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Some Numerical Methods for Rare Events Simulation and Analysis

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Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Mathematics ((LNMBIOS,volume 2058))

Abstract

We present several numerical approaches to investigate rare events in stochastic systems, with a specific focus on application to biological models. We first present several aspects concerning variance reduction of Monte-Carlo methods, with a focus on importance sampling. We show how these methods can be applied to basic biological models. We show that these techniques can be useful in dealing with multiscale continuous-time Markov chains that are important in the context of biochemical reaction networks. We treat with more detail the problem of first passage time for a linear diffusion process, arising from the integrate-and-fire neuron model, to show the kind of mathematical problems that may arise when trying to design an optimal importance sampling scheme. This leads to the observation that large deviation theory can be helpful to solve these questions. We also review a numerical method designed to estimate large deviations quantities such as the quasipotential and the optimal path and apply this method to estimate numerically the quasipotential of the Morris–Lecar neuron model perturbed by small noise.

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Correspondence to Gilles Wainrib .

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Wainrib, G. (2013). Some Numerical Methods for Rare Events Simulation and Analysis. In: Bachar, M., Batzel, J., Ditlevsen, S. (eds) Stochastic Biomathematical Models. Lecture Notes in Mathematics(), vol 2058. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32157-3_4

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