Abstract
Many countries seemed to a large extent to have been unprepared for the COVID-19 pandemic and national governments often acted uncoordinated resulting in many inconsistencies in the mitigation processes. The acknowledgement of the multiple factors at stake in handling the crisis has more often than not been omitted from public communication, where public officials’ statements mostly framed the problem unilaterally, basing their narratives on warnings coming from the medical and public health scientific community. In this article, we propose a model for policymaking regarding hazardous events, such as a pandemic, to, in advance, forming better response strategies for future similar scenarios. We describe how an epidemic model can be integrated into a multi-stakeholder multi-criteria framework and how a more integrated analysis can be done, even under significant uncertainties.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Argente, D., Hsieh, C.T., Lee, M.: The cost of privacy: welfare effects of the disclosure of Covid-19 Cases. University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2020–64, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3601143. (2020)
Bernstein, J., Hutler, B., Rieder, T., Han, H., Barnhill, A.: An Ethics Framework for the COVID-19 Reopening Process. John Hopkins University. Available: https://bioethics.jhu.edu/research-and-outreach/covid-19-bioethics-expert-insights/resources-for-addressing-key-ethical-areas/grappling-with-the-ethics-of-social-distancing/. (2020)
Britton, T.: Basic estimation-prediction techniques for Covid-19, and a prediction for Stockholm (2020). https://www.medrxiv.org/content/.10.1101/2020.04.15.20066050v1.full.pdf. Accessed 15 Apr 2020
Dahlstrom, M.F., Ho, S.S.: Ethical considerations of using narrative to communicate science. Sci. Commun. 34(5), 592–617 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1177/1075547012454597
Danielson, M., Ekenberg, L.: The CAR method for using preference strength in multi-criteria decision making. Group Decis. Negot. 25(4), 775–797 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10726-015-9460-8
Danielson, M., Ekenberg, L.: An improvement to swing techniques for elicitation in mcdm methods, knowledge-based systems (2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2019.01.001
Danielson, M., Ekenberg, L., Larsson, A.: Evaluating multi-criteria decisions under strong uncertainty. In: de Almeida, A., Ekenberg, L., Scarf, P., Zio, E., Zuo, M.J. (eds.) Multicriteria Decision Models and Optimization for Risk, Reliability, and Maintenance Decision Analysis - Recent Advances. Springer (2021, to appear)
Douglas, M., Wildavsky, A.B.: Risk and Culture: An Essay on the Selection of Technical and Environmental Dangers. University of California Press, Berkeley (1982)
Ferguson, N., Laydon, D., Nedjati-Gilani, G., et al.: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand, 16 Mar 2020. Imperial College London (2020). https://doi.org/10.25561/77482
Flaxman, S., Mishra, S., Gandy, A., et al.: Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2405-7
GHS. Global Health Security Index (GHS) (2020). https://www.ghsindex.org/ (2020)
Government of South Africa. Draft framework for consultation on COVID-19 risk adjusted strategy (2020). Available: https://sacoronavirus.co.za/covid-19-risk-adjusted-strategy/. Accessed 25 Apr 2020
Hale, T., Webster, S., Petherick, A., Phillips, T., Kira, B.: Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker (2020). Blavatnik School of Government. https://covidtracker.bsg.ox.ac.uk/. (2020)
Held, V.: The Ethics of Care: Personal. Political and Global. Oxford University Press, Oxford (2006)
Institutul Național de Boli Infecțioase. ”Prof.Dr. Matei Balș”, ”Pandemia SARS-COV-2/COVID-19: Programul ‘Vacanța Mare’ de prevenire a îmbolnăvirilor cu SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19” February-March 2020. Available: https://www.scribd.com/document/457347309/Planul-lui-Streinu-Cercel?fbclid=IwAR2eMyxqqWtuWtI-XkSYMUw6l3GCxLKrRP68nD91rZoa9hbRSKMlDgcDmKY. (2020)
Noll, N., et al.: COVID-19 scenarios: an interactive tool to explore the spread and associated morbidity and mortality of SARS-CoV-2. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.05.20091363. medRxiv 2020.05.05.20091363. (2020)
OECD. OECD updates G20 summit on outlook for global economy (2020). Available: https://www.oecd.org/newsroom/oecd-updates-g20-summit-on-outlook-for-global-economy.htm. Accessed 27 Mar 2020
Save the Children Romania. Impactul Covid-19 asupra copiilor din România (2020). https://www.salvaticopiii.ro/ce-facem/educatie/vreau-la-scoala/impactul-covid-19-asupra-educatiei. (2020)
Thompson, M., Ellis, R., Wildavsky, A.: Cultural Theory. Westview Press, Boulder Colo (1990)
UNESCO. Adverse consequences of school closures (2020). https://en.unesco.org/covid19/educationresponse/consequences. (2020)
Acknowledgements
This research was funded by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Programme call H2020-INFRAEOSC-05–2018-2019, Grant Agreement number 831644, via the EOSCsecretariat.eu.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Ekenberg, L., Mihai, A., Fasth, T., Komendantova, N., Danielson, M., Al-Salaymeh, A. (2021). Mitigating Cognitive and Behavioural Biases During Pandemics Responses. In: Morais, D.C., Fang, L., Horita, M. (eds) Contemporary Issues in Group Decision and Negotiation. GDN 2021. Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, vol 420. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-77208-6_1
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-77208-6_1
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-77207-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-77208-6
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)