Abstract
This chapter examines the economic and environmental effects of the interaction between regulated early closure of coal-fired power plants and new energy taxation rules on such plants using a dynamic general equilibrium model of the Portuguese economy. Simulation results show that regulated early closures lead to meaningful emission reductions but induce significant detrimental macroeconomic and distributional effects. Upon application of the new energy taxation rules, no significant environmental gains or macroeconomic and distributional losses are observed beyond those already induced by the forced closures. The public sector also seems to benefit from additional tax revenues. If the coal-fired power plants operators react by unilaterally decommissioning their installations, however, the adverse macroeconomic and distributional effects will substantially deteriorate even though the environmental ones improve. Moreover, the adverse budgetary effects will be substantially larger. Overall, we find no synergies between the two policies and, in fact, the opposite is potentially true.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Annicchiarico B, Battles S, Di Dio F, Molina P, Zoppoli P (2017) GHG mitigation schemes and energy policies: a model-based assessment for the Italian economy. Econ Model 61:495–509
Ballard CL, Fullerton D, Shoven JB, Whalley J (2009) A General Equilibrium Model for Tax Policy Evaluation. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, National Bureau of Economic Research
Bergman L (2005) CGE modeling of environmental policy and resource management. In: Mäler KG, Vincent JR (eds) Handbook of environmental economics, vol 3, chap 3. Elsevier, Holland, pp 1273–1306
Bhattacharyya SB (1996) Applied general equilibrium models for energy studies: a survey. Energy Econ 18(3):145–164
Bhattarai K, Haughton J, Tuerck D (2016) The economic effects of the fair tax: analysis of results of a dynamic CGE model of the US economy. IEEP 13(3):451–466
Blanchard O (2016) Do DSGE models have a future? Peterson Institute for International Economics, Number PB16-11, pp 1–4
Borges AM, Goulder LH (1984) Decomposing the impact of higher energy prices on long-term growth. In: Scarf HE, Shoven JB (eds) Applied general equilibrium analysis, chap 8. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Fullerton D, Heutel G, Metcalf GE (2012) Does the indexing of government transfers make carbon pricing progressive? Am J Agr Econ 94(2):347–353
Goulder LH, Hafstead MAC (2013) A numerical general equilibrium model for evaluating U.S. energy and environmental policies. Working paper, Stanford University, Stanford, CA
Pereira A, Pereira R (2014a) Environmental fiscal reform and fiscal consolidation: the quest for the third dividend in Portugal. Publ Fin Rev 42(2):222–253
Pereira A, Pereira R (2014b) On the environmental, economic and budgetary impacts of fossil fuel prices: a dynamic general equilibrium analysis of the Portuguese case. Energy Econ 42(C):248–261
Pereira A, Pereira R (2014c) DGEP—a dynamic general equilibrium model of the Portuguese economy: model documentation. Working paper 127, The College of William and Mary
Pereira A, Pereira R (2017a) The economic and budgetary impact of climate policy in Portugal: carbon taxation in a dynamic general equilibrium model with endogenous public sector behavior. Environ Resource Econ 67(2):231–259
Pereira A, Pereira R (2017b) On the relative roles of fossil fuel prices, energy efficiency, and carbon taxation in reducing carbon dioxide emissions. J Environ Plan Manage 60(10):1825–1852
Pereira A, Pereira R (2017c) The role of electricity for the decarbonization of the Portuguese economy—DGEP technical report. Available online https://www.mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/84782. Accessed on 28 Mar 2020
Pereira A, Pereira R (2019a) Achieving the triple dividend in Portugal: a dynamic general-equilibrium evaluation of a carbon tax indexed to emissions trading. J Econ Pol Reform 22(2):148–163
Pereira A, Pereira R (2019b) On the macroeconomic and distributional effects of the regulated closure of coal-operated power plants. Working paper GEE, Ministério da Economia, Lisboa, Portugal
Pereira A, Pereira R, Rodrigues P (2016) A new carbon tax in Portugal: a missed opportunity to achieve the triple dividend? Energy Pol 93:110–118
Sbordone AM, Tambalotti A, Rao K, Walsh K (2010) Policy analysis using DSGE models: an introduction. FRBNY Econ Pol Rev 16(2):23–43
Tran C, Wende S (2017) On the marginal excess burden of taxation in an overlapping generations model. ANU working papers in economics and econometrics 2017-652, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics
Acknowledgements
The authors want to thank Ana Quelhas, Maria Pedroso Ferreira, and Ana Cristina Nunes for very useful discussions and suggestions. This is the second of two twin papers dealing with the regulated early closures of the two Portuguese coal-fired power plants. The other chapter focuses on the detailed effects of the regulated early closure and how they compare with alternative ways of achieving the same environmental effects (see Pereira and Pereira 2019a, b).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Marvão Pereira, A., Pereira, R.M. (2021). Regulated Early Closures of Coal-Fired Power Plants and Tougher Energy Taxation on Electricity Production: Synergy or Rivalry?. In: Brites Pereira, L., Mata, M.E., Rocha de Sousa, M. (eds) Economic Globalization and Governance. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-53265-9_17
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-53265-9_17
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-53264-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-53265-9
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)