Abstract
The unique characteristics of Southwest cities will shape both the ways they will be impacted by climate change and the ways the urban areas will adapt to the change. The Southwest represents a good portion of the arid and semi-arid region of North America and many of its cities rely on large-scale, federally built water storage and conveyance structures. Water regimes in this part of the country are expected to be significantly impacted by climate change because of higher temperatures, reduced snowpack, and other factors, including possibly reduced or more unpredictable patterns of precipitation, which will affect cities and their water supplies. Further, the cities are likely to experience greater numbers of high-temperature days, creating vulnerabilities among populations who lack air conditioning or access to cooling shelters. Myriad and overlapping governmental organizations are responsible for public goods and services in the region, as in other parts of the country. Their jurisdictions generally do not correspond to ecosystem or watershed boundaries, creating mismatches for climate adaptation programs and policies and significant barriers to cooperation and collaboration. Finally, many local governments are facing budget constraints, making it difficult to plan and implement new programs to anticipate the potential impacts of climate change.
Chapter citation: Pincetl, S., G. Franco, N. B. Grimm, T. S. Hogue, S. Hughes, E. Pardyjak, A. M. Kinoshita, and P. Jantz. 2013. “Urban Areas.” In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, edited by G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, 267–296. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. Washington, DC: Island Press.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
References
Allen, L., F. Lindberg, and C. S. B. Grimmond. 2010. Global to city scale urban anthropogenic heat flux: Model and variability. International Journal of Climatology 31:1990–2005.
Aubinet, M., A. Grelle, A. Ibrom, U. Rannik, J. Moncrieff, T. Foken, A. S. Kowalski, et al. 2000. Estimates of the annual net carbon and water exchange of forests: The EUROFLUX methodology. Advances in Ecological Research 30:113–175.
Aubinet, M.,Vesala, T., and D. Papale, eds. 2012. Eddy covariance: A practical guide to measurement and data analysis. Dordrecht: Springer.
Baldocchi, D. 2003. Assessing the eddy covariance technique for evaluating carbon dioxide exchange rates of ecosystems: Past, present and future. Global Change Biology 9:479–492.
Benitez-Gilabert, M., M. Alvarez-Cobelas, and D. G. Angeler. 2010. Effects of climatic change on stream water quality in Spain. Climatic Change 103:339–352.
Bierwagen, B. G., D. M. Theobald, C. R. Pyke, A. Choate, P. Groth, J. V. Thomas, and P. More-field. 2010. National housing and impervious surface scenarios for integrated climate impact assessments. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107:20887–20892.
Blanco, H., P. McCarney, S. Parnell, M. Schmidt, and K. C. Seto. 2011. The role of urban land in climate change. In Climate change and cities: First assessment report of the Urban Climate Change Research Network, ed. C. Rosenzweig, W. D. Solecki, S. A. Hammer, and S. Mehrotra, 217–248. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Bloetscher, F., D. E. Meeroff, B. N. Heimlich, A. R. Brown, D. Bayler, and M. Loucraft. 2010. Improving resilience against the effects of climate change. Journal of the American Water Works Association 102:36–46.
Brown, M. A., A. Sarzinski, and F. Southworth. 2008. Shrinking the carbon footprint of metropolitan America. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution.
Burke, M., T. S. Hogue, J. Barco, C. Wessel, A. Kinoshita, and E. Stein. 2011. Dynamics of pre-and post-fire pollutant loads in an urban fringe watershed. In Southern California Coastal Water Research Project 2011 annual report, ed. K. Schiff and K. Miller, 61–70. Costa Mesa, CA: Southern California Coastal Water Research Project. ftp://ftp.sccwrp.org/pub/download/D0CUMENTS/AnnualReports/2011AnnualReport/ar11_061_070.pdf
Cayan, D. R., T. Das, D. W. Pierce, T. P. Barnett, M. Tyree, and A. Gershunov. 2010. Future dryness in the southwest U.S. and the hydrology of the early 21st century drought. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107:21271–21276.
Chester, M., E. Martin, and N. Sathaye. 2008. Energy, greenhouse gas, and cost reductions for municipal recycling systems. Environmental Science and Technology 42:2142–2149, doi:10.1021/es0713330.
Chester, M., S. Pincetl, and B. Allenby. 2012. Avoiding unintended tradeoffs by integrating life-cycle impact assessment with urban metabolism. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 4:451–457.
Chow, W. T., W. Chuang, and P. Gober. 2012. Vulnerability to extreme heat in metropolitan Phoenix: Spatial, temporal and demographic dimensions. The Professional Geographer 64:286–302.
Cohen, M. J. 2011. Municipal deliveries of Colorado River Basin water. Oakland, CA: Pacific Institute.
Crawford, B., C. S. B. Grimmond, and A. Christen. 2011. Five years of carbon dioxide fluxes measurements in a highly vegetated suburban area. Atmospheric Environment 45:896–905.
Davis, S. J., and K. Caldeira, 2010. Consumption-based accounting of CO2 emissions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107:5687–5692.
Das, T., M. D. Dettinger, D. R. Cayan, and H. G. Hidalgo. 2011. Potential increase in floods in California’s Sierra Nevada under future climate projections. Climatic Change 109 (Suppl. 1): S71–S94, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0298-z.
Feigenwinter, C., R. Vogt, and A. Christen. 2012. Eddy covariance measurements over urban areas. In Eddy covariance: A practical guide to measurement and data analysis, ed. M. Aubinet, T. Vesala, and D. Papale. Dordrecht: Springer.
Flanner, M. G. 2009. Integrating anthropogenic heat flux with global climate models. Geophysical Research Letters 36: L02801.
Eidlin, E. 2010. What density does not tell us about sprawl. Access 37 (Fall 2010): 2–9.
Galloway, G. E., J. J. Boland, R. J. Burby, C. B. Groves, S. L. Longville, L. E. Link, Jr., J. F. Mount, et al. 2007. A California challenge: Flooding in the Central Valley; A report from an independent review panel to the Department of Water Resources, State of California. http://www.water.ca.gov/news/newsreleases/2008/101507challenge.pdf
Great Western Institute. 2010. SWSI conservation levels analysis final report. Prepared for the Colorado Water Conservation Board.
Green, D. 2007. Managing water: Avoiding crisis in California. Berkeley: University of California Press.
Grossman-Clarke, S., J. A. Zehnder, W. L. Stefanov, Y. Liu, and M. A. Zoldak. 2005. Urban modifications in a mesoscale meteorological model and the effects on near-surface variables in an arid metropolitan region. Journal of Applied Meteorology 44:1281–1297.
Grossman-Clarke, S., J. A. Zehnder, T. Loridan and S. C. Grimmond. 2010. Contribution of land use changes to near surface air temperatures during recent summer extreme heat events in the Phoenix metropolitan area. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 49:1649–1664.
Gutzler, D., and T. Robbins. 2011. Climate variability and projected change in the western United States: Regional downscaling and drought statistics. Climate Dynamics 37:835–839.
Haas, T., ed. 2012. Sustainable urbanism and beyond. New York: Rizzoli.
Hayhoe, K., D. Cayan, C. B. Field, P. C. Frumhoff, E. P. Maurer, N. L. Miller, S. C. Moser, et al. 2004. Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 101:12422–12427, doi:10.1073/pnas.0404500101.
Hise, G. 1997. Magnetic Los Angeles: Planning the twentieth-century metropolis. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press.
Hundley, N. 2001. The great thirst: Californians and water; A history. Berkeley: University of California Press.
Idso, C. D., S. B. Idso, and R. C. Balling, Jr. 2001. An intensive two-week study of an urban CO2 dome in Phoenix, Arizona, USA. Atmospheric Environment 35:995–1000.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 2007. Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ed. S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Jacobson, M. Z. 2010a. Enhancement of local air pollution by urban CO2 domes. Environmental Science & Technology 44:2497–2502.
Jacobson, M. Z. 2010b. Short-term effects of controlling fossil-fuel soot, biofuel soot and gases, and methane on climate, Arctic ice and air pollution health. Journal of Geophysical Research 115: D14209, doi:10.1029/2009JD013795.
Jacobson, M. Z., and D. G. Street. 2009. Influence of future anthropogenic emissions on climate, natural emissions, and air quality. Journal of Geophysical Research 114: D08118, doi:10.1029/2008JD011476.
Knowles, N., and D. R. Cayan. 2002. Potential effects of global warming on the Sacramento/ San Joaquin watershed and the San Francisco estuary. Geophysical Research Letters 29:1891, doi:10.1029/2001GL014339.
Kennedy C., J. Cuddihy, and J. Engel-Yan. 2007. The changing metabolism of cities. Journal of Industrial Ecology 11:43–59, doi:10.1162/jie.2007.1107.
Kennedy, C., S. Pincetl, and P. Bunje. 2010. The study of urban metabolism and its applications to urban planning and design. Environmental Pollution 159:1965–1973, doi:10.1016/j.envpol.2010.10.022.
Kupel, D. E. 2003. Fuel for growth: Water and Arizona’s urban environment. Tucson: University of Arizona Press.
Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP). 2011. Draft 2010 Urban Water Management Plan. Los Angeles: LADWP. http://www.ladwp.com.
Lopez, S. R, T. S. Hogue, and E. Stein. In review. A framework for evaluating regional hydrologic sensitivity to climate change using archetypal watershed modeling. Hydrology and Earth System Science.
Lowitt, R. 1984. The New Deal and the West. Norman: University of Oklahoma Press.
MacDonald, G. M. 2010. Water, climate change, and sustainability in the Southwest. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107:21256–21262.
McCarthy, M. P., M. J. Best, and R. A. Betts. 2010. Climate change in cities due to global warming and urban effects. Geophysical Research Letters 37: L09705, doi:1029/2010GL042845.
McCarthy, M. P., C. Harpham, C. M. Goodess, and P. D. Jones. 2012. Simulating climate change in UK cities using a regional climate model, HadRM3. International Journal of Climatology 32:1875–1888, doi:10.1002/joc.2402.
Matonse, A. H., D. C. Pierson, A. Frei, M. S. Zion, E. M. Schneiderman, R. Mukundan, and S. M. Pradhanang. 2011. Effects of changes in snow pattern and the timing of runoff on NYC water supply system. Hydrological Processes 25:3278–3288.
Miller, N. L., K. E. Bashford, and E. Strem. 2003. Potential impacts of climate change on California hydrology. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 39:771–784, doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.2003.tb04404.x.
Mishra, V., and D. P. Lettenmaier. 2011. Climatic trends in major U.S. urban areas, 1950–2009. Geophysical Research Letters 38: L16401, doi:10.1029/2011GL048255.
Mote, P. W., A. F. Hamlet, M. P. Clark, and D. P. Lettenmaier. 2005. Declining mountain snowpack in western North America. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 86:39–49, doi:10.1175/BAMS-86-1-39.
Nakićenović, N., and R. Swart, eds. 2000. Special report on emissions scenarios: A special report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Nash, G. D. 1985. The American West transformed: The impact of the Second World War. Lincoln: University of Nebraska Press.
Pataki, D. E., D. R. Bowling, and J. R. Ehleringer. 2003. Seasonal cycle of carbon dioxide and its isotopic composition in an urban atmosphere: Anthropogenic and biogenic effects. Journal of Geophysical Research 108:4735, doi:10.1029/2003JD003865.
Pataki, D. E., P. C. Emmi, C. B. Forster, J. I. Mills, E. R. Pardyjak, T. R. Peterson, J. D. Thompson, and E. Dudley-Murphy. 2009. An integrated approach to improving fossil fuel emissions scenarios with urban ecosystem studies. Ecological Complexity 6:1–14.
Pataki, D., H. McCarthy, E. Litvak, and S. Pincetl. 2011. Transpiration of urban forests in the Los Angeles metropolitan area. Ecological Applications 21:661–677.
Peters, G. P., and E. G. Hertwich. 2008. CO2 embodied in international trade with implications for global climate policy. Environmental Science & Technology 42:1401–1407.
Pincetl, S. 1999. Transforming California: The political history of land use in the state. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press.
Pincetl, S., P. E. Bunje, and T. Holmes. 2012. An expanded urban metabolism method: Towards a systems approach for assessing urban energy processes and causes. Land Use and Urban Planning 107:193–202, doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2012.06.006.
Pincetl, S., T. Gillespie, D. E. Pataki, S. Saatchi, and J. D. Saphores, 2012. Urban tree planting programs, function or fashion? Los Angeles and urban tree planting campaigns. GeoJournal, published online, doi:10.1007/s10708-012-9446-x.
Pincetl S., P. W. Rundel, J. Clark De Blasio, D. Silver, T. Scott, and R. Halsey. 2008. It’s the land use, not the fuels: Fires and land development in Southern California. Real Estate Review 37:25–42.
Quevauviller, P. 2011. Adapting to climate change: Reducing water-related risks in Europe—EU policy and research considerations. Environmental Science and Policy 14:722–729.
Ramamurthy, P., and E. R. Pardyjak. 2011. Toward understanding the behavior of carbon dioxide and surface energy fluxes in the urbanized semi-arid Salt Lake Valley, Utah, USA. Atmospheric Environment 45:73–84.
Ruddell, D., D. Hoffman, O. Ahmad, and A. Brazel. Forthcoming. An analysis of historical threshold temperatures for Phoenix (urban) and Gila Bend (desert). Climate Research 54.
Sailor D. J., and L. Lu. 2004. A top-down methodology for developing diurnal and seasonal anthropogenic heating profiles for urban areas. Atmospheric Environment 38:2737–2748.
Salt Lake City Department of Public Utilities (SLCDPU). 2010. 2009 Water master conservation plan. Salt Lake City: SLCDPU.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). 2009. Assessment of the impacts of global change on regional U.S. air quality: A synthesis of climate change impacts on ground-level ozone; An interim report of the U.S. EPA Global Change Research Program. EPA/600/R-07/094F.
Velasco E., and M. Roth. 2010. Cities as net sources of CO2: Review of atmospheric CO2 exchange in urban environments measured by eddy covariance technique. Geography Compass 4:1238–1259.
Webb, M. D., and K. W. F. Howard. 2011. Modeling the transient response of saline intrusion to rising sea-levels. Ground Water 49:560–569.
Zhao, Z., S. Chen, M. J. Kleeman, and A. Mahmud. 2011. The impact of climate change on air quality related meteorological conditions in California – Part II: Present versus future time simulation analysis. Journal of Climate 13:3362–3376.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Endnotes
Endnotes
-
i
An urban metabolism refers to the total urban systems flows of materials, energy and inputs, and outputs in the form of waste. Supply chains are components of the urban metabolism.
-
ii
Urban heat island effect was defined as “the relative warmth of a city compared with surrounding rural areas, associated with changes in runoff, the concrete jungle effects on heat retention, changes in surface albedo, changes in pollution and aerosols, and so on” by the IPCC (2007).
- iii
-
iv
The EC method is a widely used micrometeorological technique designed to measure turbulent exchanges of mass, momentum, and heat between an underlying surface and the atmosphere (see Aubinet, Vesala and Papale 2012 and references within). For CO2 exchange, rapid measurements of vertical velocity fluctuations and CO2 mixing ratio are made on a tower well above the buildings and trees of an urban surface in the so-called constant flux layer. From these quantities, a covariance is computed (Baldocchi 2003). If appropriate assumptions are satisfied, the covariance is a measure of the net differences between the uptake of CO2 by photosynthesis and the emission of CO2 by anthropogenic and biological processes.
-
v
Difficulties are both practical and technical. Practical difficulties include funding for such equipment as flux towers, their siting in urban areas, and funds to conduct the monitoring and data analysis. Additional technical difficulties exist related to quantifying important contributions to fluxes, such as those related to complex distributions of sources and sinks and their relationship to advection and non-homogeneous surfaces that are common in urban areas (Feigenwinter, Vogt, and Christen 2012).
-
vi
A source is a process or activity through which a greenhouse gas is released into the atmosphere. A sink is something that acts as a reservoir to absorb it on a short-or long-term basis.
- vii
-
viii
CO2 concentrations can cause higher levels of PM 2.5 by increasing vapor pressures in some locations (Jacobson 2010b).
-
ix
See http://www.energycodes.gov/states/state (U.S. Department of Energy’s Building Energy Codes Program).
-
x
See http://www.epa.gov/region9/climatechange/smart-growth.html.
-
xi
Misery days are days when the temperature maximum is greater than or equal to 110 °F or when the temperature minimum is less than 32°F.
-
xii
Stomata, the microscopic pores on the leaves and stems of plants, are the means by which plants transpire, or lose water vapor to the atmosphere. Although there is some debate on plant stomatal response to increasing temperatures, a significant body of research indicates that evapotranspiration rates (the combination of evaporation and transpiration) may increase (Gutzler and Robbins 2011; Matonse et al. 2011; Lopez, Hogue, and Stein in review).
-
xiii
A barrier well intrusion barrier is a well used to inject water into a fresh water aquifer to prevent the intrusion of salt water.
- xiv
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2013 Institute of the Environment
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Pincetl, S. et al. (2013). Urban Areas. In: Garfin, G., Jardine, A., Merideth, R., Black, M., LeRoy, S. (eds) Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States. NCA Regional Input Reports. Island Press, Washington, DC. https://doi.org/10.5822/978-1-61091-484-0_13
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5822/978-1-61091-484-0_13
Publisher Name: Island Press, Washington, DC
Print ISBN: 978-1-59726-420-4
Online ISBN: 978-1-61091-484-0
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)