Encyclopedia of Solid Earth Geophysics
Part of the series Encyclopedia of Earth Sciences Series pp 178182
Earthquake Prediction, M8 Algorithm
 Alik IsmailZadehAffiliated withGeophysical Institute, Karlsruhe Institute of TechnologyInternational Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of SciencesInstitut de Physique du Globe Email author
 , Vladimir KossobokovAffiliated withInternational Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of SciencesInstitut de Physique du Globe
Definition
An earthquake is a sudden movement within the Earth’s crust or the upper mantle that releases tectonic stress and, usually, originates seismic waves. The hierarchy of movable lithospheric volumes composes a large nonlinear dynamical system. Prediction of such a system in a sense of extrapolation of trajectory into the future is futile. However, upon coarsegraining the integral empirical regularities emerge opening possibilities of earthquake prediction (KeilisBorok et al., 2001).
Earthquake prediction is a statement about future earthquake occurrence based on the information, data, and scientific methods that are available now. To predict an earthquake, someone “must specify the expected magnitude range, the geographical area within which it will occur, and the time interval within which it will happen with sufficient precision so that the ultimate success or failure of the prediction can readily be judged. Only by careful recording and analysis of failures as well ...
 Title
 Earthquake Prediction, M8 Algorithm
 Reference Work Title
 Encyclopedia of Solid Earth Geophysics
 Pages
 pp 178182
 Copyright
 2011
 DOI
 10.1007/9789048187027_157
 Print ISBN
 9789048187010
 Online ISBN
 9789048187027
 Series Title
 Encyclopedia of Earth Sciences Series
 Series ISSN
 13884360
 Publisher
 Springer Netherlands
 Copyright Holder
 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
 Additional Links
 Topics
 Industry Sectors
 eBook Packages
 Editors

 Harsh K. Gupta ^{(500)}
 Editor Affiliations

 500. National Geophysical Research Institute, Council of Scientific and Industrial Research
 Authors

 Alik IsmailZadeh ^{(517)} ^{(518)} ^{(519)}
 Vladimir Kossobokov ^{(518)} ^{(519)}
 Author Affiliations

 517. Geophysical Institute, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Hertzstr. 16, 76187, Karlsruhe, Germany
 518. International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Profsoyuznaya 84/32, Moscow, 117997, Russia
 519. Institut de Physique du Globe, Paris, France
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