Due to the increasing desire for having more autonomous vehicle platforms and life cycle support mechanisms, there is a great need for the development of prognostic health management technologies that can detect, isolate and assess remaining useful life of critical subsystems. To meet these needs for next generation systems, dedicated prognostic algorithms must be developed that are capable of operating in an autonomous and real-time vehicle health management system that is distributed in nature and can assess overall vehicle health and its ability to complete a desired mission. This envisioned prognostic and health management system should allow vehicle-level reasoners to have visibility and insight into the results of local diagnostic and prognostic technologies implemented down at the LRU and subsystem levels. To accomplish this effectively requires an integrated suite of prognostic technologies that can be applied to critical systems and can capture fault/failure mode propagation and interactions that occur in these systems, all the way up through the vehicle level. In the chapter, the authors will present a generic set of selected prognostic algorithm approaches, as well as provide an overview of the required vehicle-level reasoning architecture needed to integrate the prognostic information across systems.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
D.W. Aha, Special Issue on Lazy Learning, Artificial Intelligence Review 11(1–5), 1–6, 1997.
C.G. Atkeson, A.W. Moore, and S. Schaal, Locally weighted learning, Artificial Intelligence Review 11(1–5), 11–73, 1997.
J. Cheng and D.M. Titerington, Neural networks: A review from a statistical perspective, Statistical Science 9(1), 2–54, 1994.
M. Drexel, and J.H. Ginsberg, Mode isolation: A new algorithm for modal parameter identification, Journal of the Acoustical Society of America 110(3), 1371–1378, 2001.
S.J. Engel, B.J. Gilmartin, K. Bongort and A. Hess, Prognostics, The real issues involved with predicting life remaining, Aerospace Conference Proceedings 6, 457–469, March 2000.
Jardim-Goncalves, 1996.
C. Frelicot, A fuzzy-based prognostic adaptive system, RAIRO-APII-JESA, Journal Européen des Systèmes Automatisés 30(2–3), 281–299, 1996.
P.G. Groer, Analysis of time-to-failure with a Weibull model, in Proceedings of the Maintenance and Reliability Conference, Marcon, 2000.
M.T. Hagan and M. Menhaj, Training feedforward networks with the Marquard algorithm, IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks 5(6), 1994.
N. Khiripet, An architecture for intelligent time series prediction with causal information, Ph.D. Thesis, Georgia Institute of Technology, May 2001.
J.A. Leonard, M.A. Kramer and L.H. Ungar, A neural network architecture that computes its own reliability, Computers & Chemical Engineering 16(9), 819–835, 1992.
F.L. Lewis, Optimal Estimation: With an Introduction to Stochastic Control Theory, John Wiley & Sons, New York, April 1986.
Lewis, 1992.
J.S. Liu and R. Chen, Sequential Monte Carlo methods for dynamical systems, Journal for American Statistical Association 93, 1032–1044, 1998.
L. Ljung, System Identification: Theory for the User, 2nd ed., Prentice-Hall, New Jersey, 1999.
K.A. Marko, J.V. James, T.M. Feldkamp, C.V. Puskorius, J.A. Feldkamp and D. Roller, Applications of neural networks to the construction of virtual sensors and model-based diagnostics, in Proceedings of ISATA 29th International Symposium on Automotive Technology and Automation, 3–6 June, pp. 133–138, 1996.
M.L. Minsky, Step toward artificial intelligence, Proceedings IRE 49, 8–30, 1961.
D. Muench, G. Kacprzynski, A. Liberson, A. Sarlashkar and M. Roemer, Model and sensor fusion for prognosis, Example: Kalman filtering as applied to corrosion-fatigue and FE models, SIPS Quarterly, Review Presentation, 2004.
Ray, 1996.
J.R. Schauz, Wavelet neural networks for EEG modeling and classification, PhD Thesis, Georgia Institute of Technology, 1996.
A. Schömig and O. Rose, On the suitability of the Weibull distribution for the approximation of machine failures, in Proceedings of the 2003 Industrial Engineering Research Conference, May 18–20, Portland, OR, 2003.
R. Sharda, Neural network for the MS/OR analyst: An application bibliography, Interfaces 24(2), 116–130, 1994.
J. Shiroishi, Y. Li, S. Liang, T. Kurfess and S. Danyluk, Bearing condition diagnostics via vibration and acoustic emission measurements, Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing 11(5), 693–705, September 1997.
D.F. Specht, A general regression neural network, IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks 2(6), 568–576, November 1991.
L. Studer and F. Masulli, On the structure of a neuro-fuzzy system to forecast chaotic time series, in Proceedings of the International Symposium on Neuro-Fuzzy Systems, 29–31 August, pp. 103–110, 1996.
R.S. Sutton, Introduction: The challenge of reinforcement learning, Machine Learning 8, 225– 227, 1992.
D.S.J. Veaux, J. Schweinsberg and J. Ungar, Prediction intervals for neural networks via nonlinear regression, Technometrics 40(4), 273–282, November 1998.
P. Wang and G. Vachtsevanos, Fault prognostics using dynamic wavelet neural networks, Artificial Intelligence for Engineering Design, Analysis and Manufacturing 15(4), 349–365, September 2001.
W. Weibull, A statistical distribution function of wide applicability, Journal of Applied Mechanics 18, 293, 1951.
A.S. Weigend and N.A. Gershenfeld, Time Series Prediction: Forecasting the Future and Understanding the Past, Addison-Wesley, MA, 1993.
P.J. Werbos, Generalization of back propagation with application to recurrent gas market model, Neural Networks 1, 339–356, 1988.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2009 Springer Science + Business Media B.V.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Byington, C.S., Roemer, M.J. (2009). Selected Prognostic Methods with Application to an Integrated Health Management System. In: Valavanis, K.P. (eds) Applications of Intelligent Control to Engineering Systems. Intelligent Systems, Control, and Automation: Science and Engineering, vol 39. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-3018-4_1
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-3018-4_1
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-90-481-3017-7
Online ISBN: 978-90-481-3018-4
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)