Skip to main content

Part of the book series: International Series in Operations Research & Management Science ((ISOR,volume 121))

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 259.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    We typically include acquisition cost (AC) for yet-to-be-acquired customers. To estimate the CLV for an already acquired customer, this cost is sunk and is not included in the CLV calculations.

  2. 2.

    This expression holds only if (1+i) > r(1+g).

References

  • Aaker, D., R. Jacobson. 1994. The Financial Information Content of Perceived Quality. Journal of Marketing Research 31(2) 191–201.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aaker, D., R. Jacobson. 2001. The Value Relevance of Brand Attitude in High-Technology Markets. Journal of Marketing Research. 38(November) 485–493.

    Google Scholar 

  • Allenby, G., R. Leone, L. Jen. 1999. A Dynamic Model of Purchase Timing with Application to Direct Marketing. Journal of the American Statistical Association 94 365–374.

    Google Scholar 

  • Anderson, E.W., C. Fornell, D.R. Lehmann. 1994. Customer Satisfaction, Market Share, and Profitability: Findings from Sweden. Journal of Marketing 58 53–66.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anderson, E.W., C. Fornell, R. Rust. 1997. Customer Satisfaction, Productivity, and Profitability: Differences Between Good and Services. Marketing Science 16(2) 129–145.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anderson, E.W., C. Fornell, S.K. Mazvancheryl. 2004. Customer Satisfaction and Shareholder Value. Journal of Marketing 68(October) 172–185.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bass, F.M. 1969. A New Product Growth Model for Consumer Durables. Management Science 69(15), (January) 215–227.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Berger, P.D., N.L. Nasr. 1998. Customer Lifetime Value: Marketing Models and Applications. Journal of Interactive Marketing 12(1) 17–30.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Berger, P., R. Bolton, D. Bowman, E. Briggs, V. Kumar, A. Parasuraman, C. Terry. 2002. Marketing Actions and the Value of Customer Assets: A Framework for Customer Asset Management. Journal of Service Research 5(1) 39–54.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bernhardt, K., N. Donthu, P. Kennett. 2000. A Longitudinal Analysis of Satisfaction and Profitability. Journal of Business Research 5(1) 39–54.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bitran, G., S. Mondschein. 1996. Mailing Decisions in the Catalog Sales Industry. Management Science 42(9).

    Google Scholar 

  • Blattberg, R.C., G. Getz, J.S. Thomas. 2001. Customer Equity: Building and Managing Relationships as Valuable Assets. Harvard Business School, Boston.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bolton, R.N. 1998. A Dynamic Model of the Duration of the Customer’s Relationship with a Continuous Service Provider: The Role of Satisfaction. Marketing Science 17(1) 45–65.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bolton, R., P.K. Kannan, M.D. Bramlett. 2000. Implications of Loyalty Program Membership and Service Experience for Customer Retention and Value. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science. Winter 95–108.

    Google Scholar 

  • Breiman, L. 1996. Bagging Predictors. Machine Learning 24(2) 123–140.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chandon, P., V.G. Morwitz, W.J. Reinartz. 2005. Do Intentions Really Predict Behavior: Self-Generated Validity Effects in Survey Research. Journal of Marketing 69(April) 1–14.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Colombo, R., W. Jiang. 1999. A Stochastic RFM Model. Journal of Interactive Marketing 13(Summer) 2–12.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cui, D., D. Curry. 2005. Prediction in Marketing Using the Support Vector Machine. Marketing Science 24(Fall) 595–615.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dekimpe, M., D.M. Hanssens. 2004. Persistence Modeling for Assessing Marketing Strategy Performance, in Assessing Marketing Strategy Performance, C. Moorman and D. Lehmann, eds. Marketing Science Institute, Cambridge, MA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Doyle, P. 2000. Value-Based Marketing – Marketing Strategies for Corporate Growth and Shareholder Value. John Wiley & Sons, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dréze, X., A. Bonfrer. 2005. Moving From Customer Lifetime Value to Customer Equity. Working Paper, University of Pennsylvania.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fader, P., B. Hardie, Ka Lee. 2005. RFM and CLV: Using Iso-Value Curves for Customer Base Analysis. Journal of Marketing Research. 42(4) 415–430.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Farris, Paul W., M.J. Moore. 2004. The Profit Impact of Marketing Strategy Project. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Fornell, C., S. Mithas, F. Morgeson, M.S. Krishnan. 2006. Customer Satisfaction and Stock Prices: High Risk, Low Return. Journal of Marketing. January 3–14.

    Google Scholar 

  • Friedman, J.H. 1991. Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines. (with discussion). Annals of Statistics 19 1.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Friedman, J.H. 2003. Recent Advances in Predictive (Machine) Learning. Working Paper, Department of Statistics, Stanford University, CA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Giuffrida, G., W. Chu, D. Hanssens. 2000. Mining Classification Rules from Datasets with Large Number of Many-Valued Attributes. in Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 1777. Springer Verlag.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gonul, F., B.-Do Kim, M. Shi. 2000. Mailing Smarter to Catalog Customers. Journal of Interactive Marketing. 14(2) 2–16.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gruca, T.S., L.L. Lego. 2003. Customer Satisfaction, Cash Flow, and Shareholder Value. Working Paper (03-106). Marketing Science Institute.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gruca, T.S., L.L. Lego. 2005. Customer Satisfaction, Cash Flow, and Shareholder Value. Journal of Marketing. 69(July) 115–130.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gupta, S., D.R. Lehmann. 2003. Customers as Assets. Journal of Interactive Marketing. 17(1) 9–24.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gupta, S., D.R. Lehmann. 2005. Managing Customers as Investments. Wharton School Publishing.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gupta, S., D.R. Lehmann. 2006. Customer Lifetime Value and Firm Valuation. Journal of Relationship Marketing. 5(2/3), 87–110.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gupta, S., V. Zeithaml. 2006. Customer Metrics and Their Impact on Financial Performance. Working Paper. Columbia University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gupta, S., D.R. Lehmann, J.A. Stuart. 2004. Valuing Customers. Journal of Marketing Research. 41(1) 7–18.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gupta, S., C. Mela, J.M. Vidal-Sanz. 2006. The Value of a ‘Free’ Customer. Working Paper. Harvard Business School.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gupta, S., S. Han, R. Iyengar. 2006. The Tangible and Intangible Value of Customers. Working Paper. Columbia University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gustafsson, A., M.D. Johnson, I. Roos. 2005. The Effects of Customer Satisfaction, Relationship Commitment Dimensions, and Triggers on Customer Retention. Journal of Marketing. 69(4) 210–218.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hallowell, R. 1996. The Relationships of Customer Satisfaction, Customer Loyalty, and Profitability: An Empirical Study. International Journal of Service Industry Management. 7(4) 27–42.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hastie, T.J., R.J. Tibshirani. 1990. Generalized Additive Models. Chapman and Hall, NY.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hogan, J.E., K.N. Lemon, B. Libai. 2003. What is the True Value of a Lost Customer? Journal of Service Research 5(3) (February) 196–208.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hogan, J.E., D.R. Lehmann, M. Merino, R.K. Srivastava, J.S. Thomas, P.C. Verhoef. 2002. Linking Customer Assets to Financial Performance. Journal of Service Research. 5(1) (August) 26–38.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hruschka, H. 2006. Neural Nets and Genetic Algorithms in Marketing,” in Handbook of Marketing Decision Models, editor, Berend Wierenga, Rotterdam.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ittner, C., D. Larcker. 1998. Are Non-Financial Measures Leading Indicators of Financial Performance? An Analysis of Customer Satisfaction. Journal of Accounting Research. 36(Supplement) 1–35.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Iyengar, R. 2006. A Demand Analysis of Wireless Services Under Nonlinear Pricing Schemes. Working Paper, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jain, D., S. Singh. 2002. Customer Lifetime Value Research in Marketing: A Review and Future Directions. Journal of Interactive Marketing. 16(2).

    Google Scholar 

  • Jamieson, L., F. Bass. 1989. Adjusting Stated Intention Measures to Predict Trial Purchase of New Products: A Comparison of Models and Methods. Journal of Marketing Research. 26(August) 336–345.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jedidi, K., C. Mela, S. Gupta. 1999. Managing Advertising and Promotion for Long-Run Profitability. Marketing Science. 18(1) 1–22.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jones, T., E. Sasser. 1995. Why Satisfied Customers Defect. Harvard Business Review. 73(November-December) 88–99.

    Google Scholar 

  • Juster, T. 1966. Consumer Buying Intentions and Purchase Probability: An Experiment in Survey Design. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 61(September) 658–697.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kalbfleisch, J., R. Prentice. 1980. Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data. John Wiley and Sons, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kalwani, M., A. Silk. 1982. On the Reliability and Predictive Validity of Purchase Intention Measures. Marketing Science. 1(Summer) 243–286.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kamakura, W., S. Ramaswami, R. Srivastava. 1991. Applying Latent Trait Analysis in the Evaluation of Prospects for Cross-Selling of Financial Services. International Journal of Research in Marketing. 8 329–349.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kamakura, W., V. Mittal, F. de Rosa, Jose Afonso Mazzon 2002. Assessing the Service-Profit Chain. Marketing Science. 21(3) 294–317.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kamakura, W.A., M. Wedel, F. de Rosa, Jose Afonso Mazzon 2003. Cross-Selling Through Database Marketing: Mixed Data Factor Analyzer for Data Augmentation and Prediction. International Journal of Research in Marketing. 20(1), (March) 45–65.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kamakura, W.A., B. Kossar, M. Wedel 2004. Identifying Innovators for the Cross-Selling of New Products. Management Science. 50(8) 1120–1133.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kecman, V. 2001. Learning and Soft Computing: Support Vector Machines, Neural Networks and Fuzzy Logic Models. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Keller, K.L., D.R. Lehmann. 2003. How Do Brands Create Value?. Marketing Management. 12(3), (May/June) 26–31.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kim, N., V. Mahajan, R.K. Srivastava. 1995. Determining the Going Market Value of a Business in an Emerging Information Technology Industry: The Case of the Cellular Communications Industry. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 49 257–279.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Knott Aaron, A. Hayes, S. Neslin. 2002. Next-Product-to-Buy Models for Cross-Selling Applications. Journal of Interactive Marketing. 16(3).

    Google Scholar 

  • Kumar, V., W. Reinartz. 2006. Customer Relationship Management: A Database Approach. John Wiley and Sons, NY.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kumar, V., R. Venkatesan, W. Reinartz. 2006. Knowing What to Sell, When to Whom. Harvard Business Review. March 131–137.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lemmens, A., C. Croux. 2006. Bagging and Boosting Classification Trees to Predict Churn. Journal of Marketing Research. 43(2), 276–286.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lewis, M. 2003. Customer Acquisition Promotions and Customer Asset Value. Working Paper. University of Florida.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lewis, M. 2005a. A Dynamic Programming Approach to Customer Relationship Pricing. Management Science. 51(6)986–994.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li, S., B. Sun, R. Wilcox. 2005. Cross-Selling Sequentially Ordered Products: An Application to Consumer Banking Services. Journal of Marketing Research. 42(2) 233–239.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Libai, B., E. Muller, R. Peres. 2006. The Diffusion of Services. Working Paper. Tel Aviv University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Loveman, G.W. 1998. Employee Satisfaction, Customer Loyalty, and Financial Performance: An Empirical Examination of the Service Profit Chain in Retail Banking. Journal of Service Research. 1(1) 18–31.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Malthouse, E.C., R.C. Blattberg. 2005. Can We Predict Customer Lifetime Value? Journal of Interactive Marketing. 19(1) 2–16.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mazursky David, A. Geva. 1989. Temporal Decay in Satisfaction-Intention Relationship. Psychology and Marketing. 6(3) 211–227.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mela, C., S. Gupta, D.R. Lehmann. 1997. The Long Term Impact of Promotion and Advertising on Consumer brand Choice. Journal of Marketing Research. 34(May) 248–61.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mittal, V., W. Kamakura. 2001. Satisfaction, Repurchase Intent, and Repurchase Behavior: Investigating the Moderating Effect of Customer Characteristics. Journal of Marketing Research. 38(1) 131–142.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Morwitz, V.G., D. C. Schmittlein. 1992. Using Segmentation to Improve Sales Forecasts Based on Purchase Intent: Which ‘Intenders’ Actually Buy? Journal of Marketing Research 29(November) 391–405.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Neslin, S., S. Gupta, W. Kamakura, J. Lu, C. Mason 2006. Defection Detection: Measuring and Understanding the Predictive Accuracy of Customer Churn Models. Journal of Marketing Research. 43(2), 204–211.

    Google Scholar 

  • Newman, M.E.J. 2003. The Structure and Function of Complex Networks. SIAM Review. 45(2) 167–256.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pfeifer, P.E., R.L. Carraway. 2000. Modeling Customer Relationships as Markov Chains. Journal of Interactive Marketing. 14(2) 43–55.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pfeifer, P. E., P.W. Farris. 2004. The Elasticity of Customer Value to Retention: The Duration of a Customer Relationship. Journal of Interactive Marketing. 18(2) 20–31.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reichheld, F.F. 1996. The Loyalty Effect. Harvard Business School Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reichheld, F. F., W. Earl Sasser Jr. 1990. “Zero Defections: Quality Comes to Services. Harvard Business Review. (September-October) 105–111.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reichheld, F. F. 2003. The One Number You Need. Harvard Business Review. (December) 46–54.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reinartz, W.J., V. Kumar. 2000. On the Profitability of Long-Life Customers in a Noncontractual Setting: An Empirical Investigation and Implications for Marketing. Journal of Marketing. 64(October) 17–35.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reinartz, W.J., V. Kumar. 2003. The Impact of Customer Relationship Characteristics on Profitable Lifetime Duration. Journal of Marketing. 64(January) 77–99.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reinartz, W.J., J. Thomas, V. Kumar. 2005. Balancing Acquisition and Retention Resources to Maximize Customer Profitability. Journal of Marketing. 69(1), (January) 63–79.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rust, R.T., A. Zahorik. 1993. Customer Satisfaction, Customer Retention, and Market Share. Journal of Retailing. 69(2) 193–215.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rust, R., K. Lemon, V. Zeithaml. 2004. Return on Marketing: Using Customer Equity to Focus Marketing Strategy. Journal of Marketing. 68(1), January 109–126.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rust, R.T., T. Ambler, G. Carpenter, V. Kumar, R. Srivastava. 2004. Measuring Marketing Productivity: Current Knowledge and Future Directions. Journal of Marketing. 68(October) 76–89.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rust, R. T., V. A. Zeithaml, K.N. Lemon. 2000. Driving Customer Equity: Focusing Strategic Decisions for Long-term Profitability. The Free Press, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schmittlein, D., R. Peterson. 1994. Customer Base Analysis: An Industrial Purchase Process Application. Marketing Science. 13(1) 41–68.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schmittlein, D., D. Morrison, R. Columbo. 1987. Counting Your Customers: Who Are They and What Will They Do Next? Management Science. 33(1) 1–24.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Srinivasan, V., C. Mason. 1986. Nonlinear Least Squares Estimation of New Product Diffusion Models. Marketing Science 5(2), Spring 169–178.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sultan, F., J.U. Farley, D.R. Lehmann. 1990. A Meta-Analysis of Applications of Diffusion Models. Journal of Marketing Research. 27(1), (February) 70–77.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thomas, J. 2001. A Methodology for Linking Customer Acquisition to Customer retention. Journal of Marketing Research. 38(2), May 262–268.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thomas, J.S., R.C. Blattberg, E. Fox. 2004. Recapturing Lost Customers. Journal of Marketing Research. 16(February) 31–45.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vapnik, V. 1998. Statistical Learning Theory. John Wiley and Sons, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Venkatesan, R., V. Kumar. 2004. A Customer Lifetime Value Framework for Customer Selection and Resource Allocation Strategy. Journal of Marketing. 68(October) 106–125.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Verhoef, P., P. Franses, J. Hoekstra. 2001. The Impact of Satisfaction and Payment Equity on Cross -Buying: A Dynamic Model for a Multi-Service Provider. Journal of Retailing. 77(3) 359–378.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Villanueva, J., S. Yoo, D.M. Hanssens. 2006. The Impact of Marketing-Induced vs. Word-of-Mouth Customer Acquisition on Customer Equity. Working Paper. UCLA Anderson School of Management.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wasserman, S., K. Faust. 2005. Social Network Analysis. Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Watts, D. 2003. Six Degrees: The Science of a Connected Age. Norton, NY.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wiesel, T., B. Skiera. 2005. Linking Customer Metrics to Shareholder Value. Working Paper. Johann Wolfgang Goethe University.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Sunil Gupta .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2008 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Gupta, S., Lehmann, D.R. (2008). Models of Customer Value. In: Wierenga, B. (eds) Handbook of Marketing Decision Models. International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, vol 121. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-78213-3_8

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics