Abstract
Runoff forecasting which subjects to model pattern and parameter optimization, has an important significance of reservoir scheduling and water resources management decision-makings. This paper proposed a new forecasting model coupled phase space reconstruction technology with relevance vector machine, and its model parameters is optimized by an improved PSO algorithm. The monthly runoff time series from 1953 to 2003 at Manwan station is selected as an example. The results show that the improved PSO has efficient optimization performance and the proposed forecasting model could obtain higher prediction accuracy.
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Shi, Y., Liu, H., Fan, M., Huang, J. (2013). Parameter Identification of RVM Runoff Forecasting Model Based on Improved Particle Swarm Optimization. In: Tan, Y., Shi, Y., Mo, H. (eds) Advances in Swarm Intelligence. ICSI 2013. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 7928. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38703-6_19
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38703-6_19
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-38702-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-38703-6
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