Abstract
An attempt was made to evaluate Web performance by making a 3D forecast of Web site performance while resource downloading using a geostatistic simulation method Turning Bands for the first time. Data for the research were obtained in an active experiment conducted by a multi-agent measurement system MWING performing monitoring of a common group of Web sites from different agent locations. In this study we use a measurement database collected by an agent from Wrocław. A preliminary analysis of measurement data was conducted. Next a structural analysis of data was conducted and a spatial forecast of the total time of downloading data from web servers with a one-week time advance was calculated. Forecast results were analyzed in detail and then directions for further research were suggested.The article introduces the first innovative use of the Turning Bands method in the prediction of Internet performance. First results permit to find that the mentioned predictive method can be effective.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsPreview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Borzemski, L.: The experimental design for data mining to discover web performance issues in a Wide Area Network. Cybernetics and Systems: An International Journal 41, 31–45 (2010)
Isaaks, E.H., Srivastava, R.M.: An Introduction to Applied Geostatistics. Oxford University Press, New York (1989)
Brownlee, N., Claffy, K., Murray, M., Nemeth, E.: Methodology for Passive Analysis of a University Internet Link. In: Proc. of Workshop on Passive and Active Measurements PAM 2001, Amsterdam, Holland (2001)
Jing, H., Dovrolis, C.: Passive estimation of TCP Round-Trip Times. ACM SIGCOMM Computer Communication Review 32(3) (2002)
Padmanabhan, V., Qiu, L.: Network Tomography Using Passive End-to-End Measurements. In: DIMACS Workshop on Internet and WWW Measurement, Mapping and Modeling, Piscataway, NJ (2002)
Borzemski, L., Cichocki, L., Kliber, M., Fras, M., Nowak, Z.: MWING: A Multiagent System for Web Site Measurements. In: Nguyen, N.T., Grzech, A., Howlett, R.J., Jain, L.C. (eds.) KES-AMSTA 2007. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 4496, pp. 278–287. Springer, Heidelberg (2007)
Borzemski, L., Cichocki, L., Kliber, M.: Architecture of Multiagent Internet Measurement System MWING Release 2. In: Håkansson, A., Nguyen, N.T., Hartung, R.L., Howlett, R.J., Jain, L.C. (eds.) KES-AMSTA 2009. LNCS, vol. 5559, pp. 410–419. Springer, Heidelberg (2009)
Matheron, G.: Quelques aspects de la montée. Internal Report N-271, Centre de Morphologie Mathematique, Fontainebleau
Matheron, G.: The intrinsic random functions and their applications. Adv. Appl. Prob. 5, 439–468 (1973)
Lantuejoul, C.: Geostatistical Simulation. Models and Algorithms, Springer-Verlag (2002)
Bouleau, N.: Probabilites de l’Ingenieur. Hermann, Paris (1986)
Freulon, X.: Conditionnement du modele gaussien par des inegalites ou des randomisees. Geostatistics Doctoral Thesis, School of Mines of Paris (1992)
Inizan, M.: Geostatistical Validation of a Marine Ecosystem Model Usinng In Situ Data. Technical Report S-435 Centre de Geostatistique, Ecole des Mines de Paris (2002)
Armstrong, M.: Basic Linear Geostatistics. Springer, Berlin (1998)
Wackernagel, H.: Multivariate Geostatistics: an Introduction with Applications. Springer, Berlin (2003)
Isatis Software Manual, 5th Edition, Geovariances & École des Mines de Paris (2004)
Borzemski, L., Cichocki, L., Kliber, M.: A distributed system to measure the Internet based on agent architecture. In: Borzemski, L., et al. (eds.) Information Systems Architecture and Technology, Web-age Information Systems, Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Wroclawskie, Wroclaw (2009)
Borzemski, L., Nowak, Z.: Empirical Web performance evaluation with using a MWING system. In: Borzemski, L., et al. (eds.) Information Systems Architecture and Technology: Advances in Web-Age Information Systems, pp. 25–34. Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Wroclawskiej, Wroclaw (2009)
Kaminska-Chuchmala, A., Wilczynski, A.: Application simulation methods to spatial electric load forecasting. Rynek Energii 1(80), 2–9 (2009) (in Polish)
Kaminska-Chuchmala, A., Wilczynski, A.: 3D electric load forecasting using geostatistical simulation method Turning Bands. Prace Wroclawskiego Towarzystwa Naukowego XVI, B(215), 41–48 (2009) (in Polish)
Kaminska-Chuchmala, A., Wilczynski, A.: Analysis of different methodological factors on accuracy of spatial electric load forecast performed with Turning Bands method. Rynek Energii 2(87), 54–59 (2010) (in Polish)
Kaminska-Chuchmala, A., Wilczynski, A.: Spatial electric load forecasting in transmission networks with Sequential Gaussian Simulation method. Rynek Energii 1(92), 35–40 (2011) (in Polish)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2011 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Borzemski, L., Kamińska-Chuchmała, A. (2011). 3D Web Performance Forecasting Using Turning Bands Method. In: Kwiecień, A., Gaj, P., Stera, P. (eds) Computer Networks. CN 2011. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 160. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-21771-5_12
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-21771-5_12
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-21770-8
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-21771-5
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)