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The efficacy and efforts of interest groups in post elections policy formation

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Abstract

This paper presents a new model of interest groups and policy formation in the legislature. In our setting, the already given party ideological predispositions and power distribution determine the expected policy outcome. Our analysis applies to the case of un-enforced or enforced party discipline as well as to two-party and multi-party (proportional representation) electoral systems. The interest groups’ objective is to influence the outcome in their favor by engaging in a contest that determines the final decision in the legislature. Our first result clarifies how the success of an interest group hinges on the dominance of its ideologically closer party and, in general, the coalition/opposition blocks of parties under un-enforced party or coalition/opposition discipline. Such dominance is defined in terms of ideological inclination weighted by power. Our second result clarifies how the success of an interest group hinges on the dominance of its ideology in the ruling coalition (party) in a majoritarian system with enforced coalition (party) discipline. We then clarify under what condition an interest group prefers to direct its lobbying efforts to two parties or the two coalition and opposition blocks of parties under un-enforced discipline rather than to the members of the ruling coalition (party) under enforced discipline. The lobbying efforts under un-enforced and enforced party discipline are also compared. Finally, we clarify the effect of ideological predispositions and power on the efforts of the interest groups.

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Notes

  1. Notice that under enforced party discipline, we can focus on the members of the ruling coalition because the final outcome in the legislature does not depend on whether party discipline is enforced or not enforced on the members of the (minority) opposition. In contrast, under un-enforced party discipline, the final outcome in the legislature is affected by the voting of the members of all the parties (coalition and opposition parties).

  2. Bennedsen and Feldmann (2002) have studied the impact of the different European and American majoritarian legislative structures on the intensity of lobbying, applying a model of informational lobbying. For a review of the literature on informational lobbying, see Grossman and Helpman (2001).

  3. Note that viewing the degree of heterogeneity or ideological predisposition of party \(i\) as a random variable with a Bernoulli distribution with a probability of \(\delta _{ix}\) that a party member supports policy \(x\), the standard deviation of the party’s ideological disposition is \(\sqrt{\delta _{ix} \delta _{iy} }\).

  4. A possible formal normative justification of this particular form can be based on the axiomatic approach of Clark and Riis (1998).

  5. The assumed biased contest success function has a nice foundation as a technology of persuasion based on Bayesian updating, see Skaperdas and Vaidya (2012).

  6. The assumption that \(\alpha <1\) with a continuous action space on \(\left[ {0,\infty } \right]\) guarantees an interior equilibrium, since the marginal product of the first marginal unit of effort is infinite, which means that the best response is always positive. Notice that for the contest to be meaningful, the ideological predisposition of the two parties towards each of the interest groups cannot be zero, because otherwise an interest group will not have any impact on the choice probability of its target policy that will be always equal to zero. The necessary equilibrium conditions are: \(\frac{\partial u_x }{\partial x_j }=\frac{\partial u_y }{\partial y_j }=0, j=1,2\), see (2) and (3). Notice that we do not rule out the possibility that, in equilibrium, an interest group exerts efforts, but direct them just to the elected representatives of one party, but does not invest at all in the other party. By (4), this will happen when the ideological predisposition of the latter party toward the target policy of the interest group is equal to zero.

  7. The benefit of an interest group from winning the contest represents the difference in its valuation between its preferred target policy and the alternative policy. Such difference can be interpreted as difference in marginal cost which means that \(k>1\) may also represent an interest group with ample resources, say the nuclear power lobby, competing with a lobby with modest financial capabilities, say the green movement.

  8. The terms underdog and favorite are due to Dixit (1987).

  9. Recall that, in a multi-party context, the term ‘party’ relates to one of the two blocks of parties: the ruling (majority) coalition and the (minority) opposition.

  10. In this case \(\left( {d_1 \delta _{1y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}+\left( {d_2 \delta _{2y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}>\left( {d_1 \delta _{1x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}+\left( {d_2 \delta _{2x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}\), which means that \(B>A\) or \(p_x <0.5\) , see (7).

  11. This condition implies that if in the absence of a contest interest group \(x\) is the favorite, then its status is unaltered in a contest.

  12. Several studies focusing on the question how a contest should be designed to yield maximum efforts obtained similar results that stress the significance of equalizing the actual strength of the contestants. See, for example, Epstein et al. (2011) who deal with two-player contests where the contest designer will optimally equalize the contestants’ strength and Franke et al. (2011) who examine \(n\)-player contests where the designer will optimally level the playing field by encouraging weak contestants, but not equalize the contestants’ chances unless they are identical.

  13. Notice that in our setting no constraints are imposed on the lobbying efforts of the interest groups as, for example, in Che and Gale (1998) or Iaryczower and Mazzotti (2012). This assumption might be plausible when the capital market is perfect or when the stakes are sufficiently small. For a discussion on the equivalence between the effect of budget constraints and the effect of regulation, see Che and Gale (1997).

  14. For a different rationale, which is proposed using an informational lobbying model, see Bennedsen and Feldmann (2002).

  15. The sufficient condition is: \(k^{\frac{\alpha }{1-\alpha }}\left[ {\frac{\left( {d_1 \delta _{1x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}+\left( {d_2 \delta _{2x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}}{\left( {d_1 \delta _{1y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}+\left( {d_2 \delta _{2y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}}} \right]=1\). For a proof, see the proof of Theorem 5 (part a) in the Appendix.

  16. We are indebted to Jonathan Stupp for his help in establishing this part of the proof.

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Correspondence to Shmuel Nitzan.

Appendix

Appendix

Proof of Theorem 1

An interest group’s participation \(x\) in the contest is effective if:

$$\begin{aligned} p_x =\frac{k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }}{k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+1}>d_1 \delta _{1x} +d_2 \delta _{2x} =p_x^0 \end{aligned}$$

That is,

$$\begin{aligned} k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }\left[ {1-\left( {d_1 \delta _{1x} +d_2 \delta _{2x} } \right)} \right]>d_1 \delta _{1x} +d_2 \delta _{2x} \end{aligned}$$

After substituting \(A=\sum _{i=1}^2 {\left( {d_i \delta _{ix} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}} \) and \(B=\sum _{i=1}^2 {\left( {d_i \delta _{iy} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}} \) in the above inequality and some simplifications we get:

$$\begin{aligned} k^{\frac{\alpha }{1-\alpha }}\left[ {\frac{\left( {d_1 \delta _{1x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}+\left( {d_2 \delta _{2x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}}{\left( {d_1 \delta _{1y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}+\left( {d_2 \delta _{2y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}}} \right]>\left( {\frac{d_1 \delta _{1x} +d_2 \delta _{2x} }{d_1 \delta _{1y} +d_2 \delta _{2y} }} \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }} \end{aligned}$$

Define \(\beta =\frac{1}{1-\alpha }>1\). Then the condition becomes:Footnote 16

$$\begin{aligned} k^{\frac{\alpha }{1-\alpha }}\left[ {\frac{\left( {d_1 \delta _{1x} } \right)^{\beta }+\left( {d_2 \delta _{2x} } \right)^{\beta }}{\left( {d_1 \delta _{1y} } \right)^{\beta }+\left( {d_2 \delta _{2y} } \right)^{\beta }}} \right]>\left( {\frac{d_1 \delta _{1x} +d_2 \delta _{2x} }{d_1 \delta _{1y} +d_2 \delta _{2y} }} \right)^{\beta } \end{aligned}$$

After multiplication of both sides of the inequality by \(\frac{\left( {d_1 \delta _{1y} } \right)^{\beta }}{\left( {d_1 \delta _{1x} } \right)^{\beta }}\) and some manipulations we get:

$$\begin{aligned} k^{\frac{\alpha }{1-\alpha }}\left[ {\frac{1+\left( {\frac{d_2 \delta _{2x} }{d_1 \delta _{1x} }} \right)^{\beta }}{1+\left( {\frac{d_2 \delta _{2y} }{d_1 \delta _{1y} }} \right)^{\beta }}} \right]>\left( {\frac{1+\frac{d_2 \delta _{2x} }{d_1 \delta _{1x} }}{1+\frac{d_2 \delta _{2y} }{d_1 \delta _{1y} }}} \right)^{\beta } \end{aligned}$$

Define \(z=\frac{d_2 \delta _{2x} }{d_1 \delta _{1x} }\) and \(w=\frac{d_2 \delta _{2y} }{d_1 \delta _{1y} }\). Then the last inequality becomes:

$$\begin{aligned} k^{\frac{\alpha }{1-\alpha }}\left( {\frac{1+z^{\beta }}{1+w^{\beta }}} \right)>\left( {\frac{1+z}{1+w}} \right)^{\beta } \end{aligned}$$
$$\begin{aligned} k^{\frac{\alpha }{1-\alpha }}\left[ {\frac{1+z^{\beta }}{\left( {1+z} \right)^{\beta }}} \right]>\frac{1+w^{\beta }}{\left( {1+w} \right)^{\beta }} \end{aligned}$$

To check when the last condition is satisfied, define \(f(a)=\frac{1+a^{\beta }}{\left( {1+a} \right)^{\beta }}\) and let’s find the extreme values by looking at the equation:

$$\begin{aligned} \frac{df(a)}{da}=\frac{\beta a^{\beta -1}\left( {1+a} \right)^{\beta }-\beta \left( {1+a} \right)^{\beta -1}\left( {1+a^{\beta }} \right)}{\left( {1+a} \right)^{2\beta }}=0 \end{aligned}$$

The solution of this equation is \(a=1\) and the second order condition reveals that at \(a=1\), \(f\) has a minimum point (recall that \(\beta >1\)):

$$\begin{aligned} \frac{d^{2}f(a)}{da^{2}}=2^{\beta -1}\beta \left( {\beta -1} \right)>0 \end{aligned}$$

This means that in the range \(0<a<1\), \(f(a)\) decreases and in the range \(a>1\) it increases. Without loss of generality, let \(k\ge 1\), and \(k^{\alpha }f(z)=k^{\alpha }\left[ {\frac{1+z^{\beta }}{\left( {1+z} \right)^{\beta }}} \right]>\frac{1+w^{\beta }}{\left( {1+w} \right)^{\beta }}=f(w)\) if \(f(z)>f(w)\). Therefore, if \(k\ge 1\) then \(f(z)>f(w)\) is a sufficient condition, whereas if \(k=1\) this condition is sufficient and necessary. Since \(f(a)=f\left( {\frac{1}{a}} \right)\), \(f(z)>f(w)\) if and only if \(z>w>\frac{1}{z}\) (which means that \(z>1\)) or \(\frac{1}{z}>w>z\) (which means that \(z<1)\). Consider the first condition \(z>w>\frac{1}{z}\). Setting \(z=\frac{d_2 \delta _{2x} }{d_1 \delta _{1x} }\) and \(w=\frac{d_2 \delta _{2y} }{d_1 \delta _{1y} }\) in \(z>w>\frac{1}{z}\), yields: \(\frac{d_2 \delta _{2x} }{d_1 \delta _{1x} }>\frac{d_2 \delta _{2y} }{d_1 \delta _{1y} }>\frac{d_1 \delta _{1x} }{d_2 \delta _{2x} }\). From \(\frac{d_2 \delta _{2x} }{d_1 \delta _{1x} }>\frac{d_2 \delta _{2y} }{d_1 \delta _{1y} }\) we get \(\delta _{2x} >\delta _{1x} \) (therefore \(\delta _{2y} <\delta _{1y} )\) and from \(\frac{d_2 \delta _{2y} }{d_1 \delta _{1y} }>\frac{d_1 \delta _{1x} }{d_2 \delta _{2x} }\) we get \(d_2 \sqrt{\delta _{2x} \delta _{2y} }>d_1 \sqrt{\delta _{1x} \delta _{1y} }\). The results from the second condition, \(\frac{1}{z}>w>z\), are the same just the roles of the two parties are reversed.

To sum up, the interest group \(x\) is effective if there exists a party \(i\), such that \(\delta _{ix} >\delta _{jx} \) and \(d_i \sqrt{\delta _{ix} \delta _{iy} }>d_j \sqrt{\delta _{jx} \delta _{jy} }\).\(\square \)

Proof of Theorem 2

Substituting \(d_1 =1\) and \(d_2 =0\) in Eqs. (1) and (4)–(7), we get that in this case, \(A=\delta _{1x} ^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}\) and \(B=\delta _{1y} ^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}\), the efforts of the interest groups in the members of party 1 are \(x_1 =\frac{\alpha n_x k^{\alpha }\delta }{\left( {k^{\alpha }\delta +1} \right)^{2}}\) and \(y_1 =\frac{\alpha n_y k^{\alpha }\delta }{\left( {k^{\alpha }\delta +1} \right)^{2}}\) and the winning probability of interest group \(x\) is \(p_x =\frac{k^{\alpha }\delta }{k^{\alpha }\delta +1}\), where \(\delta =\frac{\delta _{1x} }{\delta _{1y} }\) is the ideological bias of party 1 to the target policy of interest group \(x\). Hence, interest group \(x\) is effective if \(p_x =\frac{k^{\alpha }\delta }{k^{\alpha }\delta +1}>\delta _{1x} =p_x^0 \). By the proof of Theorem 1, the inequality \(p_x >p_x^0 \) is equivalent to \(k^{\frac{\alpha }{1-\alpha }}\left( {\frac{1+z^{\beta }}{1+w^{\beta }}} \right)>\left( {\frac{1+z}{1+w}} \right)^{\beta }\), where \(z=\frac{d_2 \delta _{2x} }{d_1 \delta _{1x} }\) and \(w=\frac{d_2 \delta _{2y} }{d_1 \delta _{1y} }\). Since in our case, \(d_1 =1\) and \(d_2 =0\), \(z=w=0\). Substituting in \(k^{\frac{\alpha }{1-\alpha }}\left( {\frac{1+z^{\beta }}{1+w^{\beta }}} \right)>\left( {\frac{1+z}{1+w}} \right)^{\beta }\) therefore yields that \(p_x >p_x^0 \) iff \(k>1\).\(\square \)

Proof of Theorem 3

In Eq. (7), the term \(\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }\) changes to \(\delta \) when we move from the case of a two-party system with un-enforced party discipline to the case of a majoritarian system with a single ruling party under enforced party discipline. That is, in the latter case \(p_x =\frac{k^{\alpha }\delta }{k^{\alpha }\delta +1}\). Since \(\frac{\partial p_x }{\partial \delta }>0\), interest group \(x\) will prefer the two-party system with unenforced party discipline provided that \(\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }>\delta \) or

$$\begin{aligned} \left[ {\frac{\left( {d_1 \delta _{1x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}+\left( {d_2 \delta _{2x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}}{\left( {d_1 \delta _{1y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}+\left( {d_2 \delta _{2y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}}} \right]^{1-\alpha }>\frac{\delta _{1x} }{\delta _{1y} } \end{aligned}$$

And after simplification we get \(\delta _{2x} >\delta _{1x} \).\(\square \)

Proof of Theorem 4

Larger efforts under un-enforced party discipline means that

$$\begin{aligned} \sum _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum _{i=1}^2 {y_i } =\frac{\alpha k^{\alpha }(n_x +n_y )\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }}{\left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+1} \right]^{2}}>\frac{\alpha k^{\alpha }(n_x +n_y )\delta }{\left( {k^{\alpha }\delta +1} \right)^{2}}=x_1 +y_1 \end{aligned}$$

or, after simplification

$$\begin{aligned} \left[ {k^{2\alpha }\delta \left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }-1} \right]\left[ {\delta -\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }} \right]>0 \end{aligned}$$

This inequality is satisfied when the two multiplied expressions are either positive or negative. Note that \(\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }<\delta \) if and only if \(\delta _{2x} <\delta _{1x} \). We thus get that the efforts under unenforced party discipline are larger than those enforced discipline if:

  1. (i)

    \(k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }>1\), \(k^{\alpha }\delta >1\) and \(\delta _{2x} <\delta _{1x} \), or

  2. (ii)

    \(k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }<1\), \(k^{\alpha }\delta <1\) and \(\delta _{2y} <\delta _{1y} \).

\(\square \)

Proof of Theorem 5 part (a)

Since (see (5) and (6)):

$$\begin{aligned} \sum _{i=1}^2 {x_i } =\alpha n_x \frac{k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }}{\left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+1} \right]^{2}}, \quad \sum _{i=1}^2 {y_i } =\alpha n_y \frac{k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }}{\left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+1} \right]^{2}} \end{aligned}$$

and

$$\begin{aligned} \sum _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum _{i=1}^2 {y_i } =\alpha (n_x +n_y )\frac{k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }}{\left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+1} \right]^{2}}, \end{aligned}$$

when \(h=\frac{k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }}{\left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+1} \right]^{2}}\) is maximal, \(\sum _{i=1}^2 {x_i } \), \(\sum _{i=1}^2 {y_i } \) and \(\sum _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum _{i=1}^2 {y_i } \) are maximal. A necessary condition for the maximization of \(h\) is:

$$\begin{aligned} \frac{\partial h}{\partial \left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }} \right]}=\frac{1-k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }}{\left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+1} \right]^{3}}=0 \end{aligned}$$

or

$$\begin{aligned} k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }=1 \end{aligned}$$
(8)

or

$$\begin{aligned} k^{\frac{\alpha }{1-\alpha }}\left[ {\frac{\left( {d_1 \delta _{1x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}+\left( {d_2 \delta _{2x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}}{\left( {d_1 \delta _{1y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}+\left( {d_2 \delta _{2y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}}} \right]=1 \end{aligned}$$

and the SOC when \(k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }=1\) is satisfied:

$$\begin{aligned} \frac{\partial ^{2}h}{\partial \left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }} \right]^{2}}=-\frac{1}{\left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+1} \right]^{3}}<0 \end{aligned}$$

Notice that the expressions \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } \), \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } \) and \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } \) are differentiated with respect to \(k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }\). This means that when (8) is satisfied, a change in \(\frac{A}{B}\) reduces the contestants’ efforts (separately and jointly). However, if (8) is satisfied, a change in \(k\) reduces efforts, but it also involves a change in \(n_x \) and \(n_y \) that also affect efforts. Hence, a change in \(k\) reduces \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } \), provided that \(n_x \) is unaltered (\(n_y \) is changed). Similarly, \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } \) is reduced, provided that \(n_y \) is unaltered (\(n_x \) is changed) and \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } \) will reduce when \((n_x +n_y )\) is unchanged.

Substituting (8) in (5), (6) and (7) gives \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^N {x_i } =0.25\alpha n_x \), \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^N {y_i } =0.25\alpha n_y \), \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } =0.25\alpha (n_x +n_y )\) and \(p_x =p_y =0.5\). Substituting \(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2x} \) and \(\delta _{1y} =\delta _{2y} \) in Eq. (8) and combining \(\delta _{1x} +\delta _{1y} =\delta _{2x} +\delta _{2y} =1\) implies that \(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2x} =\frac{1}{1+k^{\alpha }}\) and \(\delta _{1y} =\delta _{2y} =\frac{k^{\alpha }}{1+k^{\alpha }}\). Therefore, in this case the efforts directed by the interest groups to the parties are maximal, \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } =0.25\alpha (n_x +n_y )\) and \(p_x =p_y =0.5\).\(\square \)

Proof of Theorem 5 part (b)

By the proof of Theorem 5 part (a), Substituting \(\delta _{1x} =1\) and \(\delta _{2x} =0\) in Eq. (8) and combining \(\delta _{1x} +\delta _{1y} =\delta _{2x} +\delta _{2y} =1\) gives \(d_1 =\frac{1}{1+k^{\alpha }}\). Therefore, in this case the efforts of the interest groups are maximal, \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } =0.25\alpha (n_x +n_y )\) and \(p_x =p_y =0.5\).

Proof of the Remark

When both interest groups are not effective, from the proof of Theorem 1 get that the following equality is satisfied:

$$\begin{aligned} f(z)=\frac{1+z^{\beta }}{\left( {1+z} \right)^{\beta }}=\frac{1+w^{\beta }}{\left( {1+w} \right)^{\beta }}=f(w) \end{aligned}$$

since \(f(a)=f\left( {\frac{1}{a}} \right)\), \(f(z)=f(w)\) if and only if \(w=z\) or \(w=\frac{1}{z}\):

  1. 1.

    When \(w=z\) we get that \(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2x} \) (or \(\delta _{2y} =\delta _{1y} )\). Since the efforts are maximal, \(p_x =p_y =0.5\). Since no interest group is effective, the probability of interest group \(x\)’s with no contest is \(d_1 \delta _{1x} +d_2 \delta _{2x} =0.5\). Substituting in the last equality \(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2x} \) we get that \(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2x} =0.5\) and therefore \(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2x} =\delta _{1y} =\delta _{2y} =0.5\). By Theorem 5 part (a), for these values the efforts directed by the interest groups to the parties are maximal.

  2. 2.

    When \(w=\frac{1}{z}\) we get \(\frac{d_2 \delta _{2y} }{d_1 \delta _{1y} }=\frac{d_1 \delta _{1x} }{d_2 \delta _{2x} }\) or \(\frac{d_2 }{d_1 }=\left( {\frac{\delta _{1x} \delta _{1y} }{\delta _{2x} \delta _{2y} }} \right)^{0.5}\). Since the efforts are maxima, \(p_x =p_y =0.5\). Since no interest group is effective, the probabilities of both interest groups with no contest are identical:

$$\begin{aligned} d_1 \delta _{1x} +d_2 \delta _{2x} =d_1 \delta _{1y} +d_2 \delta _{2y} (=0.5) \end{aligned}$$
$$\begin{aligned} \frac{d_2 }{d_1 }=\frac{\delta _{1x} -\delta _{1y} }{\delta _{2y} -\delta _{2x} } \end{aligned}$$

Substituting in the last equality the additional condition for no effectiveness of the interest groups, \(\frac{d_2 }{d_1 }=\left( {\frac{\delta _{1x} \delta _{1y} }{\delta _{2x} \delta _{2y} }} \right)^{0.5}\), we get the following equivalent conditions: \(\left( {\frac{\delta _{1x} \delta _{1y} }{\delta _{2x} \delta _{2y} }} \right)^{0.5}=\frac{\delta _{1x} -\delta _{1y} }{\delta _{2y} -\delta _{2x} }\) or after some simplifications we get:

$$\begin{aligned} \left( {\delta _{1x} -\delta _{2x} } \right)\left( {\delta _{1y} -\delta _{2x} } \right)=0 \end{aligned}$$

This equality is satisfied if \(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2x} \) (\(\delta _{1y} =\delta _{2y} )\) or \(\delta _{1y} =\delta _{2x} \) (\(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2y} )\). Let’s check both cases:

  1. 2.1

    \(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2x}\)—since no interest group is effective, \(d_1 \delta _{1x} +d_2 \delta _{2x} =0.5\). Substituting in the last equality \(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2x} \) we get \(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2x} =0.5\) and therefore \(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2x} =\delta _{1y} =\delta _{2y} =0.5\). By Theorem 5 part (a), for these values the efforts of the interest groups are maximal.

  2. 2.2

    \(\delta _{1y} =\delta _{2x} \) (\(\delta _{1x} =\delta _{2y} )\)—Substituting in the equality \(\frac{d_2 }{d_1 }=\left( {\frac{\delta _{1x} \delta _{1y} }{\delta _{2x} \delta _{2y} }} \right)^{0.5}\) we get \(d_1 =d_2 =0.5\). For these values the efforts directed by the interest groups to the parties are maximal.

Proof of Theorem 6

$$\begin{aligned}&\frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } } \right)}{\partial \delta _{jx} }\\&\quad =\frac{\alpha k^{\alpha }(n_x +n_y )d_j ^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}\left[ {\delta _{jx} ^{\frac{\alpha }{1-\alpha }}+\left( {1-\delta _{jx} } \right)^{\frac{\alpha }{1-\alpha }}\frac{A}{B}} \right]\left[ {1-k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }} \right]}{\left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+1} \right]^{3}\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{\alpha }B} \end{aligned}$$

Therefore,\(\frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } } \right)}{\partial \delta _{jx} }>0\), \(\frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } } \right)}{\partial \delta _{jx} }>0\) and \(\frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } } \right)}{\partial \delta _{jx} }>0\), if and only if \(k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }<1\).

Proof of Theorem 7

$$\begin{aligned}&\frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } } \right)}{\partial d_1 }\\&\quad =\frac{\alpha k^{\alpha }(n_x +n_y )\left( {d_1 d_2 } \right)^{\frac{\alpha }{1-\alpha }}\left[ {1-k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }} \right]\left[ {\left( {\delta _{1x} \delta _{2y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}-\left( {\delta _{1y} \delta _{2x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}} \right]}{\left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+1} \right]^{3}\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{\alpha }B^{2}} \end{aligned}$$

\(\frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } } \right)}{\partial d_1 }>0, \quad \frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } } \right)}{\partial d_1 }>0\) and \(\frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } } \right)}{\partial d_1 }>0\), if and only if:

$$\begin{aligned} \left[ {1-k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }} \right]\left[ {\left( {\delta _{1x} \delta _{2y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}-\left( {\delta _{1y} \delta _{2x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}} \right]>0 \end{aligned}$$

Moreover:

$$\begin{aligned} sign\left[ {\left( {\delta _{1x} \delta _{2y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}-\left( {\delta _{1y} \delta _{2x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}} \right]=sign\left( {\delta _{2y} -\delta _{1y} } \right) \end{aligned}$$

therefore \(\left[ {1-k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }} \right]\left[ {\left( {\delta _{1x} \delta _{2y} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}-\left( {\delta _{1y} \delta _{2x} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}} \right]>0\) if and only if:

$$\begin{aligned} \left[ {1-k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }} \right]\left( {\delta _{2y} -\delta _{1y} } \right)>0. \end{aligned}$$

Proof of Theorem 8

 

  1. (a)

    Since,

    $$\begin{aligned}&\frac{\partial x_j }{\partial n_x }=\frac{\alpha k^{\alpha }\left( {d_j \delta _{jx} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }\left[ {(1-\alpha )k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+1+\alpha } \right]}{\left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+1} \right]^{3}A}>0, \\&\quad \frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } } \right)}{\partial n_x }>0. \end{aligned}$$

    Also:

    $$\begin{aligned} \frac{\partial x_j }{\partial n_y }=\frac{\alpha ^{2}\left( {d_j \delta _{jx} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}n_x ^{1+\alpha }n_y ^{2\alpha -1}\left[ {k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }-1} \right]}{\left[ {n_x ^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+n_y ^{\alpha }} \right]^{3}\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{\alpha }B} \end{aligned}$$

    and therefore \(\frac{\partial x_j }{\partial n_y }>0\) and \(\frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } } \right)}{\partial n_y }>0\), if and only if \(k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }>1\). Furthermore,

    $$\begin{aligned} \frac{\partial y_j }{\partial n_x }=\frac{\alpha ^{2}\left( {d_j \delta _{jy} } \right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha }}\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }n_x ^{\alpha -1}n_y ^{1+2\alpha }\left[ {1-k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }} \right]}{\left[ {n_x ^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }+n_y ^{\alpha }} \right]^{3}B} \end{aligned}$$

    Hence, \(\frac{\partial y_j }{\partial n_x }>0\) and \(\frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } } \right)}{\partial n_x }>0\), if and only if \(k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }<1\). Moreover, since it is always true that \(\frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } } \right)}{\partial n_x }>0\), the last condition, \(k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }<1\), is a sufficient one for \(\frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } } \right)}{\partial n_x }>0\). By symmetry \(\frac{\partial \left( {\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } } \right)}{\partial n_y }>0\), if \(k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }>1\).

  2. (b)

    According the proof of Theorem 2 part (a), if (8) is satisfied (\(k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }=1\)), a change in \(k\) reduces \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {y_i } \) when \((n_x +n_y )\) is unchanged.

  3. (c)

    According the proof of Theorem 5 part (a), if (8) is satisfied (\(k^{\alpha }\left( {\frac{A}{B}} \right)^{1-\alpha }=1\)), the maximal contestants’ total effort is \(\sum \nolimits _{i=1}^2 {x_i } +\sum _{i=1}^2 {y_i } =0.25\alpha (n_x +n_y )\). Therefore, if the interest groups have equal incentives, then increasing (decreasing) both \(n_x \) and \(n_y \) such that \(k\) is unchanged, increases (reduces) the contestants’ efforts.

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Epstein, G.S., Mealem, Y. & Nitzan, S. The efficacy and efforts of interest groups in post elections policy formation. Econ Gov 14, 77–105 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10101-012-0121-y

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