the smallest classification error. Its simple structure and short training time make this type of neuralnetwork the best one in view of accuracy versus productivity relation.
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Stankova, E., Tokareva, I.O., Dyachenko, N.V. (2021). On the Possibility of Using Neural Networks for the Thunderstorm Forecasting. In: Gervasi, O., et al. Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2021. ICCSA 2021. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 12956. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-87010-2_25
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