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Variational AutoEncoder-Based Anomaly Detection Scheme for Load Forecasting

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Advances in Artificial Intelligence and Applied Cognitive Computing

Abstract

Smart grids can optimize their energy management by analyzing data collected from all processes of power utilization in smart cities. Typical smart grids consist of diverse systems such as energy management system and renewable energy system. In order to use such systems efficiently, accurate load forecasting should be carried out. However, if there are many anomalies in the data used to construct the predictive model, the accuracy of the prediction will inevitably decrease. Many statistical methods proposed for anomaly detection have had difficulty in reflecting seasonality. Hence, in this chapter, we propose VAE (Variational AutoEncoder)-based scheme for accurate anomaly detection. We construct diverse artificial neural network-based load forecasting models using different combinations of anomaly detection and data interpolation, and then compare their performance. Experimental results show that using VAE-based anomaly detection with a random forest-based data interpolation shows the best performance.

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Acknowledgement

This research was supported in part by National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF) grant funded by the Korea government(MSIT) (grand number: 2019M3F2A1073179) and in part by the Korea Electric Power Corporation (grant number: R18XA05).

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Correspondence to Eenjun Hwang .

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Park, S., Jung, S., Hwang, E., Rho, S. (2021). Variational AutoEncoder-Based Anomaly Detection Scheme for Load Forecasting. In: Arabnia, H.R., Ferens, K., de la Fuente, D., Kozerenko, E.B., Olivas Varela, J.A., Tinetti, F.G. (eds) Advances in Artificial Intelligence and Applied Cognitive Computing. Transactions on Computational Science and Computational Intelligence. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-70296-0_62

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-70296-0_62

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-70295-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-70296-0

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