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Long-term mortality rates (>8-year) improve as compared to the general and obese population following bariatric surgery

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Abstract

Introduction

Sparse data are available on long-term patient mortality following bariatric surgery as compared to the general population. The purpose of this study was to assess long-term mortality rates and identify risk factors for all-cause mortality following bariatric surgery.

Methods

New York State (NYS) Planning and Research Cooperative System (SPARCS) longitudinal administrative data were used to identify 7,862 adult patients who underwent a primary laparoscopic bariatric surgery from 1999 to 2005. The Social Security Death Index database identified >30-day mortalities. Risk factors for mortality were screened using a univariate Cox proportional hazard (PH) model and analyzed using a multiple PH model. Based on age, gender, and race/ethnicity, actuarial projections for NYS mortality rates obtained from Centers of Disease Control were compared to the actual post-bariatric surgery mortality rates observed.

Results

The mean bariatric mortality rate was 2.5 % with 8–14 years of follow-up. Mean time to death ranged from 4 to 6 year and did not differ by operation (p = 0.073). From 1999 to 2010, the actuarial mortality rate predicted for the general NYS population was 2.1 % versus the observed 1.5 % for the bariatric surgery population (p = 0.005). Extrapolating to 2013, demonstrated the actuarial mortality predictions at 3.1 % versus the bariatric surgery patients’ observed morality rate of 2.5 % (p = 0.01). Risk factors associated with an earlier time to death included: age, male gender, Medicare/Medicaid insurance, congestive heart failure, rheumatoid arthritis, pulmonary circulation disorders, and diabetes. No procedure-specific or perioperative complication impact for time-to-death was found.

Conclusion

Long-term mortality rate of patients undergoing bariatric surgery significantly improves as compared to the general population regardless of bariatric operation performed. Additionally, perioperative complications do not increase long-term mortality risk. This study did identify specific patient risk factors for long-term mortality. Special attention and consideration should be given to these “at risk” patient sub-populations.

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Acknowledgments

We acknowledge the biostatistical consultation and support from the Biostatistical Consulting Core at the School of Medicine, Stony Brook University. We would also like to acknowledge Genia Dubrovsky BS, Lily Wang BA, and Richa Verma MD for assistance with data collection. And finally, Foster Gesten MD, Wendy Patterson MPH, and Brittany Peoples MS from the Office of Quality and Patient Safety in the New York State Department of Health in Albany, New York for assistance with data identification and extraction.

Disclosures

Drs. Talamini, Shroyer, Altieri and Yang and Mrs. Zhang have no financial disclosures. Dana A. Telem—Speaker for Novadaq and receives funding from the Fellowship Council. Aurora D. Pryor—has an ownership interest in Transenterix. She also is a speaker for and has research support from Novadaq. She receives fellowship funding from the Fellowship Council and is a consultant for Freehold Medical.

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Correspondence to Dana A. Telem.

Additional information

Presented at the SAGES 2014 Annual Meeting, April 2–5, 2014, Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Telem, D.A., Talamini, M., Laurie Shroyer, A. et al. Long-term mortality rates (>8-year) improve as compared to the general and obese population following bariatric surgery. Surg Endosc 29, 529–536 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00464-014-3714-4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00464-014-3714-4

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