Abstract
A procedure in backcasting scenarios is presented. Two case studies differing in scale are used to illustrate the differences in ecological contribution to plandesign and to plan evaluation. Scenarios for naturedevelopment are presented for both case studies, based on ecological objectives and spatial strategies in planning. In order to evaluate the ecological impact of the scenarios a computermodel, LEDESS, using a geographical information system, wasdeveloped. The model is an expert system describing the development of vegetation and animal habitats in relation to abiotic conditions and management. It is more a tool for policy making in planning than an accurate predictive model.
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© 1995 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
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Harms, W.B., Jones, M., Emmelin, L. (1995). Current procedures. In: Schoute, J.F.T., Finke, P.A., Veeneklaas, F.R., Wolfert, H.P. (eds) Scenario Studies for the Rural Environment. Environment & Policy, vol 5. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-0441-8_14
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-0441-8_14
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