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A comparison of different screening strategies to identify elderly women at high risk of hip fracture: results from the EPIDOS prospective study

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Abstract

Decision to treat with an anti-osteoporotic drug should be based on individual fracture risk evaluation. We compared the discriminant value of four different screening strategies to identify elderly women with a risk of hip fracture greater than 20 per 1000 woman-years: (1) BMD screening alone, (2) quantitative ultrasound (QUS) screening alone, (3) QUS triage followed by BMD assessment for women with medium-low QUS parameters, and (4) selective BMD screening based on weight followed by clinical evaluation for women with medium-low BMD. The study population included 5910 women aged 75 years or older who participated to the EPIDOS (Epidemiologie de l’Ostéoporose) prospective study. Over an average of 3.7 (±0.8) years of follow-up, 231 women suffered a hip fracture, which corresponds to an average risk of 10.6 per 1000 woman-years. All strategies allow us to clearly distinguish a group at high risk of hip fracture (i.e. >20 per 1000 woman-years) from a group at low risk (i.e. below the average risk in the cohort). QUS screening alone has a very low sensitivity (15%). The strategy using QUS as a method of triage and that combining selective BMD and clinical assessment have a sensitivity equivalent to systematic BMD screening (around 35%), with less than 50% BMD examinations. The high-risk women identified by these two strategies are not the same. A simple algorithm combining QUS, BMD, and clinical risk assessment allows an increased number of high-risk women to be identified (21%), and thus improves the sensitivity (53%). With this combined strategy, women in the high-risk group have one chance in ten of having a hip fracture over the next 4 years, whereas women in the low risk group have only one chance in 40.

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Acknowledgements

The EPIDOS study was supported by a contract INSERM-MSD-Chibret.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. INSERM (Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale), 16 avenue Paul Vaillant-Couturier, Unité 149, 94 807, Villejuif Cedex, France

    P. Dargent-Molina, S. Piault & G. Bréart

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  1. P. Dargent-Molina
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  2. S. Piault
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  3. G. Bréart
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EPIDOS Study Group

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Correspondence to P. Dargent-Molina.

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Members of the EPIDOS Study Group: Coordinators: G. Bréart, P. Dargent-Molina(epidemiology), P.J. Meunier, A.M. Schott (clinical aspects), D. Hans (bone densitometry and ultrasound quality control), P.D. Delmas (biochemistry). Principal investigators (center): C. Baudoin, J.L. Sebert (Amiens); M.C. Chapuy, A.M. Schott (Lyon); F. Favier, C. Marcelli (Montpellier); E. Hausherr, C.J. Menkes, C. Cormier (Paris); H. Grandjean, C. Ribot (Toulouse)

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Dargent-Molina, P., Piault, S., Bréart, G. et al. A comparison of different screening strategies to identify elderly women at high risk of hip fracture: results from the EPIDOS prospective study. Osteoporos Int 14, 969–977 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00198-003-1506-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00198-003-1506-0

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