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Topology Aware Internet Traffic Forecasting Using Neural Networks

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Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 4669))

Abstract

Forecasting Internet traffic is receiving an increasing attention from the computer networks domain. Indeed, by improving this task efficient traffic engineering and anomaly detection tools can be developed, leading to economic gains due to better resource management. This paper presents a Neural Network (NN) approach to predict TCP/IP traffic for all links of a backbone network, using both univariate and multivariate strategies. The former uses only past values of the forecasted link, while the latter is based on the neighbor links of the backbone topology. Several experiments were held by considering real-world data from the UK education and research network. Also, different time scales (e.g. every ten minutes and hourly) were analyzed. Overall, the proposed NN approach outperformed other forecasting methods (e.g. Holt-Winters).

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Joaquim Marques de Sá Luís A. Alexandre Włodzisław Duch Danilo Mandic

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© 2007 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Cortez, P., Rio, M., Sousa, P., Rocha, M. (2007). Topology Aware Internet Traffic Forecasting Using Neural Networks. In: de Sá, J.M., Alexandre, L.A., Duch, W., Mandic, D. (eds) Artificial Neural Networks – ICANN 2007. ICANN 2007. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 4669. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-74695-9_46

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-74695-9_46

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-74693-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-74695-9

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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