Abstract
Local government’s need for accurate assessments and projections of the fiscal consequences of development is well established and persistent. This analysis demonstrates the use of a geographic information science-based planning support system to project residential growth and the fiscal consequences of development. The cornerstone of the analysis is a spatial index of urban form which captures clustering and dispersion of the built environment. A regression model indicates the spatial index to be a statistically significant determinant of expenditures on policing services in the study area. Modelled future growth was spatially and temporally disaggregated to indicate future residential growth at different planning horizons. Spatial indices were calculated for these planning horizons and incorporated into the econometric model for ceteris paribus evaluation of the effect of change in urban form on public service expenditures. Results demonstrate planning informed by PSS modelling has the potential to realize savings on public service expenditures.
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This work was supported by the United States Department of Agriculture National Institute of Food and Agriculture.
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Appendix 1: Build-out Settings for Both Scenarios
Appendix 1: Build-out Settings for Both Scenarios
Polygon layer containing land-use information | LaramieGrid1 K | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Attribute specifying land-use designation | Zone | ||||
Unique identifyer | OBJECTID | ||||
Density rules | |||||
Dwelling units | FAR | ||||
Quantity | Measurement | Equivalence | Quantity | Measurement | |
AgDensity | 0.011563 | DU per acre | 1 DU/640 acres | 0 | FAR |
I-25 gateway district | 1 | DU per acre | 1 DU/1 acre | 0.25 | FAR |
Low density/agricultural | 0.02857 | DU per acre | 1 DU/35 acres | 0.1 | FAR |
Rural density | 0.1 | DU per acre | 1 DU/10 acres | 0.1 | FAR |
Urban density | 1 | DU per acre | 1 DU/1 acre | 0,1 | FAR |
Very low density rural/agricultural | 0.02857 | DU per acre | 1 DU/35 acres | 0.1 | FAR |
Mixed-use land are percentages | Dwelling units | Floor area | |||
Designation | Percent | Measurement | Percent | Measurement | |
I-25 gateway district | 25 | 1 DU per acre | 75 | 0.25 FAR | |
Low density/agricultural | 97 | 0.02857 DU peracr | 3 | 0.1 FAR | |
Rural density | 98 | 0.1 DU per acre | 2 | 0.1 FAR | |
Urban density | 93 | 1 DU per acre | 7 | 0.1 FAR | |
Very low density rural/agricultural | 93 | 0.02857 DU per acre | 7 | 0.1 FAR | |
Efficiency | |||||
Designation | Efficiency percent | ||||
AgDensity | 95 | ||||
I-25 gateway district | 77 | ||||
Low density/agricultural | 100 | ||||
Rural density | 90 | ||||
Urban density | 77 | ||||
Very low density rural/agricultural | 100 | ||||
Building information designation | DU per Building | Building footprints area sq feet | Floors | ||
AgDensity | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
1-25 gateway district | 1 | 39,204 | 1 | ||
Low density/agricultural | 1 | 47,916 | 1 | ||
Rural density | 1 | 47,916 | 1 | ||
Urban density | 1 | 43,560 | 1 | ||
Very low density rural/agricultural | 1 | 47,916 | 1 | ||
Constraints | constraints11_floodplains_final_prj | ||||
Layer | Value or attribute specifying DU/bldg | ||||
Existing buildings | Address_modified | 1 | |||
Value or attribute specifying floor area | 0 | ||||
Minimum | |||||
Separation | |||||
Spatial layout | Distance | Setback | |||
Designation | feet | Layout pattern | Road or line layer | feet | |
AgDensity | 60 | Random | Streets | 30 | |
1-25 gateway district | 60 | Random | Streets | 30 | |
Low density/agricultural | 60 | Random | Streets | 30 | |
Rural density | 60 | Random | Streets | 30 | |
Urban density | 60 | Random | Streets | 30 | |
Very low density rural/agricultural | 60 | Random | Streets | 30 | |
Spatial buildings | Building type | Footprint size | |||
Designation | |||||
AgDensity | Points | 0 | |||
I-25 gateway district | Points | 39,204 | |||
Low density/agricultural | Points | 47,916 | |||
Rural density | Points | 47,916 | |||
Urban density | Points | 43,560 | |||
Very low density rural/agricultural | Points | 47,916 | |||
End of spatial phase | |||||
Set the number of times buildout will attempt to place a random building | 18 |
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Lieske, S.N., Coupal, R.H., Hamerlinck, J.D., McLeod, D.M., Scofield, A.M. (2013). Planning Support Systems for Fiscally Sustainable Planning. In: Geertman, S., Toppen, F., Stillwell, J. (eds) Planning Support Systems for Sustainable Urban Development. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography, vol 195. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-37533-0_8
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