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Technology Intelligence Map: Space Tourism

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Roadmapping Future

Part of the book series: Applied Innovation and Technology Management ((AITM))

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Abstract

Since the Apollo 11 launch to the moon in 1969, there have been numerous space missions. However, this space travel has always been conducted by NASA alone or NASA in collaboration with the US military and other country’s space agencies. Now, through research and development, private companies like Virgin Galactic, Blue Origin, and SpaceX are racing to fulfill the dreams of many, by proposing to take civilian customers on space excursions. But space tourism is in its infancy. This chapter looks at seven technologies that are necessary for space tourism to succeed; the vessel, fuel, navigation, health and safety technology, physics, communication systems, orbit control systems, and sensors, examining each through a literature review. Our seven key technologies are then examined using a technology forecasting technique – patent analysis – to reveal their growth curve. Our study shows that the last of the technology necessary to support safe space tourism will not reach maturity for another century.

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Correspondence to Tuğrul U. Daim .

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Appendix

Appendix

  1. 1.
    A screenshot displays a line graph of the growth curve for vessel that plots numbers versus years on the main screen. The line starts increasing gradually from the year 2040, reaching the peak point in the year 2125. The table on the right lists the values of the year, percentage, log of y over L minus y, and predicted y. Values are approximated.

    Snippet of log function, intercept, and slope used to analyze growth curve for vessel technologies

  2. 2.
    A screenshot displays a line graph of the growth curve for sensors that plot numbers versus years on the main screen. The line starts increasing gradually from the year 2040, reaching its peak point in 2120. The table on the right lists the values of the year, percentage, log of y over L minus y, and predicted y. Values are approximated.

    Snippet of log function, intercept, and slope used to analyze growth curve for sensors technologies

  3. 3.
    A screenshot displays a line graph of the growth curve for physics that plots numbers versus years on the main screen. The line starts increasing gradually from the year 2040 and reaches a peak point in 2129. The table on the right lists the values of the year, percentage, log of y over L minus y, and predicted y. Values are approximated.

    Snippet of log function, intercept, and slope used to analyze growth curve for orbital physics technologies

  4. 4.
    A screenshot displays a line graph of the growth curve for navigation that plots numbers versus years on the main screen. The line starts increasing gradually from the year 2030 and reaches a peak point in 2085. The table on the right lists the values of the year, percentage, log of y over L minus y, and predicted y. Values are approximated.

    Snippet of log function, intercept, and slope used to analyze growth curve for navigational technologies

  5. 5.
    A screenshot displays a line graph of the growth curve for health and safety that plots numbers versus years on the main screen. The line starts increasing gradually from the year 2040 and reaches a peak point in 2110. The table on the right lists the values of the year, percentage, log of y over L minus y, and predicted y. Values are approximated.

    Snippet of log function, intercept, and slope used to analyze growth curve for health and safety technologies

  6. 6.
    A screenshot displays a line graph of the growth curve for fuel that plots numbers versus years on the main screen. The line starts increasing gradually from the year 2020 and reaches a peak point in 2080. The table on the right lists the values of the year, percentage, log of y over L minus y, and predicted y. Values are approximated.

    Snippet of log function, intercept, and slope used to analyze growth curve for fuel technologies

  7. 7.
    A screenshot displays a line graph of the growth curve for communication systems that plots numbers versus years on the main screen. The line starts increasing gradually from the year 2030 and reaches its peak point in 2095. The table on the right lists the values of the year, percentage, log of y over L minus y, and predicted y. Values are approximated.

    Snippet of log function, intercept, and slope used to analyze the growth curve for communication systems technologies

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Ramesh, B., Snodgrass, R., Verma, B., Degan, M., Daim, T.U. (2021). Technology Intelligence Map: Space Tourism. In: Daim, T.U. (eds) Roadmapping Future. Applied Innovation and Technology Management. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-50502-8_14

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