Skip to main content

Wildfire Risk Analysis at the Wildland Urban Interface in Travis County, Texas

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
  • 2518 Accesses

Part of the book series: Geotechnologies and the Environment ((GEOTECH,volume 2))

Abstract

The term, “wildland urban interface” (WUI) refers to the area where structures and other human development meet or intermingle with undeveloped wildland or vegetative fuel. When development encroaches into wildland – areas that have been minimally impacted by human activities – the wildfire threat to life and property increases. A wildfire risk profile for the WUI in Travis County, Texas was created using a geographic information system (GIS). Historic wildfire records were linked to land cover types to identify the empirical relationship between fuels and ground cover. Topographical characteristics, land cover types, and housing density were combined to estimate wildfire risk. Risk levels for communities within and outside the WUI were compared. Analyses also compared wildfire risk levels for different types of WUI areas, which are distinguished based on vegetation coverage percentages and housing density. Findings indicate that in Travis County, TX, the wildfire risk is highest in high-density WUI areas, pointing to an urgent need for special fire control and fire regulations in this development zone. Vacant lands, which are likely future development sites, could be used by land managers to reduce wildfire risk if they can be managed as natural fire breaks or fuel freezones.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    More information about these and other notorious North American wildfires can be found at: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_wildfires.

  2. 2.

    The California Forest Alliance estimates that firebrands from forest fires can be carried by winds or convective uplift for distances of up to 2.4 km (Radeloff et al. 2005).

References

  • Bradstock, Ross A., Jann E. Williams, and Malcom A. Gill (eds). 2002. Flammable Australia: The Fire Regimes and Biodiversity of a Continent. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, United Kingdom.

    Google Scholar 

  • Capitol Area Council of Governments (CAPCOG). 2008. Information Clearinghouse-Geospatial Data. http://www.capcog.org/Information_Clearinghouse/Geospatial_main.asp; last updated 2008. Accessed June 25, 2008.

  • Carapella, Ruth. 1996. Assessing fire risk using a GIS-based approach. Earth Observation Magazine 5(8): 22–24.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cardille, Jeffrey A., Stephen J. Ventura, and Monica G. Turner. 2001. Environmental and social factors influencing wildfires in the Upper Midwest, United States. Ecological Applications 11: 111–127.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Christiansen, Julia. 2005. Calculating wildfire hazard levels: Algebraic raster construction using spatial analyst. Paper presented at ESRI International User Conference, San Diego, California, July.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cohen, Jonathan D. 2000. Preventing disaster: Home ignitability in the wildland-urban interface. Journal of Forestry 98(3): 15–21.

    Google Scholar 

  • Colorado State Forest Service (CSFS). 2007. Wildfire. Colorado State Forest Service, Colorado State University, Colorado Springs. http://csfs.colostate.edu/wildfire.htm; last updated October 8. Accessed April 14, 2008.

  • Cortner, Hanna J., Philip D. Gardner, and Jonathan G. Taylor. 1990. Fire hazards at the urban-wildland interface: What the public expects. Environmental Management 14(1): 57–62.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cova, Thomas J., Paul C. Sutton, and David M. Theobald. 2004. Exurban change detection in fire-prone areas with nighttime satellite imagery. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing 70(11): 1249–1257.

    Google Scholar 

  • Davies, S. and Maurice Yeates. 2008. Exurbanization as a component for migration: A case study in Oxford County, Ontario. Canadian Geographer 35(2): 177–186.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Davis, James B. 1990. The wildland urban interface: Paradise or battleground? Journal of Forestry 88(1): 26–31.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dennison, Philip E., Thomas J. Cova, and Max A. Mortiz. 2007. WUIVAC: A wildland-urban interface evacuation trigger model applied in strategic wildfire scenarios. Natural Hazards 41(1): 181–199.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Esparza, Adrian X. and John I. Carruthers. 2000. Land use planning and exurbanization in the rural mountain west. Journal of Planning Education and Research 21(1): 23–36.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ewert, Alan W. 1993. The wildland urban interface: Introduction and overview. Journal of Leisure Research 25: 1–5.

    Google Scholar 

  • Finney, Mark A. 2005. The challenge of quantitative risk analysis for wildland fire. Forest Ecology and Management 211(1–2): 97–198.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Franklin, Janet, Curtis E. Woodcock, and Ralph Warbington. 2000. Multi-attribute vegetation maps of forest service lands in California supporting resource management decisions. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing 66 (10): 1209–1217.

    Google Scholar 

  • Godschalk, David R., Timothy Beatley, Philip Berke, David J. Bower, and Edward J. Kaiser. 1999. Natural hazard mitigation: Planning for sustainable communities. In, Natural Hazard Mitigation: Recasting Disaster Policy and Planning, Chapter 13, pp. 525–552. Washington, DC: Island Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gravetter, Frederick J. and Larry B. Wallnau. 1988. Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences, 2nd Edition. St. Paul, New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco: West Publishing Company.

    Google Scholar 

  • Idaho Department of Lands (IDL). 2006. Summaries of risk and preparedness. Jerome County WUI Wildfire Mitigation Plan, Chapter 4, pp. 69–91. http://www.idl.idaho.gov/nat_fire_plan/county_wui_plans/jerome/jerome.htm; last updated November 11. Accessed June 25, 2008.

  • Ingalsbee, Timothy. 2003. Fuel breaks for wildland fire management: A moat or a drawbridge for ecosystem fire restoration? Second Annual Wildland Fire Ecology and Fire Management Congress, Orlando, FL, November 16–20, p. 1F.2. http://ams.confex.com/ams/FIRE2003/techprogram/paper_66008.htm; last update unknown. Accessed June 25, 2008.

  • Johnson, Angie. 2008. Mapping at local scale for CWPPs. Powerpoint presentation, 2008 Collaboration Workshop–Bringing it all Together, Reno, NV, March 3–4. Healthy Forests and Rangelands: Managing our National Heritage (US Department of Interior and Department of Agriculture). http://www.forestsandrangelands.gov/news/cwpp_workshop_2008.shtml; last updated April 15. Accessed June 25, 2008.

  • Keeney, Ralph L. 1995. Understanding life-threatening risks. Risk Analysis 15(6): 627–637.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Larkin, Thomas J. and George W. Bomar. 1983. Climatic Atlas of Texas. Texas Department of Water Resources, Austin, Publication No. LP-192, December. http://www.twdb.state.tx.us/publications/reports/GroundWaterReports/LimitedPublications/LP192.pdf, last update unknown. Accessed June 25, 2008.

  • Lawrimore, Jay. 2005. Climate of 2000- July Western U.S. wildfires. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Climatic Data Center. http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2000/jul/west_fires.html; last updated June 25. Accessed May 3, 2008.

  • Lindley, T. Todd, Jared L. Guyer, Gregory P. Murdoch, Seth R. Nagle, Kenneth J. Schneider, and Gary D. Skwira. 2007. A Meteorological Composite of the 2005/06 wildfire outbreaks in the Southern Plains. Paper Presented at the Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, Bar Harbor, ME, October 23–27, p. 10.4. http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/126810.pdf; last update unknown. Accessed June 5, 2008.

  • Manzello, Samuel. 2007. Fires in the wildland-urban interface–experimental investigation of structural ignition in WUI fires. Project Information, Building and Fire Research Laboratory, National Institute of Standards and Technology. http://www2.bfrl.nist.gov/projects/projcontain.asp?cc=8662014000; last updated October 29. Accessed June 5, 2008.

  • National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC). 2006. Fire Information: Wildland fire statistics. National Interagency Fire Center, Boise, Idaho. http://www.nifc.gov/fire_info/historical_stats.htm; last update unknown. Accessed May 13 May, 2008.

  • Ott, Lyman. 1984. An Introduction to Statistical Methods and Data Analysis, 2nd Edition. Boston: Duxbury Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Perestrello de Vasconcelos, Maria José, Sara Silva, Margarida Tomé, and José Miguel Cardoso Pereira. 2001. Spatial prediction of fire ignition probabilities: comparing logistic regression and neural networks. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing 67(1): 73–81.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pyne, Stephen J. 2001. The fires this time, and next. Science 294: 1005–1006.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Radeloff, Volker C., Roger B. Hammer, Susan I. Stewart, Jeremy S. Fried, S.S. Holcomb, and Jason F. McKeefry. 2005. The wildland-urban interface in the United States. Ecological Applications 15(3): 799–805.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Silvis Lab (no date) Texas wildland-urban interface maps, statistics, and GIS data download. http://silvis.forest.wisc.edu/Library/WUI_state_download.asp?state=Texasandabrev=TX, accessed May 2008. Last update, unknown.

  • Smith, Keith. 2004. Environmental Hazards: Assessing Risk and Reducing Disaster, 4th edition. Routledge: London and New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stewart, Susan, Volker C. Radeloff, Roger B. Hammer, and Todd J. Hawbaker. 2007. Defining the wildland-urban interface. Journal of Forestry 105(4): 201–207.

    Google Scholar 

  • Texas Forest Service (TFS). 2007. Protecting your home against wildfires in Texas–everyone’s responsibility. Living on the Edge, Texas Forest Service Urban Wildland Interface Publication. http://txforestservice.tamu.edu/main/article.aspx?id=1583; last updated September. Accessed May 17, 2008.

  • Texas Natural Resources Information System (TNRIS). 2008. National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP) and DOQQ Imagery. Strat Map, Texas Natural Resources Information System. http://www.tnris.state.tx.us/StratMap.aspx?layer=126; last update January 16. Accessed February 13, 2008.

  • Texas State Data Center and Office of the State Demographer (TSDC/OSD) 2006. New Texas State Data Center Population Projections from The University of Texas at San Antonio. Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research (IDSER), College of Public Policy, University of Texas at San Antonio. http://txsdc.utsa.edu/tpepp/2006projections/summary/; last updated October 19; accessed June 23, 2008.

  • Thompson, William A., IIan Vertinsky, Hans Schreier, and Bruce A. Blackwell. 2000. Using forest hazard modeling in multiple use forest management planning. Forest Ecology and Management 134(1–3): 163–176.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Travis County. 2004. Travis County Parks. Travis County Transportation and Natural Resources Department. http://www.co.travis.tx.us/tnr/parks/climate.asp; last updated February 2. Accessed May 13, 2008.

  • Travis County. 2007. Section I: 2006–2010 Consolidated Plan, Amended August 2007.http://www.co.travis.tx.us/health_human_services/CDBG/August07Amendment/ConPlanAug07Amend_SectionI_Introduction.pdf; last updated August 2007; accessed October 15, 2008.

  • Travis County Health and Human Services and Veterans Service Department (TCHHS). 2006. American Community Survey, Travis County, Texas: Analysis of Trends 2002–2005. Research and Planning Division; http://www.co.travis.tx.us/health_human_services/research_planning/publications/ACS_2005_Report.pdf; last updated November; accessed October 15, 2008.

  • Trembath, Rick. 2005. Firebrands and long duration smoldering fires: What is the risk? How should we deal with them? Wildfire News and Notes 19(2): 2–8.

    Google Scholar 

  • U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). No date. National Elevation Dataset. USGS Seamless Data Distribution System. http://seamless.usgs.gov/website/Seamless/viewer.htm; last update unknown. Accessed May 3.

  • Winter, Greg J. and Jeremy S. Fried. 2001. Estimating contingent values for protection from wildland fire using a two-stage decision framework. Forest Science 47(3): 349–360

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yongmei Lu .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2009 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Lu, Y., Carter, L., Showalter, P.S. (2009). Wildfire Risk Analysis at the Wildland Urban Interface in Travis County, Texas. In: Showalter, P., Lu, Y. (eds) Geospatial Techniques in Urban Hazard and Disaster Analysis. Geotechnologies and the Environment, vol 2. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-2238-7_10

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics