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Matters of Judgment

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Book cover Energy Pricing

Part of the book series: Energy Systems ((ENERGY))

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Abstract

Preceding sections introduce the process of pricing energy delivered by the electric and natural gas utilities. Guidelines and opinions are directed toward executive decisions governing internal operations. Decisions governing external relationships are for the most part left unexplored, leaving a gap between internal utility decision-making and external decisions applicable to other sectors of the economy. But even the most meticulous internal operations fall short if a company’s external relationships are deficient. There is a gap between internal and external in the earlier chapters. To narrow this gap, Chap. 12 addresses an often overlooked phase of management’s responsibilities: its decisions on outside issues. Chapter 12 is not intended for technical readers only. It is written to be read by a wider audience, by those who are affected by business or governmental micro-economic decisions, which means all of us. Chapter 12 has three distinct parts. The first addresses those who, directly or indirectly, contribute to the preparation of the company’s published business reports, particularly those of a financial nature. It points to frequent loose or inaccurate statements often found in these reports which are misleading and should be avoided. These are basic guidelines, intended to be instructive for those who originate the reports as well as for those who read them. The second part goes beyond basics. It aims at the top executives of businesses of all sizes who fashion the policies of their companies. Here good judgment in decision-making is of vital importance to the operations they control. As a prime example of a failed policy in the utility sector, this part cites the California energy crisis, where ill-fated decisions by executives of two major utilities led to the disastrous bankruptcy of one of the companies and the near-bankruptcy of the other. The third part is directed toward upper-level government executives who are responsible for the nation’s macro- and micro-economic policies. It reviews the 2008–2009 recession, and highlights the short-sighted decisions of the nation’s financial heads whose leadership (or lack thereof) permitted the recession to develop. The message for all three addressees is the same: be judicious in your decision-making, for its results may be greater and more far reaching than you realize.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Andresky, Jill, “An SEC crackdown on “cute accounting” is making lots of people nervous,” Forbes, August 13, 1984.

  2. 2.

    “The SEC Turns Up the Heat on ‘Cooked Books,’” Business Week, September 3, 1984. See also Berton, Lee, “Accounting Rule … Raises Questions,” The Wall Street Journal, November 16, 1984.

  3. 3.

    “Politics & Policy,” Fortune, October 29, 1984.

  4. 4.

    Clifford, Mark, “Banking by Mirrors,” Forbes August 26, 1985.

  5. 5.

    Berton, Lee, The Wall Street Journal, September 17, 1985.

  6. 6.

    Berton, Lee, and Miller, Gay Sands, “Accountants Debate Tightening Rules for ‘Big Bath’ Write Offs by Companies,” The Wall Street Journal, February 11, 1986.

  7. 7.

    Weberman, Ben, “Rumpelstiltskin accounting,” Forbes, February 24, 1986.

  8. 8.

    Hector, Gary, “Cute Tricks on the Bottom Line,” Fortune, April 24, 1989.

  9. 9.

    Fred S. Worthy, “The Battle of the Bean Counters,” Fortune, June 1, 1992.

  10. 10.

    James S. Chanos, “We Need Honest Accounting,” The Wall Street Journal, March 24, 2009.

  11. 11.

    Ford S. Worthy, “Manipulating Profits: How Its Done,” Fortune. June 25, 1984.

  12. 12.

    Jerry Adler, “The Numbers Game,” Newsweek. June 25, 1994.

  13. 13.

    Kelley Holland, “Once Again, Banks Are Leaving Investors in the Dark,” Business Week, November 4, 1993.

  14. 14.

    Kelley Holland, with William Glasgall, Maria Mallory, Rick Melcher and Grey Burns, “A Black Hole in the Balance Sheet,” Business Week, May 16, 1994.

  15. 15.

    Hank Greenberg, “The Auditors Are Always Last to Know,” Fortune, August 17, 1998.

  16. 16.

    Paul Glader and Kara Scanell, “GE Settles Civil-Fraud Charges … Fine of $50 Million Resolves SEC Probe Into Firm’s Accounting Practices,” The Wall Street Journal, August 5, 2009.

  17. 17.

    “Net income” and “profit” are often used in business as interchangeable terms. In this sense, profit represents a total return on equity, from which a realized rate of return on equity can be calculated. This rate of return, though, does not necessarily represent the cost of equity capital in the economic context. In the economic context, the cost of equity capital is that rate of return which is required to induce, and maintain, the capital necessary for the operation of the particular business under consideration, with due regard to the peculiar circumstances of the specific business and to its peculiar risks. This, indeed, is a tough, if not impossible, yardstick to apply precisely. Consequently, there is validity to the conception of “cost plus profit” per the income statement as a general summation of what business revenues should cover provided it is understood that the required amount of profit is left unspecified.

  18. 18.

    Costs, both hard and soft, are stated (whether overstated, understated, or correctly stated, as may be the case) in the income statement for a given period, and the realized profit is given. The results shown by the income statement are incorporated into the balance sheet which includes that period. There is backup for all entries except for the bottom line, which is simply a residual. Are the profits reported on the bottom line of the income statement good, bad, or indifferent? High, low, or just right? in relation to meeting the total cost of the business. Competitive finance solves these questions, as capital ebbs and flows from one business (or type of business) to another. The market for capital decides. But if one is anxious to know what the cost of equity capital is, that element of cost is illusive and indeterminate. The only thing we can be sure of is, it is a cost.

  19. 19.

    Usually on a unit-of-production basis.

  20. 20.

    For a good contrast in the two view, see Richards, Bill, “Retirement of Commercial Reactors is Stirring Debate,” The Wall Street Journal, March, 18, 1987.

  21. 21.

    Roger L. Conkling, “Rights to Capacity: Transitional Protection for California’s Existing Utility Customers,” Electricity Journal, July, 1995

  22. 22.

    Roger L. Conkling, “A California Generation Capacity Market,” Electricity Journal, October, 1998

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© 2011 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Conkling, R.L. (2011). Matters of Judgment. In: Energy Pricing. Energy Systems. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-15491-1_12

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-15491-1_12

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