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Development of Technology Foresight: Integration of Technology Roadmapping and the Delphi Method

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Abstract

This study examines the integration of the Delphi method with technology roadmapping as a new technology foresight process. The Delphi method and technology roadmapping have developed in different ways, and these two foresight methods are now attracting attention from both national governments and private companies. However, each method also has limitations when attempting to deal with accelerating technological complexity and sophistication and latent markets. This study reviews the merits and demerits of the Delphi method and technology roadmapping, and proposes a new method of technology foresight, which takes advantage of the strengths of both methods.

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Correspondence to Daisuke Kanama .

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Kanama, D. (2013). Development of Technology Foresight: Integration of Technology Roadmapping and the Delphi Method. In: Moehrle, M., Isenmann, R., Phaal, R. (eds) Technology Roadmapping for Strategy and Innovation. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-33923-3_10

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-33923-3_10

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-33922-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-33923-3

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