Abstract
A massive landslide of 210 m height occurred in year 2010 at Hunza River near Attabad village, about 100 km upstream of the confluence of Hunza River with Gilgit River. Keeping in view the high storage capacity of this landslide, overflow or piping can washout this landslide mass within a few hours, once the collapse start, with disastrous impacts downstream. Dam Break Analysis has been carried out, using hydrodynamic module of MIKE 11, to predict flood wave arrival time, peak discharge and wave height at Daniyor Bridge upstream of the confluence of River Hunza and River Gilgit. The water levels observed at Daniyor Bridge for years 2011 and 2012 are used for calibration and validation of the routing model, and the results are found to be very satisfactory. Sensitivity analysis is also performed on the model’s main input parameters and their effect on the peak outflow, flood wave arrival time and wave height are studied. The study incorporates computations under six different breach triggering and breach shape scenarios, which include trapezoidal and triangular breach shapes with failure due to either piping phenomenon or overtopping of the dam crest or user-defined breach of the dam. The results of the dam break analysis can be used for the preparation of an Emergency Action Plan for the affected area. The paper presents the details of the project, the model set up and details of the studies carried out.
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Acknowledgements
Authors are highly thankful to Civil Engineering Department of University of Engineering and Technology Lahore for providing conducive environment for research, Danish Hydraulic Institute (DHI) for rendering the student package of Mike 11 and Surface Water Hydrology Project (SWHP) as well as National Engineering Services of Pakistan (Pvt.) Limited (NESPAK) for sharing the relevant data.
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Mansoor, A., Khan, N.M., Akbar, A., Abbas, Y., Farooq, M.U. (2020). Quantification of Flood Hazards Due to Assumed Breaching of Attabad Landslide Dam, Pakistan. In: Kalinowska, M., Mrokowska, M., Rowiński, P. (eds) Recent Trends in Environmental Hydraulics. GeoPlanet: Earth and Planetary Sciences. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37105-0_16
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37105-0_16
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