Skip to main content

Moment-Independent and Reliability-Based Importance Measures

  • Living reference work entry
  • First Online:
Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification

Abstract

This chapter discusses the class of moment-independent importance measures. This class comprises density-based, cumulative distribution function-based, and value of information-based sensitivity measures. The chapter illustrates the definition and properties of these importance measures as they have been proposed in the literature, reviewing a common rationale that envelops them, as well as recent results that concern the general properties of global sensitivity measures. The final part of the chapter reviews importance measures developed in the context of reliability and structural reliability theories.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Anderson, T.W., Darling, D.A.: Asymptotic theory of certain goodness-of-fit criteria based on stochastic processes. Ann. Math. Stat. 23, 193–212 (1952)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  2. Auder, B., Iooss, B.: Global sensitivity analysis based on entropy. In: ESREL 2008 Conference, ESRA, Valencia, Sept 2008

    Google Scholar 

  3. Baucells, M., Borgonovo, E.: Invariant probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Manag. Sci. 59(11), 2536–2549 (2013). http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-84888863510&partnerID=tZOtx3y1

  4. Birnbaum, L.: On the importance of different elements in a multielement system. In: Krishnaiah, P.R. (ed.) Multivariate Analysis, vol. 2, pp. 1–15. Academic, New York (1969)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Borgonovo, E.: Measuring uncertainty importance: investigation and comparison of alternative approaches. Risk Anal. 26(5), 1349–1361 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Borgonovo, E.: A new uncertainty importance measure. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 92(6), 771–784 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Borgonovo, E.: Differential, criticality and Birnbaum importance measures: an application to basic event, groups and SSCs in event trees and binary decision diagrams. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 92(10), 1458–1467 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Borgonovo, E.: The reliability importance of components and prime implicants in coherent and non-coherent systems including total-order interactions. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 204(3), 485–495 (2010)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  9. Borgonovo, E., Plischke, E.: Sensitivity analysis for operational research. Eur. J. Oper. Res., 3(1), 869–887 (2016)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  10. Borgonovo, E., Castaings, W., Tarantola, S.: Moment independent uncertainty importance: new results and analytical test cases. Risk Anal. 31(3), 404–428 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Borgonovo, E., Castaings, W., Tarantola, S.: Model emulation and moment-independent sensitivity analysis: an application to environmental modeling. Environ. Model. Softw. 34, 105–115 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Borgonovo, E., Hazen, G., Plischke, E.: A common rationale for global sensitivity analysis. In: Steenbergen, R.D.M., Van Gelder, P., Miraglia, S., Vrouwenvelder, A.C.W.M.T. (eds.) Proceedings of the 2013 ESREL Conference, Amsterdam, pp. 3255–3260 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Borgonovo, E., Hazen, G., & Plischke, E. (2016). A Common Rationale for Global Sensitivity Measures and their Estimation. Risk Analysis, forthcoming, DOI: 10.1111/risa.12555, 1–24

    Google Scholar 

  14. Borgonovo, E., Tarantola, S., Plischke, E., Morris, M.: Transformation and invariance in the sensitivity analysis of computer experiments. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B 76(5), 925–947 (2014)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  15. Borgonovo, E., Hazen, G., Jose, V., Plischke, E., 2016: Value of Information, Scoring Rules and Global Sensitivity Analysis, work in progress

    Google Scholar 

  16. Caniou, Y., Sudret, B.: Distribution-based global sensitivity analysis using polynomial chaos expansions. Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences, pp. 7625–7626 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Caniou, Y., Sudret, B.: Distribution-based global sensitivity analysis in case of correlated input parameters using polynomial chaos expansions. In: 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP11), Zurich (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Castaings, W., Borgonovo, E., Tarantola, S., Morris, M.D.: Sampling strategies in density-based sensitivity analysis. Environ. Model. Softw. 38, 13–26 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Chandra, M., Singpurwalla, N.D., Stephens, M.A.: Kolmogorov statistics for tests of fit for the extreme value and Weibull distributions. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 76(375), 729–731 (1981)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Critchfield, G.G., Willard, K.E.: Probabilistic analysis of decision trees using Monte Carlo simulation. Med. Decis. Mak. 6(2), 85–92 (1986)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Crnkovic, C., Drachman, J.: Quality control. RISK 9(9), 139–143 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  22. Csiszár, I.: Axiomatic characterizations of information measures. Entropy 10, 261–273 (2008)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  23. Da Veiga, S.: Global sensitivity analysis with dependence measures. J. Stat. Comput. Simul. 85, 1283–1305 (2015)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  24. De Lozzo, M., Marrel, A.: New improvements in the use of dependence measures for sensitivity analysis and screening, pp. 1–21 (Dec 2014). arXiv:1412.1414v1

    Google Scholar 

  25. Felli, J., Hazen, G.: Sensitivity analysis and the expected value of perfect information. Med. Decis. Mak. 18, 95–109 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Fort, J., Klein, T., Rachdi, N.: New sensitivity analysis subordinated to a contrast. Commun. Stat. Theory Methods (2014, in press)

    Google Scholar 

  27. Gamboa, F., Klein, T., Lagnoux, A.: Sensitivity analysis based on Cramer von Mises distance, pp. 1–20 (2015). arXiv:1506.04133 [math.PR]

    Google Scholar 

  28. Howard, R.A.: Decision analysis: applied decision theory. In: Proceedings of the Fourth International Conference on Operational Research. Wiley-Interscience, New York (1966)

    Google Scholar 

  29. Iman, R., Hora, S.: A robust measure of uncertainty importance for use in fault tree system analysis. Risk Anal. 10, 401–406 (1990)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Krzykacz-Hausmann, B.: Epistemic sensitivity analysis based on the concept of entropy. In: SAMO 2001, Madrid, CIEMAT, pp. 31–35 (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  31. Kuo, W., Zhu, X.: Importance Measures in Reliability, Risk and Optimization. Wiley, Chichester (2012)

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  32. Le Gratiet, L., Cannamela, C., Iooss, B.: A Bayesian approach for global sensitivity analysis of (multifidelity) computer codes. SIAM/ASA J. Uncertain. Quantif. 2, 336–363 (2014)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  33. Lemaire, M.: Structural Reliability. Wiley-ISTE, London/Hoboken (2009)

    Book  Google Scholar 

  34. Lemaitre, P., Sergienko, E., Arnaud, A., Bousquet, N., Gamboa, F., Iooss, B.: Density modification based reliability sensitivity analysis. J. Stat. Comput. Simul. 85, 1200–1223 (2015)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  35. Liu, H., Chen, W., Sudjianto, A.: Relative entropy based method for probabilistic sensitivity analysis in engineering design. ASME J. Mech. Des. 128, 326–336 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Luo, X., Lu, Z., Xu, X.: A fast computational method for moment-independent uncertainty importance measure. Comput. Phys. Commun. 185, 19–27 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Mason, D.M., Shuenmeyer, J.H.: A modified Kolmogorov Smirnov test sensitive to tail alternatives. Ann. Stat. 11(3), 933–946 (1983)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  38. Oakley, J.: Decision-theoretic sensitivity analysis for complex computer models. Technometrics 51(2), 121–129 (2009)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  39. Park, C.K., Ahn, K.I.: A new approach for measuring uncertainty importance and distributional sensitivity in probabilistic safety assessment. Reliability Engineering & System Safety. 46, 253–261 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  40. Plischke, E., Borgonovo, E.: Probabilistic Sensitivity Measures from Empirical Cumulative Distribution Functions: A Horse Race of Methods, 2016, Work in Progress.

    Google Scholar 

  41. Plischke, E., Borgonovo, E., Smith, C.: Global sensitivity measures from given data. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 226(3), 536–550 (2013)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  42. Pratt, J., Raiffa, H., Schlaifer, R.: Introduction to Statistical Decision Theory. MIT, Cambridge (1995)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  43. Saltelli, A.: Making best use of model valuations to compute sensitivity indices. Comput. Phys. Commun. 145, 280–297 (2002)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  44. Saltelli, A., Ratto, M., Andres, T., Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., Gatelli, D., Saisana, M., Tarantola, S.: Global Sensitivity Analysis – The Primer. Wiley, Chichester (2008)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  45. Scheffé, H.: A useful convergence theorem for probability distributions. Ann. Math. Stat. 18(3), 434–438 (1947)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  46. Strong, M., Oakley, J.: An efficient method for computing partial expected value of perfect information for correlated inputs. Med. Decis. Mak. 33, 755–766 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  47. Strong, M., Oakley, J.E., Chilcott, J.: Managing structural uncertainty in health economic decision models: a discrepancy approach. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. C 61(1), 25–45 (2012)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  48. Strong, M., Oakley, J., Brennan, A.: Estimating multiparameter partial expected value of perfect information from a probabilistic sensitivity analysis sample: a nonparametric regression approach. Med. Decis. Mak. 34, 311–326 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  49. Sudret, B.: Global sensitivity analysis using polynomial chaos expansion. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 93, 964–979 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  50. Xu, X., Lu, Z., Luo, X.: Stable approach based on asymptotic space integration for moment-independent uncertainty importance measure. Risk Anal. 34(2), 235–251 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  51. Zhang, L., Lu, Z., Cheng, L., Fan, C.: A new method for evaluating Borgonovo moment-independent importance measure with its application in an aircraft structure. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 132, 163–175 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Emanuele Borgonovo or Bertrand Iooss .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this entry

Cite this entry

Borgonovo, E., Iooss, B. (2015). Moment-Independent and Reliability-Based Importance Measures. In: Ghanem, R., Higdon, D., Owhadi, H. (eds) Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-11259-6_37-1

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-11259-6_37-1

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-11259-6

  • eBook Packages: Springer Reference MathematicsReference Module Computer Science and Engineering

Publish with us

Policies and ethics