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Drift as a Force of Evolution: A Manipulationist Account

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Life and Evolution

Part of the book series: History, Philosophy and Theory of the Life Sciences ((HPTL,volume 26))

Abstract

Can evolutionary theory be properly characterised as a “theory of forces,” like Newtonian mechanics? One common criticism to this claim concerns the possibility to conceive genetic drift as a causal process endowed by a specific magnitude and direction. In this chapter, we aim to offer an original response to this criticism by pointing out a connection between the notion of force and the notion of explanatory depth, as depicted in Hitchcock and Woodward’s manipulationist account of causal explanation. In a nutshell, our argument is that since force-explanations can be consistently reframed as deep explanations and vice versa and the notion of drift can be characterised in manipulationist terms as constitutively intervening in evolutionary deep explanations, then drift-explanations can be consistently reframed as force-explanations, and drift can be properly considered as a force of evolution. Insofar as similar considerations may be extended also to other evolutionary factors – chiefly selection – our analysis offers an important support to the claim that evolutionary theory is a theory of forces.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Shapiro and Sober (2007) are nominally committed to the force analogy. Yet, besides their manipulationist argument for considering drift as a cause, they do not provide any further strong reason to conceive it, in addition, as a force.

  2. 2.

    Dobzhansky and Pavlovsky separated 20 replicate populations of Drosophila in 2 groups of 10 populations each. The first group was composed by large populations while the second by very small populations (10 males and 10 females). Dobzhansky and Pavlovsky aimed to track two allelic types that, initially, were present in each population with a ratio of exactly 50:50. By reducing the size of the second group of populations they intended to simulate a founder effect (which is usually considered as a common cause of drift). After a certain number of generations, they let all the populations grow to the same size. Finally, they let selection act freely and after a number of generations necessary to reach the equilibrium, they recounted type frequencies in each population. The result was that while in large populations the degree of variance between frequencies at equilibrium was small, in small populations it was far greater.

  3. 3.

    Of course, also purifying selection is an eliminative process. Stephens is rather contrasting eliminative forces with forces generating variation (e.g., mutation).

  4. 4.

    Henceforth, except if otherwise specified, we shall use the word “force” to refer to component forces, and not to net forces. As a matter of fact, we take the expression “net force” to denote a theoretical representation of the combinatorial effects of interacting forces (as represented in the consequence laws of a theory of forces) while only the component forces are causally efficient.

  5. 5.

    Blanchard et al. (2018) think that stability should be better characterised as denoting two distinct explanatory virtues, that is, breadth and guidance. We do not need to enter into such details here.

  6. 6.

    Quite clearly, the criteria for explanatory depth here adopted are not metric, i.e., they do not allow arranging distinct explanations of a given phenomenon on a univocal scale ranging from the shallowest to the deepest. Rather, they have to be interpreted, more modestly, as comparative criteria. This does not mean, as we shall see in the next sections, that they cannot be useful as analytic tools.

  7. 7.

    In the last section we noticed – regarding our hypothetical generalisations concerning plant height – that some background conditions are ineliminable. This is possibly true also of generalisations dealing with more fundamental features of the physical world, but we shall not discuss this issue here.

  8. 8.

    Even though also mutation might be considered as a stochastic process, in traditional population genetic models it is commonly conceived as a deterministic one (see, for instance, Hartl and Clark 2007).

  9. 9.

    Effective population size can be conceptualized in a variety of ways. When it is estimated that human effective population size is around 10.000 individuals (Yu et al. 2004) even though current census size is over 7 billion, reference is to the genetic variability in sampled genes. The reason for this discrepancy – already highlighted by Wright (Ohta 2012, p. 2) – is that a bottleneck in the history of the lineage drastically reduces effective population size. Another, more general and less refined, conceptualisation of effective population size merely draws on the difference between potential and actual reproducers. While both ways of conceptualising effective population size are legitimate (indeed there are many more, see note 11), the vernacular conceptualisation is sufficient to ground our argument.

  10. 10.

    This is not to say that the size of a population cannot play a causal role in evolutionary dynamics but just that it is not because of the causal role that population size plays that drift can be considered as a force.

  11. 11.

    There exist at least three ways in population genetics to conceptualise effective size: besides variance effective population size, they are inbreeding effective population size and eigenvalue effective population size. Although they have different functions within population modelling, they all represent the number of actual reproducers in contrast with the number of potential reproducers denoted by census population (see note 9).

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Acknowledgments

We would like to thank Victor Luque, Elliott Sober, Luciana Zaterka and two anonymous reviewers for useful comments. We acknowledge the financial support of the Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico de Chile (Grant N° 1171017 FONDECYT REGULAR). Lorenzo Baravalle acknowledges the financial support of the Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo, FAPESP (Grant N° 2017/24766-3), the Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico do Brasil, CNPq (Grant N° 402619/2016-1) and the Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia de Portugal, FCT (Contract N° DL57/2016/CP1479/CT0064). Davide Vecchi acknowledges the financial support of the Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, FCT (Contract N° DL57/2016/CP1479/CT0072; Grant N. UID/FIL/00678/2019; BIODECON R&D Project grant PTDC/IVC- HFC/1817/2014).

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Baravalle, L., Vecchi, D. (2020). Drift as a Force of Evolution: A Manipulationist Account. In: Baravalle, L., Zaterka, L. (eds) Life and Evolution. History, Philosophy and Theory of the Life Sciences, vol 26. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-39589-6_9

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