Abstract
Phenology modeling has a long history starting in 1735 with a publication by (1735). Reaumur suggested that differences between years and locations in the date of phenological events could be explained by differences in daily temperatures from an arbitrary date to the date of the phenological event considered. This is still the most important assumption in plant phenology modeling. The main advances in phenology modeling took place in the late 20th century (Table 1) for two main reasons: (i) the revolution in computer science, and (ii) concerns about global climate change. Global warming is expected to have major impacts on plant functions and fitness, as increasing temperatures will change the timing of phenological events.
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Chuine, I., Kramer, K., Hänninen, H. (2003). Plant Development Models. In: Schwartz, M.D. (eds) Phenology: An Integrative Environmental Science. Tasks for Vegetation Science, vol 39. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-0632-3_14
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