Abstract
The regional development plan for the Stockholm Region should meet the growth which was expected to occur in various areas during the next 30 years, e.g. the growing population and the increasing transportation needs. Since the regional plan is only a guideline and not binding the municipalities had to be voluntarily involved in the preparation. The physical structure is of great importance for the location of households and companies and the implementation of the plan. The successive creation and evaluation of alternative planning scenarios, describing the possible future land use and transportation structure, was a central part of the planning process. A number of forecasting and modelling tools were used for the creation and evaluation of these scenarios. Using GIS and transport models as tools can serve and facilitate the planning process and the dialogue with stakeholders as well as the understanding of future spatial scenarios. A number of environmental, economical, and social impacts can be considered and evaluated comprehensively. A large number of alternatives can rapidly be evaluated, discarded, or approved for further analysis. New alternatives and combinations of alternatives can be evaluated on demand from stakeholders.
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Acknowledgements
The development of the GIS land use simulation model was first developed as the SPREAD model in 1999 by Siv Schéele and Staffan Eriksson, Inregia (now WSP), commissioned by the office of Regional Planning and Urban Transportation (RTK), Stockholm County Council, for the preparation of the Regional Development Plan RUFS 2001. The model system was further developed by WSP in several steps for other applications, e.g. Tripoli Regional Development Plan, Libya. The present IPM model was prepared by WSP, commissioned by Hans Brattström (RTK) in 2007–2008 for the preparation of the Regional Development Plan RUFS 2010. The model was applied on the Stockholm case by Lars Berglund (WSP) and Greger Lindeberg (RTK). Alexander Ståhle (Spacescape) analyzed together with the WSP team the potential for densification in the Stockholm Region, created the typology and prepared the classification of urban areas as a basis for the IPM model. Helena Näsström (RTK) provided necessary inputs in terms of preparation of data, maps and graphs. Katarina Fehler (RTK) and others provided necessary inputs to this study in terms of scenario foundations, specifications of planning objectives, alternatives, approach, and feedback on results.
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Johnson, G. (2012). Stockholm 2030. In: Bazzanella, L., Caneparo, L., Corsico, F., Roccasalva, G. (eds) The Future of Cities and Regions. Springer Geography. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2518-8_5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2518-8_5
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